It’s a real shame that such a magical week at St. Andrew’s is being marred with more LIV Tour drama. Congratulations to Cameron Smith on a superb performance on Sunday shooting a 64 to pass Rory McIlory on the back nine to take home the Claret Jug. That putting performance he showed on Sunday was stuff of legend. Rory McIlory did not lose that tournament in the final round but he also did not win it either. The Irishman did not put a bogey on his scorecard and hit every green in regulation but that was not enough. The last time an Australian won the Open Championship was Greg Norman in 1993 who also happens to be the head of the LIV Tour. There inlies the rumors and speculation that flared up after Cameron Smith’s winning press conference.
The major golf season has concluded and with it goes the star studded fields we’ve been accustomed to seeing week in and week out. The 3M Open has never hosted the cream of the crop but we’ve seen guys like Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau, Brooks Koepka, Patrick Reed, Matt Wolff (2019 champ), and Louis Oosthuizen all participate in the past but they are obviously banned from the event now being members of the LIV Tour. We will see the likes of Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama, and Sungjae Im carry the torch this weekend for the PGA Tour. They won’t be able to hold the weight of the PGA Tour on their shoulders like Rory McIlory has over the last couple months but they’ll do their best. .
The PGA Tour heads to TPC Twin Cities for the fourth edition of the 3M Open. This tournament was originally a PGA Champions event for more than 25 years called the 3M Championship and was upgraded to PGA Tour status in 2018. TPC Twin Cities was established in 2000 and was designed by Arnold Palmer with Tom Lehman.
While this course is long, it is not challenging for these professionals. The average winning score over the first three editions of this event is 18.3 under par. It will play as a Par 71 and stretch out 7,431 yards and feature bentgrass greens. We are looking for solid drivers of the golf ball, especially distance which is one of the reasons we saw Cameron Champ take home the title in 2021. These players will need to go low and do it consistently throughout the weekend to have a chance at bringing home the hardware.
We will see extremely hot temperatures this weekend in Minnesota. The numbers will jump between the upper 80s and low 90s before the storms roll in on Saturday afternoon. The ball will fly further in those early week conditions which could help out the course managers make the cut. That should cool things off a bit for the players as they tee it up for the final round on Sunday morning. I see no advantage to stacking players in the morning or afternoon waves on Thursday.
We are in a bit of a lull in the season with the FedEx Cup Playoffs just around the corner. I'm curious to see what happens after the Tour Championship.
ONE AND DONE PLAY: Davis Riley
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | Draft % (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | Draft % (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
G | Tony Finau | 10500 | 26.9% | 12000 | 33.7% |
It is weird to see him as the top priced option but here we are. He has made the cut in all three trips to the 3M and finished 3rd in 2020. He has also made the cut in four of his last five starts with two Top 5 finishes in weaker field events. 21st in Off the Tee, 17th in Approach, 13th in Tee to Green, 17th in Greens in Regulation, 27th in Scoring Average, and 31st in Birdie Average. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Sahith Theegala | 9800 | 25.5% | 11200 | 30.4% |
This guy is hard to ignore right now. He has made the cut in 12 of his last 13 starts with Top 5 finishes at the Memorial and the Travelers. Sahith missed the cut in his one appearance here in 2020 but he’s a much better player right now. He ranks Top 50 in both Tee to Green and Around the Green. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Davis Riley | 9000 | 30.8% | 11100 | 28.1% |
Some will say he cooled off with his 64th at the Travelers in his last start but I’m not buying it. He’s made the cut in 7 straight starts with three Top 10s and another Top 15. Despite never playing in this event, I still like him a lot because of his driving and ball striking ranking Top 50 in both Off the Tee and Tee to Green. Ride the hit hand and don’t look back. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Cameron Davis | 8900 | 24.1% | 10900 | 20.9% |
