Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 11 TNF: Keaton Mitchell & Trenton Irwin Plays for Bengals vs Ravens
NFL Week 11 kicks off tonight with the Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens matchup on Thursday Night Football. Let's break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Bengals vs Ravens TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Ravens rookie RB Keaton Mitchell and Bengals WR Trenton Irwin. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. As always, be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this TNF Bengals vs Ravens showdown. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or making NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 11 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 11 Thursday Night Football Bengals vs Ravens
Keaton Mitchell, Baltimore Ravens – HIGHER Than 36.5 Rushing Yards
It might soon be Keaton Mitchell SZN in Baltimore. The rookie running back exploded onto the scene two weeks ago with 138 rushing yards on just nine carries with multiple long gains, including a 40-yard TD run. Last week, he only saw three carries but still had 34 yards with another breakaway touchdown. Mitchell also had 32 receiving yards on two catches in that game. His explosiveness is very evident and he’s now averaging 13.9 yards per touch in limited work this season. Well, that workload is expected to increase now.
Ravens head coach John Harbaugh suggested earlier this week that Mitchell would get more work moving forward and this short-week matchup is a great opportunity. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has struggled to stop the run, allowing 136.2 rushing yards per game (3rd-most in NFL) and 5.0 yards per carry (2nd-most). Last week, Texans RB Devin Singletary tore up the Cincy defense for 150 rushing yards. If Mitchell does get more carries, then his explosive running style against a shaky run defense should help him easily get 40+ rushing yards – and he might do it on a single attempt. Gus Edwards struggled last week with only 24 yards on 11 carries. There may be a changing-of-the-guard in the Ravens backfield with how good Mitchell has looked.
Trenton Irwin, Cincinnati Bengals – HIGHER Than 34.5 Receiving Yards
Tee Higgins is set to miss his second straight game for the Cincinnati Bengals. In Higgins’ absence last week, Trenton Irwin moved up to WR3 and logged 81% of the offensive snaps. With the increased role, the Cincy wideout had 54 receiving yards and a TD on four targets. It’s not a huge day, but we know Irwin will be on the field a lot as the Bengals use a lot of three-WR formations. Back in Week 5 when Higgins was out, Irwin played 76% of the snaps and had 60 receiving yards on eight catches and 10 targets.
So, he’s had more than this receiving line in both games with Higgins sidelined this season. Plus, when Higgins got hurt in a game last year, Irwin had 58 receiving yards with an 84% snap share. Though the Baltimore Ravens have been tough defensively against the pass, Irwin can do just enough to have 35+ yards tonight.
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ESPN’s Jordan Raanan expects Jaxson Dart to sit his entire rookie year if “all goes well.”
The problem with that otherwise sensible opinion, of course, is that it is extremely unlikely “all goes well” with Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston on a roster that found itself picking at No. 3 overall last month. If the Giants are genuinely serious about redshirting Dart for a year, it will be easier than most places because of the presence of two veteran quarterbacks instead of just one, but coach Brian Daboll and GM Joe Schoen both have their jobs on the line. That almost equals “break rookie glass.” Teams have become more amenable to sitting blue-chip rookie QBs in recent years, but we would be stunned if Dart fails to make 2025 starts.
Colts claimed DT Eric Johnson II off waivers from the Patriots.
A 2022 fifth-round pick of the Colts, Johnson spent two years in Indy before last year’s sojourn in Boston. Waived at final cuts last summer, Johnson was claimed by the Pats. He’s been a steady special teamer and rotational depth piece up front. Johnson’s Colts experience greatly enhances his 53-man roster odds, but his spot will be far from a given. He turns 27 in July.
NBC Sports’ Matt Maiocco reports that the 49ers and OT D.J. Humphries do not have a deal in place.
Humphries reported on his social media account a few weeks ago that he had agreed to a contract with the 49ers, but that does not appear to be the case. At least for now. Humphries tore his ACL at the end of the 2023 season and was released by the Cardinals. He spent most of the 2024 season rehabbing before signing with the Chiefs. He started at left tackle in Week 14 before hurting his hamstring and missing the rest of the season. He will continue to search for another opportunity.
Patriots DT Christian Barmore (blood clots) will be ready to play in Week 1.
Barmore was limited to just four games last season while battling blood clots. He told reporters on Thursday that he’s been cleared for all football activity and has been a full participant in the Patriots’ offseason workout program. He expects to be fully ready by Week 1.
Raiders hired Brandon Hunt as Vice President of Player Personnel
Hunt was most recently the senior director of scouting for the Philadelphia Eagles and spent the previous two seasons as their director of scouting. Before joining the Eagles, Hunt spent 12 seasons (2010-21) as the pro scouting coordinator for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
ESPN’s Seth Wickersham reports Caleb Williams considered forcing a pre-draft trade from the Bears before ultimately deciding he could win in Chicago.
In other words, he mulled pulling an Elway. “Chicago is the place quarterbacks go to die,” were the words of Caleb’s father Carl to ESPN’s Seth Wickersham. Williams reportedly desired a trade to the Vikings, but he changed his mind after touring the Bears’ facility. “I can do it for this team,” Caleb reportedly told his dad. “I’m going to go to the Bears.” Williams acknowledged any attempt to force a trade would require going scorched earth on the Bears and city of Chicago, a process he did not have the stomach for. There have been zero reports of Bears/Williams drama since he made his peace with the idea, even after former coach Matt Eberflus’ clown show 2024 mistakes. It’s an interesting story, but one firmly planted in the past.