NFL DFS Week 3 Watch List: Top DraftKings Picks & Top FanDuel Picks

JUST ADDED: While the rest of the world is down on the Chiefs and talking about how there is no home-field advantage at Arrowhead anymore, we'll happily use Mahomes against a Bears defense that has been decimated by the likes of Jordan Love and Baker Mayfield. Whether you pair him up with Travis Kelce or just slide a naked Mahomes into your DFS lineups, you're going to get top-flight production this week, especially with guys in the backfield all banged-up. The Bears have already allowed 277 passing yards per game with four touchdowns through the air and with so much happening to them off the field, those numbers are going to spike even higher this week.

This game has the highest total at 54 and we fully expect a shootout given how bad the defenses are here. The data doesn't quite reveal how bad the Vikings pass defense is as they rank 11th against the pass in DVOA and have only allowed an average of 170 passing yards per game, but we all know just how porous this secondary is and Kellen Moore's offense is just going to be attacking every chance they get. They'll have to as their own defense is pretty trashy. Herbert's got the weapons and he's going to need to put them all to good use this week. Invest with confidence.

Yes, he is currently listed as questionable with a hand injury, but it is his non-throwing hand so there doesn't appear to be much concern. Jackson had a solid effort last week, throwing for 237 yards with two touchdowns against the Bengals and he seemed to find a nice groove here in Todd Monken's new offense. He's got his security blanket in Mark Andrews back and seems to have a real nice on-field rapport with rookie wideout Zay Flowers. This Colts secondary is real bad and has allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game (287.0) so far. Expect the growth in the air-raid scheme to continue this week and get ready to lock Jackson into some lineups. UPDATE: Weather issues so be mindful. We'll explore further

You can basically take everything you just read in the Justin Herbert section and swap out Chargers for Vikings. The only difference is that the data actually does back up the notion that the Chargers pass defense is horrible and is primed to be exposed by Cousins and this Minnesota passing attack. The Chargers rank dead-last in DVOA against the pass and are allowing the most passing yards per game (333.0) through the first two weeks. Expect a strong back-and-forth between these two offenses and enjoy being invested for DFS.

There seems to be a lot more to dislike about Watson than the sexual misconduct that ushered him out of football for a year and then suspended for another 11 games. The Browns needed him to step up on Monday Night Football and all they got was a mediocre performance and an investigation by the NFL into his two facemask/personal foul penalties and the fact that he apparently put his hands on an official. It almost feels like we're in the movie Slap Shot and we're talking about Ogie Oglethorpe. All of that notwithstanding, he is still facing a soft Titans secondary and has decent weapons to help move the ball downfield. The loss of Nick Chubb maybe puts a slightly stronger emphasis on the passing game, but it's really going to hinge on whether things click for Watson or they don't. Probably just a GPP option for now, but we'll see how things develop.

Don't you look at me like that. It's only a Watch List, not a final Playbook. But Detroit's defense is struggling in the secondary and they rank 27th in DVOA against the pass. On top of that, they just lost Chauncey Gardner-Johnson to a torn pectoral muscle so they're going to have to try and patch things together with lesser personnel. We know that Atlanta lives and dies by the run, but this game could produce some shootout vibes and that could put Ridder into more passing. He also has some rushing upside as well, so maybe he puts one in the end zone on his own too.

Welp, it's Houston, so we all know what that means – run the football and run it a ton. The Texans rank dead-last in DVOA against the run and have allowed an average of 118 rushing yards per game and a league-high six rushing touchdowns. Etienne should have no issues running the football against this defense, but we do have to be careful with the fact that his targets should decrease given the potential game flow and we run the risk of losing goal-line touches and second-half carries to Tank Bigsby. We'll have to look deeper into this, but at least this keeps the Jaguars rushing attack in the forefront of our minds.

The Panthers were gouged on the ground in Week 1 by Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Then they got dusted for 138 rushing yards between Jamaal Williams, Taysom Hill and Tony Jones Jr. The first two are understandable, but when Jones Jr. is posting 34 yards and two touchdowns, you know something is up. Walker is the bell cown in this Seattle offense and there is no reason to believe he won't see high volume in this match-up. Zach Charbonnet isn't going to push him for touches yet, so load up on Walker here in the early part of the season.  

