ThriveFantasy NFL Player Props - Best Picks & Plays for Week 3: Stefon Diggs Looks to Dominate Again in Week 3
We got a bit unlucky last week, and only went 1-for-3 in my recommended plays, but I’m feeling good about the picks this week. In fact, all of these NFL player props are ones that I’m targeting outside of Thrive, too, so call it a perfect fit! While these picks only compromise 30 percent of the picks you have to make on Thrive, this will give you a solid floor of points to work with, and the lines for these players are too low. I won’t go into much detail here, but D’Andre Swift, Courtland Sutton, and Stefon Diggs are guys you must target this week on Thrive, and will also likely generate some interest for your Week 3 NFL DFS lineups. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy!
Last week: 1-2
2022 Season: 3-2 (60%)
NFL Player Props Week 3
D’Andre Swift OVER 67.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
We’ll need to monitor the practice reports a bit throughout the week, but if Swift plays even slightly more than he did last week, sign me up for the over here with Swift. He was banged up last week, and on 31 total snaps, he got five carries (11.2 YPC) and five targets (2 rec. for 31 yards, 1 TD). Running backs have had their way against Minnesota this season, at least through the first two weeks of the season.
Week 1: Aaron Jones + AJ Dillon went for 94 yards on 15 carries, and caught eight of 11 targets for 93 yards
Week 2: Miles Sanders, Boston Scott, and Kenneth Gainwell went for 106 yards on 23 carries and caught 5 of 6 targets for 19 yards
Even in a limited role, Swift should surpass this number, and any improvement in his health heading into Week 3 only makes me more confident in Swift posting at least 68 total yards.
Courtland Sutton OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards
Listen, you aren’t getting a ton of points by taking the over here, but some points are better than no points, so take them and run. Sutton has at least 72 yards in each game this season, and Jerry Jeudy is dealing with a pesky shoulder/AC joint issue, putting his availability for this contest into question. Even if Jeudy plays, I’m still taking the over. San Francisco has faced Justin Fields in a monsoon and Geno Smith, so despite Russell Wilson’s struggles this year, the Wilson-to-Sutton connection is the best QB-WR duo they have faced in 2022. Sutton can win at all levels of the field, and Wilson has relied on Sutton this year, targeting him on nearly 25 percent of his pass attempts.
Stefon Diggs OVER 74.5 Rec Yds
Well, Diggs is awesome, Josh Allen is awesome, and this Buffalo offense is operating like a well-oiled machine! Diggs has a 33.3 percent target share this season, and he’s averaging a cool 135 yards per game. If Miami can move the ball against Buffalo, this could be another shootout the Dolphins find themselves in. Miami ranks in the bottom-five in DVOA against the pass through two weeks of the season, and you can throw it on this Miami defense. In four games against the Dolphins over the last two years, he’s averaging six grabs for 82.3 yards per game. Take the over here, because the Allen-to-Diggs connection is one of the top two in the entire National Football League.
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Related Links:
- Introduction to Thrive Fantasy
- 2022 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Week 3: Darrel Williams Among Best Waiver Wire Pickups
- 2022 Fantasy Football Stock Watch Week 3 Risers & Fallers: Jaylen Waddle Goes Nuclear
- Fantasy Football Week 3 Waiver Wire Player Spotlight: Jimmy Garoppolo Shines After Trey Lance Injury
- Fantasy Football Week 3 Waiver Wire Player Spotlight: Garrett Wilson Becoming Go-To Wide Receiver For Jets
Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.