You want to talk about a hot hand, that’s Cam Davis. While this run has been at second tier events, you’ve got a very similar field strength this weekend. Davis has made the cut in 7 of his last 8 starts with 4 Top 10 finishes including his last two. Cam has also made the cut at this event his last two trips with a Top 12 finish in 2020. He ranks Top 75 on Tour in Off the Tee, Approach, Driving Distance, and Birdie Average. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | J.T. Poston | 8500 | 11.2% | 10800 | 12.6% |
When I first looked over this event and how to be successful, Poston was not at the top of my list to target. It’s hard to ignore that he has finished first and second in two of his last three starts. He also finished 28th in his debut at this event last year. He ranks Top 75 in Off the Tee, Around the Green, Putting, Tee to Green and Scoring Average. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Brendan Steele | 8300 | 17.4% | 10000 | 18.9% |
This nearly 40-year-old is still getting it done with the best of them off the tee ranking Top 5. He’s also 21st in Greens in Regulation, 29th in Tee to Green, 58th in Approach and 61st in Scoring Average. Steele has made the cut eight straight events which includes 3 Top 10 finishes (PGA, Memorial & Zurich). While he only finished 53rd in his only trip to the 3M in 2019, he did make the cut. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Nick Hardy | 8000 | 15.9% | 9900 | 20.3% |
This young gun has got something going right now and let’s take advantage while we can. Hardy has made five straight cuts with a Top 10 and another two Top 20s over that span. While this is the 26-year-old’s first trip to the 3M, his profile fits TPC Twin Cities quite well. He ranks 20th in Greens in Regulation, 22nd in Off the Tee, 51st in Birdie Average and 62nd in Putting. I love his weekend upside but I’d keep him to tournaments. Game Type: GPP | |||||
G | Cameron Champ | 7800 | 8.4% | 9700 | 3.2% |
The primary reason why he’s the defending champion of this event is his powerful drive. The dude ranks first on tour in driving distance at over 320 yards on average. He also ranks 9th in Off the Tee. He is not playing good golf right now having missed his last five cuts but I’ll take a shot on him in a tournament lineup. Game Type: GPP | |||||
G | Adam Svensson | 7600 | 28.0% | 9700 | 21.1% |
I absolutely love him at this price tag especially this weekend. He has made the cut in seven straight events with a Top 10 finish at the Barbasol in his last outing. This 28-year-old Canadian finished 15th in his one and only trip to the 3M back in 2019. He ranks 29th in Birdie Average, 43rd in Driving Accuracy, and 46th in Approach on the season. He seems to be a popular target amongst the sharps out there. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Dylan Frittelli | 7600 | 2.1% | 9500 | 2.2% |
He may not have a lot of high finishes but making money consistently on the PGA Tour is a good thing. Dylan has made the cut in 13 of his last 14 starts with one Top 10 and another four Top 30 finishes. He’s made the cut in two of his three trips to the 3M with a Top 20 finish in 2020. This former Texan Longhorn can still give the ball a good poke ranking inside the Top 75 in Driving Distance. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Wyndham Clark | 7500 | 9.5% | 9600 | 6.6% |
There are two things we know for sure when it comes to Wyndham, he can hit the ball a mile and putt better than about 90 percent of the tour players out there. The problems come with inconsistencies with his ball striking and iron play. Clark has made the cut in five of his last six starts including a Top 10 at the RBC Canadian. While he missed the cut in his last two trips to the 3M, he finished 5th here in his debut. I like him a lot this weekend and I’d even be willing to throw him in cash. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Michael Thompson | 7300 | 2.6% | 8700 | 3.5% |
While Thompson is not the most glamous pick, he’ll get the job done for salary relief. He has made the cut in five of his last six starts with a Top 10 in his last start at the Barracuda. Michael won the 2020 3M and made the cut in last year’s edition of the tournament. He still has abilities on and around the greens and can keep the ball on the fairway. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Kramer Hickok | 7200 | 1.7% | 8500 | 3.2% |