JUST ADDED: The Broncos may have done a nice job containing Josh Jacobs, who sat out the entire preseason, in Week 1, but their suspect run defense was exposed last week when Brian Robinson ripped them for 87 yards (4.8 YPC) and two touchdowns. Now they'll take on Mostert who is coming off another strong performance and has proven the be the bell-cow Mike McDaniel covets. Mostert has outstanding speed and talent. The one knock on him is injuries. But so long as he is healthy, there is no reason not to use him, especially when it's such a favorable match-up.

On the other side of this Seahawks/Panthers game, we cannot ignore the fact that Seattle has allowed an average of 97 rushing yards per game with four rushing touchdowns allowed. Sanders hasn't been much of a world-beater through the first two weeks of the season, but he did rack up 72 yards on 18 carries against Atlanta and still saw 14 carries against a somewhat stout Saints run defense. Tack on a few catches here and there and suddenly we've got value in the mid-tier that also has some strong upside.

There's just no way Nathaniel Hackett is dumb enough to limit Hall's touches in back-to-back games, is there? Hopefully not. The Patriots have allowed an average of 121 rushing yards per game, allowed two rushing touchdowns and rank 21st in DVOA against the run. The assumption is that Bill Belichick will scheme to stop the run for the Jets, but the Patriots also rank 24th in DVOA against the pass. If Zach Wilson can play relatively mistake-free football, then things might open up more for Hall on the ground.

It's tough to invest in the Broncos right now after losing back-to-back home games and it's even tougher investing in a player visiting Miami this early in the season. The Miami Flu is alive and well for all visitors of South Florida, so if Sean Payton doesn't have his guys under lock and key, there may just be a little too much fun in the sun. If Payton does keep his boys in line, then we've got a really nice match-up for Williams as the Fins have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards per game (160.5) and they've given up four rushing touchdowns. They also rank 26th in DVOA against running back pass plays and we all know how much a Joe Lombardi system loves throwing to the running back.

JUST ADDED: Last week I warned you that Kelley would be fine for cash games (65-70% ownership across the board) but had very limited GPP upside against Tennessee and we were 100-percent right. The beauty of DFS is that a short memory is required and last week's trash could be this week's treasure. The Vikings run defense has allowed 166 rushing yards per game and has coughed up three rushing touchdowns. We know the secondary is bad and we expect this match-up to turn into a shootout, but Kellen Moore's offense utilizes the power-run to help set up the play-action downfield. Without Austin Ekeler in the picture, Kelley should see a full complement of touches and could actually produce numbers most people were hoping for last week.

This is simply a reminder that, in this match-up against the Chargers, you're going to want to save some salary in order to fit Jefferson into your lineups. It's that big of a no-brainer.

I am a little worried about Derek Carr not being very good, but from a match-up standpoint, I really like Olave against the Packers, especially if Jaire Alexander is going o be worrying about Michael Thomas instead. We'll have to wait and see what the defensive coverage plan is going to look like and if any shadowing is going on, but if there isn't, then Olave to the moon against Green Bay. The Packers rank 26th in DVOA against the opposing WR1, so keep an eye on him this week as few people are investing. 

McLaurin looked rock-solid this past week posting five catches for 54 yards and a touchdown while Patrick Surtain was crawling all over him. The Bills secondary doesn't have coverage as strong and they already rank 27th in DVOA against the opposition's top receiver. Sam Howell and McLaurin are just finding their groove so strike while the iron is hot and the price tag is this cheap.

Cooper surprised everyone on Monday Night Football by not only playing when reports had him likely to miss the game but racking up 90 yards on seven catches against a solid Steelers secondary. Now he'll face a super-soft Titans secondary this week in a game the Browns are really going to need improved play from Deshaun Watson. If he can get himself back on-track, then he and Cooper can carve up this defensive backfield. 

The Chiefs Swiss Army knife may not have played a ton of snaps this past week, but he did catch five passes and looked to be a focal point whenever he stepped onto the field. I expect the snap share to increase this week as Patrick Mahomes gets more comfortable with his weapons, but more importantly, this is a revenge game for Chiefs OC Matt Nagy. He's definitely looking to rack up some points on the Bears defense this week and seeing as how soft their secondary is, it all probably starts with the passing attack.

