The West Coast Swing’s second Pro-Am is here as we head to the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in sunny Pebble Beach, California. This golf paradise is a favorite each season, as we get to see some of the most beautiful golf courses in the United States. 

Previously a three-course event, this year's iteration will be taking place at Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill Golf Course. Our last multi-course event of the year is also a signature event with a short field and no-cut.  

 

 

 

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections

Being a signature event and a Pro-Am, this will present yet another interesting challenge. This 80-man field will compete for a $20,000,000 purse and 700 FedEx cup points. 

Historically, the winning score at this event almost always comes within a couple of strokes of 20 under par. Last season, we did see a weather-shortened event however, so this score could’ve been higher. We will keep all of this in mind as we break down the event.

 

 

 

Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hills Golf Course: Course Breakdown This Week

Let’s start with Spyglass Hills this week. Spyglass Hills will be playing at just over 7,000 yards and playing at a Par of 72. While we do not have any ShotLink data for Spyglass Hills (this will be the first year we receive it), we can still glean some insights from the course. 

Spyglass will give us 4 Par 3’s, 10 Par 4’s, and 4 Par 5’s. The longest of the Par 3’s plays just over 200 yards and the shortest will be playing at only 130 yards. Each of the Par 5’s plays essentially 550 yards or more and all but 1 Par 4 will play at 400 or more yards. 

Pebble Beach Golf Links will play just under 7,000 yards and a par of 72. While we do see a similar breakdown in terms of the number of holes at the specific pars, we do see a clear difference in terms of the consistency of yardage. 

The longest par 3 at each course is roughly the same, but the 106-yard par 3 7th hole at Pebble Beach plays nearly 25 yards shorter than the shortest Par 3 at Spyglass. Pebble also features the longest Par 4 of the event, but also the shortest par 4’s. 

Pebble’s calling card is its greens, where we see some of the smallest greens on tour as they average nearly 3,500 square feet. Given the small greens, Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green will play a very large part in our breakdown. Additionally, given the layout here, this course often sees one of the shortest average driving distance numbers on tour.

As with most coastal courses, the wind will heavily come into play. Interestingly, even though Spyglass Hill has fewer holes on the water and more holes with tree cover, high winds often make this the harder of the two courses. 

The scoring average on both courses is just over par, but as we see given the winning scores, it’s still very possible to go low here. At the time of writing, the weather is projected to be rather mild. While we shouldn’t see much fluctuation in terms of temperature, rain is currently projected on both Saturday and Sunday. 

In terms of wind, we’re not projected for anything major in terms of consistently strong winds, we will see various changes in direction and gusts as high as 45 miles per hour. As we saw this past week at the Farmers Open, wind can drastically change the scoring on these courses, so this is something to keep in mind.

With this all in mind, we will be focusing on some different statistics than usual. Course history remains important given the unique event and the correlation we’ve seen to success historically. Many of the traditional driving statistics are less of a factor given the propensity to lay up off the tee here. 

As a result, Good Drives Gained will likely play a large role given the approach shots are factored into this as well. We will be focusing on approach shots shorter than 150 yards, as the distance and layout lead these to play a larger factor given that the 2024 iteration of the event saw over 40 percent of approach shots fall into this bucket. 

Strokes Gained: Approach was the only major statistic that had a larger-than-average correlation to Total Strokes Gained in the last two seasons, with Strokes Gained: Putting being the only statistic that saw a similar to average correlation. Lastly, Par 4 scoring on holes between 350-450 will see larger importance as well, given that 40 percent of holes fall into this bucket between the two courses.

 

 

 

Farmers Insurance Open 2025 Field: Golf DFS

Given the 80-man field, this event sees a strong field in terms of talent. Eight of the top ten players in the Official World Golf Rank will appear in this event, with Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy leading the pack and both making their PGA TOUR season debut this week. 

All but 6 players in the field are ranked inside the top 100 in the OWGR as well, so this field projects to be very competitive. Xander Schauffele will miss this event with an injury, marking the only active player on the PGA TOUR in the OWGR top 10 who will not be here as world number 8 Tyrrell Hatton joined LIV Golf in 2024.

Each of our winners in the 2025 season will be here as well as previous AT&T Pro-Am winners Wyndham Clark, Justin Rose, Tome Hoge, Nick Taylor, and Jordan Spieth. We do see a handful of players making their debut here as well. Even in a short field, we should see some unique lineups in play.

 

 

 

This Week’s PGA DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator

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PGA Best Bets & Predictions: 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (4-4 Overall, +4.5 Units)

  • Patrick Cantlay: Top 10 (+170)
  • Viktor Hovland: Top Nordic Golfer (+210) 

 

 

 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier

Scottie Scheffler ($12,800 FanDuel/$11,900 DraftKings)

Scottie will be making his 2025 debut at Pebble Beach this week, but I am not afraid of throwing him into my lineups this week. Scottie made his debut here last year and walked away with a T6 finish. Before this performance, the only time we had seen Scottie at Pebble Beach was at the 2019 U.S. Open. 

Scottie has clearly evolved as a player since so this performance is less of a factor for me. In his last 25 events, Scottie has logged 21 top-10 finishes, with 10 wins during that stretch. Even coming off an injury layoff, I’m not bothered if you want to get Scottie into lineups (even though he will likely be one of the highest-rostered players).