Kramer has made the cut in both of his trips to the 3M Open. While he doesn’t have much to write home about when it comes to his stats, he is Top 75 in Off the Tee which is better than most in this field. Hickok has also made the cut in four of his last five events with a Top 15 finish at the Barbasol in his last outing. You cannot be too picky when looking at this area of the pricing sheet. Game Type: GPP | |||||
G | Michael Gligic | 7000 | 3.4% | 8100 | 5.1% |
Michael has made the cut in both of his trips to the 3M Open, finishing as high as 26th in 2020. While he doesn’t have much to write home about when it comes to his stats, he is Top 80 in Off the Tee which is better than most in this field. Gligic has also made the cut in his last four starts with a Top 10 finish at the John Deere. Those are enough reasons for me to play him at this price point. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Brice Garnett | 6900 | 3.5% | 8300 | 3.6% |
Brice has made the cut in all three of the previous editions of the 3M Open, with no worse than a finish of 26th. Garnett does three things well, drive the ball straight, chip and putt which should lead him to success this weekend once again. Garnett made the cut and finished inside the Top 20 last week at the Barracuda. Those are enough reasons for me to play him at this price point. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Austin Cook | 6700 | 0.8% | 7600 | 1.1% |
Austin is playing good golf right now and I believe this is a price on DraftKings that we can take advantage of this week. He has made the cut in five straight events with two Top 20 finishes. While he’s missed the cut in two of the three previous editions of this event, I believe he’s playing better right now. He’ll never be known as a long hitter but he’s Top 15 in Driving Accuracy and can still chip and putt better than most. Game Type: CASH & GPP |
G | Tony Finau, G | 10500 | 12000 | ||
It is weird to see him as the top priced option but here we are. He has made the cut in all three trips to the 3M and finished 3rd in 2020. He has also made the cut in four of his last five starts with two Top 5 finishes in weaker field events. 21st in Off the Tee, 17th in Approach, 13th in Tee to Green, 17th in Greens in Regulation, 27th in Scoring Average, and 31st in Birdie Average. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 9800 | 11200 | |||
This guy is hard to ignore right now. He has made the cut in 12 of his last 13 starts with Top 5 finishes at the Memorial and the Travelers. Sahith missed the cut in his one appearance here in 2020 but he’s a much better player right now. He ranks Top 50 in both Tee to Green and Around the Green. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Davis Riley, G | 9000 | 11100 | ||
Some will say he cooled off with his 64th at the Travelers in his last start but I’m not buying it. He’s made the cut in 7 straight starts with three Top 10s and another Top 15. Despite never playing in this event, I still like him a lot because of his driving and ball striking ranking Top 50 in both Off the Tee and Tee to Green. Ride the hit hand and don’t look back. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 8900 | 10900 | |||
You want to talk about a hot hand, that’s Cam Davis. While this run has been at second tier events, you’ve got a very similar field strength this weekend. Davis has made the cut in 7 of his last 8 starts with 4 Top 10 finishes including his last two. Cam has also made the cut at this event his last two trips with a Top 12 finish in 2020. He ranks Top 75 on Tour in Off the Tee, Approach, Driving Distance, and Birdie Average. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | J.T. Poston, G | 8500 | 10800 | ||
When I first looked over this event and how to be successful, Poston was not at the top of my list to target. It’s hard to ignore that he has finished first and second in two of his last three starts. He also finished 28th in his debut at this event last year. He ranks Top 75 in Off the Tee, Around the Green, Putting, Tee to Green and Scoring Average. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 8300 | 10000 | |||
This nearly 40-year-old is still getting it done with the best of them off the tee ranking Top 5. He’s also 21st in Greens in Regulation, 29th in Tee to Green, 58th in Approach and 61st in Scoring Average. Steele has made the cut eight straight events which includes 3 Top 10 finishes (PGA, Memorial & Zurich). While he only finished 53rd in his only trip to the 3M in 2019, he did make the cut. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Nick Hardy, G | 8000 | 9900 | ||