We already discussed how soft the Colts secondary is in the Lamar Jackson section up above, so there's no real need to start spouting numbers again. Just scroll up. The key for me here is how Flowers has played the most snaps of any of the Ravens receivers and he will continue to do so moving forward. He's definitely become a favorite of Jackson's thanks to those offseason workouts they did together and with he way Monken moves him all over the field, there is less concern over which corner he sees in coverage  Not that it matters given the Colts personnel.

Last week I was locked in on Keenan Allen due to the match-up and now I'll be loving on Williams for this one. I do like Allen as well, but Williams has a fantastic physical advantage over the Vikings cornerbacks and I see him getting a ton of downfield looks. As mentioned previously, the data doesn't really give the full story of Minnesota's pass-coverage, but we know from our research that Williams is going to soar in this match-up.

For those who gave up on London and lost him in season-long, here's your chance to get him into a DFS lineup this week so you can have a slice. The Lions secondary rides the struggle-bus to the stadium each week and now they're going to be without Chauncey Gardner-Johnson who is expected to miss a few weeks. The Falcons aren't going to give you high-volume passing, but London should still see a half-dozen targets and turn them into something tasty. Don't be sleeping on him, people.

JUST ADDED: The Falcons will welcome Jeffrey Okudah back to the field this week which will be trouble for Amon-Ra St. Brown, Marvin Jones and Kalif Raymond, but it could mean wheels-up for Reynolds who has spent roughly half his snaps working out of the slot. That will put him against Dee Alford as opposed to Okudah or A.J. Terrell and given the fact the way Jared Goff has targeted him over the first two weeks, we are expecting another strong effort from the veteran wideout. Keep an eye on his injury status as he is listed as questionable with a groin injury, but he's logged limited practices this week and seems like he should be fine for Sunday. Love the price on DK. The one on FD, not so much.

I like Mingo for season-long fantasy and I enjoyed seeing him get into the action this past Monday against the Saints. He's a strong deep-threat and though he didn't come down with much in catches, I like the fact that he saw eight targets which was second-highest on the team right behind Adam Thielen's nine. If Mingo can continue to see such a heavy snap share, he'll start to pop off as Bryce Young gets more comfortable.

Not sure why we aren't seeing any prices here for Harty, but we'll look into it. Washington struggles with slot coverage and Harty should continue to get some extra looks. We could also take a look at Khalil Shakir if we start seeing the Bills back off the workload for Harty, but for now, we're going to keep watching. 

With Mike Gesicki lining up as a wide receiver, the TE1 duties have fallen to Henry and that's a great thing. Bill O'Brien's offense loves incorporating the tight end and we've now seen him average 5 catches for 54 yards and a touchdown per game. The Jets defense is rock-solid, but they rank 22nd in DVOA against the position and have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to them. If Henry stays on-target this week against a tough opponent, we'll probably be looking at him every week.

The Seahawks rank 31st in DVOA against the tight end and 20th in points allowed by position. Hurst has become a favorite option for Bryce Young and while he didn't see high volume this past week against New Orleans, he was targeted seven times in Week 1 and now faces a team missing one of its best player in Jamal Adams. If Adams is out, it's wheels up for Hurst.  

The ultimate contrarian play as no one, and I mean no one, is going to use Pitts this week. But the Lions rank 23rd in DVOA against tight ends and they give up the third-most fantasy points per game to the position. Oh yeah, and Chauncy Gardner-Johnson is dealing with a torn pectoral muscle and is unlikely to play this week. If Pitts can just get a little separation, perhaps this is the week he shines for us.

The Jaguars are another team that struggles against the tight end and while they rank 15th in DVOA against the position, they do give up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to the tight end. Schultz bounced back from a bad Week 1 and looked solid in his second game, so if the targets are still there, Schultz could be a very sneaky play this week.

Speaking of sneaky plays, maybe Jon Impemba was one week too early for Trautman as being a potential DFS bargain. He saw just one target last week against the Seahawks which was super-disappointing, but this week, he appears to be primed for and uptick in target share. We'll play this one by ear, but the Dolphins do allow the second-most fantasy points per game to the tight end position.

JUST ADDED: If you're looking for a dart-throw at the tight end position, then Turner should be on your radar. The Bills rank 17th in DVOA against the tight end and the secondary is likely to be preoccupied with the likes of Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. But we know Eric Bieniemy's scheme and we know he likes to look for the tight end, especially inside the red zone. With Logan Thomas likely still out with a concussion, the big 6-foot-6, 240-pound Turner could be the sleeper pay-down you need.