Patrick Cantlay ($11,200 FanDuel/$9,400 DraftKings)

Cantlay combines current form, and historical play, and ranks well in many of our major statistical categories this week. What better option than him at the price? Over his last 5 appearances at Pebble Beach, he has not finished worse than T21 and has 4 finishes of T11 or better in his last 4 showings here. He also has not finished worse than T25 since his missed cut at the Memorial in June of 2024. 

His approach game has been rough, as he ranks 156th on tour and near the bottom of our field, but his approach numbers in our key brackets have been some of his strongest. This includes the 100-125 yard bracket where he ranks 10th on tour and top 3 in our field. He also leads the field in Par 4 scoring, and is top 3 again in SG: ATG. Cantlay will likely be my top choice in the Top Tier this week.

 

 

 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER

Jason Day ($10,600 FanDuel/$8,900 DraftKings)

While Day’s putter has fallen off substantially over his last 3 events, I’m going to lean more heavily on the course history here. Day has played in this event 14 times in his career and competed here again in the 2019 U.S. Open. During that stretch Day finished inside the top-5 five times, within the top-10 nine times, and within the top 25 13 times. 

So far in 2025, Day’s strengths have been approaching the green and around the green, as he ranks in the top half of the field in each of these key statistics. He’s top 20 on tour in avoiding bogeys, and while parts of his game have been lacking thus far, I think this will help him heavily on these shorter courses. 

Jordan Spieth ($9,100 FanDuel/$7,900 DraftKings)

Spieth presents the largest question mark in the field. We haven’t seen him since the FedEx St. Jude Championship in August. He had been hampered by a nagging wrist injury which had been affecting him on and off since 2017 when he injured it during a training session. It would randomly act up on and off, then eventually became a serious issue in May 2023 when he started to deal with constant tendon dislocation issues. 

He’s been swinging the club for quite some time and feels confident enough to get back into the field this week. Spieth has historically played well here as he’s ranked inside the top-25 nine times, including a win in 2017, since his debut here in 2013. According to Spieth, his injury mostly became an issue around the green and putting, so hopefully he runs into none of those issues here and his course understanding takes over. I’m willing to take the risk here given his history. 

Beau Hossler ($9,300 FanDuel/$7,600 DraftKings)

Hossler was one of the more surprising names to appear at the high end of my model this year, but then once I looked at it deeper, it made a lot of sense. Since his missed cut at the 2024 3M Open, Hossler has been on fire. He’s missed just one cut during this stretch and has only finished outside the top 25 a single time. In his last three appearances at Pebble Beach, he has 3 T14 or better finishes, including a 3rd place finish in 2022. 

His statistical profile is very similar to Patrick Cantlay here. He has generally been his worst approaching the green but has been his best on approach within 150 yards. He ranks top 10 in SG: ATG, and in the top 4 of our field, and also leads the entire PGA TOUR in overall putting average. His game lines up well for this course, so it makes total sense that his course history average is so high. I love Hossler as an option to diversify lineups this week. 

 

 

 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER

Eric Cole ($8,800 FanDuel/$6,800 DraftKings)

Cole fits what we’re looking for this week when looking at what he has done at Pebble Beach. With multiple T15 finishes, he fits the course history well. The rest of his game is generally fine. His approach and around-the-green numbers are middle of the pack, with his putting in the top third. Over his last 25 starts it is very clear that when he’s on, he is a contender, with multiple T10 finishes since June 2024. If we get the good Eric Cole this week, this could present tremendous value.

Tom Hoge ($9,400 FanDuel/$7,300 DraftKings)

Hoge is a player who has historically been limited by his play off the tee, ranking outside the top 100 each of the last 3 years. Where he has excelled is what makes him a great fit for Pebble Beach. Thus far in 2025, Hoge ranks in the top 20 in the field in SG: ATG, SG: Putting, Bogey Avoidance, Par 4 Scoring, and Approach in 4 of the 5 yardage brackets under 150 yards. 

He’s also been one of the top 5 scramblers on tour in 2025. It makes it very clear why he’s done so well here. In his last 4 appearances at Pebble Beach, he’s finished inside the top 12 three times, including his win in 2022. His struggles off the tee should have a limited impact this week, so Hoge makes too much sense to not get in lineups this week.

Aaron Rai($8,500 FanDuel/$6,900 DraftKings)

Aaron Rai is a guy who I’ve always liked. Always one of the shorter hitters in any given field, he still finds a way to consistently compete. He’s constantly been in the top 20 and was one of the best putters in the field in his lone appearance here in 2024. 

His approach shots have been what has held him back this year, which does give us some concern, especially coming off a Farmer's appearance where he ranked as the 3rd worst player on approach. I’m going to take a wild shot here on him as I believe in the putter and around the green game to be strong, and since he won’t be taking as many long approach shots, hopefully, he can mitigate some of those issues.

 

 

 

PGA DFS Picks This Week (Cheat Sheet)

Player Pool

$ Tier G
High Logo Scottie Scheffler
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $11,900
Logo Rory McIlroy
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $10,700
Logo Ludvig Aberg
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $9,900
Logo Patrick Cantlay
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $9,400
Medium Logo Sam Burns
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $9,200
Logo Jason Day
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $8,900
Logo Keegan Bradley
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $8,500
Logo Jordan Spieth
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $7,900
Logo Russell Henley
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $7,900
Logo Beau Hossler
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $7,600
Low Logo Tom Hoge
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $7,300
Logo Aaron Rai
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $6,900
Logo Eric Cole
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $6,800
Logo Justin Rose
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $6,300
Logo Justin Lower
Classic (PGA TOUR)Logo $6,200