Canada vs. Finland Prediction, USA vs. Sweden Picks & NHL 4 Nations Odds Today

Hello and welcome everyone to another batch of NHL 4 Nations Face-Off tournament best bets! It's round 3 of the games today with both being played this Monday afternoon/night and, depending on the result in the first game the night game, could be juicy!
Note that if Canada wins in regulation, then Sweden is eliminated. Thus, the USA vs. Sweden game means basically nothing.
NHL 4 Nations Face-Off Picks Today: Canada vs. Finland Prediction & USA vs. Sweden Best Bets
With that now broken down for you all, let's dive into my Canada vs. Finland prediction and USA vs. Sweden picks for the third set of games of the tournament that will take place today.
Here are my expert NHL Best Bets today!
- Tournament Record: 4-3-0
- Bankroll: +1.1 Units
*Follow me on X/Twitter @jwaggs10
Canada vs. Finland Prediction, Picks & Best Bets Today, 2/17
The fact that Canada, Finland and Sweden all have 2 points as we head into the final round robin portion of the 4 Nations Face-Off is not what was expected but it’ll definitely make things juicy! Team Canada has yet to fully flex their muscles in this contest though with 5 goals in the 2 games and I think the floodgates are about to open on poor Finland.
The USA scored 6 on this group just a few days ago and Canada has the most talented group of forwards in most analyst’s opinions. That mixed with the fact that Finland only has 3 full time NHL players on defense leads me to think that the Canadians are going to score a bunch of goals tonight and I am going all the way north as 4.5 goals for their team total at plus money!
The next wager to make is going to be on Canada to control play and that means less work for goaltender Jordan Binnington this afternoon. In the games that were close against the USA and Sweden the Canadian defense still allowed just 48 shots in 2 games in which one included 6 shots in a 3 v 3 overtime game.
With that put together I am going to take Binnington to go under on saves tonight as he’s going to see at most 20 shots today.
- Expert Canada vs. Finland Prediction:
- Team Canada Over 4.5 Goals (+120 on DraftKings)
- Jordan Binnington (CAN) Under 22.5 Saves (-120 on DraftKings)
USA vs. Sweden Prediction, Picks & Best Bets Today, 2/17
- USA vs. Sweden Over 5.5 Goals (-130 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Auston Matthews (USA) Anytime Goal Scorer (+175 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
4 Nations Face-Off Schedule 2025
NHL.com has provided the following 2025 4 Nations Face-Off schedule:
- Monday, Feb. 17
- Canada vs. Finland, 1 PM EST; MAX, truTV, TNT, SN, TVAS
- Sweden vs. United States, 8 PM EST; MAX, truTV, TNT, SN, TVAS
- Thursday, Feb. 20
- Championship Game, 8 PM EST; ESPN, ESPN+, SN, TVAS
Player News
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ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
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Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
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Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
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