NFL Super Bowl 57 Player Props: Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
It’s time for Super Bowl LVII and boy what a game it’s going to be between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs. Both teams finished as their respective conference number one seed and feature an MVP candidate that likely finishes first and second in the award. Underdog Fantasy has plenty of props we can take a look at so let’s dive in.
Underdog Fantasy NFL Promo: Jalen Hurts 0.5 Total Yards
Yeah, I think this is probably a good bet to go over.
Travis Kelce OVER 0.5 Receiving touchdowns
When you look at Travis Kelce’s postseason career, it’s insane. He’s played 17 games and has scored 15 touchdowns. Think about that for a second. He’s scored three touchdowns in two games this postseason, he scored in all three postseason games last year, and, scored in two of three during their Super Bowl run three years ago. He’s scored in eight of his last nine postseason games and the cherry on top was Tyreek Hill being around in past years if you’ve lived under a rock this entire season, Hill’s not around this postseason run.
The Eagles have allowed just three touchdowns to opposing tight ends and I understand it’s a tough match-up, but if he does get matched up with safeties in this game, that’s where the Eagles have been slightly more susceptible than on the outside trying to target Darius Slay or James Bradberry. Strong safety Marcus Epps ranks 70th of 89 qualified and lined up in the slot for 130 snaps this year. If Kelce gets that match-up at all, look for KC to exploit it.
Miles Sanders OVER 4.5 receiving yards
I know there has been a serious regression when it comes to Miles Sanders’ pass-catching this season, but the Chiefs have been beaten by running backs out of the backfield all year long. The 112 receptions by running backs were the most in the NFL and teams targeted their backers 136 times, obviously speaking to the type of defense Steve Spanuolo likes to deploy for Kansas City.
The 20 receptions this year for Sanders was a career-low and so was the 3.9 yards per reception, but for his career, he has a 50-catch campaign under his belt and has averaged north of seven yards per reception over his career. Yes, Kenneth Gainwell has burdened more of the pass-catching duties recently, but let’s factor in the game environments in the last two weeks. His number was called on more because of the blowouts. Sanders catching passes out of the backfield could be an interesting part of the Eagles' game plan.
Noah Gray UNDER 13.5 receiving yards
In every single game this year, Noah Gray has had at least one target and in all but one game, he’s caught at least one pass. That said, it hasn’t been many times he’s had multi-reception games. He’s been targeted more than once just one time since Week 15, including the postseason games, and on the year, he averages just 10.7 yards per reception. Gray is good for one catch per game, but that hasn’t always led to him stretching the field.
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Player News
Packers signed WR Bo Melton, RB Emanuel Wilson, and P Daniel Whelan to their exclusive rights free agent tenders.
Melton caught on with the Packers in 2023, totaling 16 receptions for 218 yards and a touchdown in five games. He added eight receptions for 91 yards in 17 games last season. Melton will continue to be a depth piece in an already-deep Packers wide receiver room. Wilson has also been with the Packers for two seasons and rushed for 502 yards and four touchdowns as Josh Jacobs’ immediate backup last season. He will compete with MarShawn Lloyd for that role again. Whelan is the team’s punter and will be back for 2025. All three signed their exclusive rights free agent tender and will essentially be on one-year contracts this season.
Seahawks re-signed Johnathan Hankins to a one-year contract.
Hankins hasn’t had a PFF run defense grade above 52.4 since 2020 and is primarily called on to play early downs. He turned 33 in March. He’ll be a complimentary piece behind Jarran Reed and Byron Murphy II if he makes the roster out of training camp.
Chargers placed the UFA tender on RB J.K. Dobbins.
This gives the Chargers exclusive negotiating rights if he does not sign with a team by July 22 or the first 2025 NFL training camp opens, whichever comes first. The tag is mainly useful for compensatory pick reasons as Dobbins will still count towards Los Angeles’ haul in the formula if signed before then. The Chargers currently do not project to add a pick in 2026 per Over The Cap’s Nick Korte.
49ers signed OT D.J. Humphries.
Humphries played in only two games for the Chiefs last year as he spent most of the season rehabbing a late 2023 torn ACL on his own. He wasn’t appreciably good in either of those games, but he was rusty and does have a history of better than that. Entering his age-32 season for the 49ers, he’ll probably be trying to win the right tackle job opposite Trent Williams in training camp.
Patriots released LS Joe Cardona.
The team selected his replacement, Julian Ashby, in the seventh round of the draft. This snapper of balls who are longer than usual is only 33, and it’s possible he picks up his career elsewhere. There aren’t too many remaining Patriots Regimes in the wild in 2025, but Nick Caserio does still run the Texans and they let Jon Weeks walk this offseason so that’s one speculative fit.
NewOrleans.Football’s Nick Underhill said he would be “flabbergasted” if Derek Carr played for the Saints this year.
“I would have trouble understanding why you would allow that to happen, you’re trying to build a new culture, you can’t let that guy ... you just got a rookie QB, this is the example you’re going to give him,” Underhill continued. Both Underhill and Mike Triplett believe Tyler Shough will be starting for the Saints in Week 1, with Underhill saying he had “80 percent or higher odds to start 80 percent of the games this year.” Shough would be an uninspiring superflex pick, perhaps a QB3, but given how things have played out with Carr over the past months it sure doesn’t seem like the Saints have a reason to want to continue this relationship. Mickey Loomis literally asked reporters to stop asking him Carr questions at his pre-draft press conference.