This young gun has got something going right now and let’s take advantage while we can. Hardy has made five straight cuts with a Top 10 and another two Top 20s over that span. While this is the 26-year-old’s first trip to the 3M, his profile fits TPC Twin Cities quite well. He ranks 20th in Greens in Regulation, 22nd in Off the Tee, 51st in Birdie Average and 62nd in Putting. I love his weekend upside but I’d keep him to tournaments. Game Type: GPP | |||||
G | 7800 | 9700 | |||
The primary reason why he’s the defending champion of this event is his powerful drive. The dude ranks first on tour in driving distance at over 320 yards on average. He also ranks 9th in Off the Tee. He is not playing good golf right now having missed his last five cuts but I’ll take a shot on him in a tournament lineup. Game Type: GPP | |||||
G | 7600 | 9700 | |||
I absolutely love him at this price tag especially this weekend. He has made the cut in seven straight events with a Top 10 finish at the Barbasol in his last outing. This 28-year-old Canadian finished 15th in his one and only trip to the 3M back in 2019. He ranks 29th in Birdie Average, 43rd in Driving Accuracy, and 46th in Approach on the season. He seems to be a popular target amongst the sharps out there. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 7600 | 9500 | |||
He may not have a lot of high finishes but making money consistently on the PGA Tour is a good thing. Dylan has made the cut in 13 of his last 14 starts with one Top 10 and another four Top 30 finishes. He’s made the cut in two of his three trips to the 3M with a Top 20 finish in 2020. This former Texan Longhorn can still give the ball a good poke ranking inside the Top 75 in Driving Distance. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 7500 | 9600 | |||
There are two things we know for sure when it comes to Wyndham, he can hit the ball a mile and putt better than about 90 percent of the tour players out there. The problems come with inconsistencies with his ball striking and iron play. Clark has made the cut in five of his last six starts including a Top 10 at the RBC Canadian. While he missed the cut in his last two trips to the 3M, he finished 5th here in his debut. I like him a lot this weekend and I’d even be willing to throw him in cash. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 7300 | 8700 | |||
While Thompson is not the most glamous pick, he’ll get the job done for salary relief. He has made the cut in five of his last six starts with a Top 10 in his last start at the Barracuda. Michael won the 2020 3M and made the cut in last year’s edition of the tournament. He still has abilities on and around the greens and can keep the ball on the fairway. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 7200 | 8500 | |||
Kramer has made the cut in both of his trips to the 3M Open. While he doesn’t have much to write home about when it comes to his stats, he is Top 75 in Off the Tee which is better than most in this field. Hickok has also made the cut in four of his last five events with a Top 15 finish at the Barbasol in his last outing. You cannot be too picky when looking at this area of the pricing sheet. Game Type: GPP | |||||
G | 7000 | 8100 | |||
Michael has made the cut in both of his trips to the 3M Open, finishing as high as 26th in 2020. While he doesn’t have much to write home about when it comes to his stats, he is Top 80 in Off the Tee which is better than most in this field. Gligic has also made the cut in his last four starts with a Top 10 finish at the John Deere. Those are enough reasons for me to play him at this price point. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 6900 | 8300 | |||
Brice has made the cut in all three of the previous editions of the 3M Open, with no worse than a finish of 26th. Garnett does three things well, drive the ball straight, chip and putt which should lead him to success this weekend once again. Garnett made the cut and finished inside the Top 20 last week at the Barracuda. Those are enough reasons for me to play him at this price point. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Austin Cook, G | 6700 | 7600 | ||
Austin is playing good golf right now and I believe this is a price on DraftKings that we can take advantage of this week. He has made the cut in five straight events with two Top 20 finishes. While he’s missed the cut in two of the three previous editions of this event, I believe he’s playing better right now. He’ll never be known as a long hitter but he’s Top 15 in Driving Accuracy and can still chip and putt better than most. Game Type: CASH & GPP |