Welcome to Thrive Fantasy!
With the legalization of sports wagering becoming more abundant from state to state, we are seeing more and more people having fun with prop picks and prop contests. If you’re new to the space, it is really simple. A proposition bet, or prop for short, is a bet made regarding the occurrence or non-occurrence of an event within a game that doesn’t directly affect the game’s final outcome. For example: Derrick Henry rushes for 100 yards. A prop bet for that would be you wagering on the over or under of that 100-yard baseline.
Each side, the over and the under, have their own money line or odds to show you what your return would be for taking one side over the other. Many have equal money lines, but some have better odds of hitting which will be reflected. Take that Derrick Henry prop of 100 yards. If the over reads -110 and the under reads +105, they’re telling you that the over is more likely to hit, hence less of a return on your investment if it hits. Easy enough, right?
Well, Thrive Fantasy takes it one step further as it blends prop bets and daily fantasy football (DFS) into one fantastic contest. Thrive Fantasy sets up 20 props per contest and requires you to pick 10 you like. Similar to the money lines of a normal prop, Thrive Fantasy awards points for successfully selecting the over or under and the person who earns the highest total of points for their 10 selected props wins the top prize for the contest.
Thrive Fantasy is offering contests for all of the major sports as well as several esports such as CS:GO and League of Legends. To get you started, we will focus on contests for NFL Week 10. Below is a list of all 20 props from $5 NFL Week 10 Rush contest which covers the 12 games being played this Sunday, November 15th. If you don’t like or agree with all of them, don’t worry, you only need to choose 10 of your own
Go to fantasyalarm.com./thrive and register to play. As an added incentive, Thrive Fantasy has graciously offered to immediately match your first deposit up to $250 if you use the promo code ALARM.
Jump in the $5 Rush to play against me or find another contest that may suit your preferences more. Either way, let’s make some money, #FANation. It’s right there for the taking!
Aaron Rodgers – 287.5 passing yards
- Over = 95 pts
- Under = 105 pts
Banking on the fact that Aaron Jones will dominate in touches against a putrid Jaguars run defense that is allowing almost 140 rushing yards per game and 11 rushing touchdowns. We’ve seen Rodgers throw for fewer yards in similar situations. Take the UNDER
James Robinson – 80.5 rushing yards
- Over = 100 pts
- Under = 90 pts
He’s hit the over just three times this season and while two of them have been in the last two weeks, this game profiles as a heavy lead for the Packers which will take the ground game out of action for Jacksonville. Take the UNDER
Chris Godwin – 67.5 receiving yards
- Over = 100 pts
- Under = 100 pts
He’s gone over this mark twice out of five games this season and with Antonio Brown in-house, a third seems unlikely as Tom Brady continues to spread the ball around. Not to mention, the way you beat the Panthers is by running the ball. Take the UNDER
Robby Anderson – 4.5 receptions
- Over = 80 pts
- Under = 120 pts
He’s gone under just once all season and considering the Panthers will likely be in catch-up mode most of the time, Anderson should see his usual target share. Take the OVER
Carson Wentz – 24.5 completions
- Over = 105 pts
- Under = 110 pts
Wentz has gone under in five of his eight games this season, but facing a porous Giants secondary while having two more of his primary receiving weapons back on the field should push him over for the fourth time this season. Take the OVER
Deshaun Watson – 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Over = 90 pts
- Under = 110 pts
He’s hit the over in six-straight games this season and the only times he went under were in Weeks 1 and 2 against the Chiefs and the Ravens. The Browns pass defense has struggled and even though there is rain in the forecast, Watson should still find his receivers. Take the OVER
Kareem Hunt – 0.5 rushing touchdowns
- Over = 110 pts
- Under = 90 pts
Hunt hasn’t had a rushing touchdown in four games while grabbing two touchdown catches in that span. There is rain in the forecast which could inhibit passing, but with Nick Chubb returning to the field, Hunt will be relegated back to pass-catching duty. Take the UNDER
Matthew Stafford – 0.5 interceptions
- Over = 75 pts
- Under = 125 pts
Washington has eight interceptions on the year and Stafford has tossed three in the last two games. He doesn’t have his go-to receiver in Kenny Golladay and the Washington front-seven is going to give the Lions’ offensive line fits all day. Take the OVER
Terry McLaurin – 0.5 receiving touchdowns
- Over = 115 pts
- Under = 85 pts
McLaurin only has three touchdown catches on the season but he’s found the end zone in each of his last two games. Alex Smith should be able to find him for a score against a Lions secondary that has allowed 17 touchdowns through the air this season. Take the OVER
Josh Jacobs – 90.5 rushing + receiving yards
- Over = 100 pts
- Under = 100 pts
Jacobs has only hit the over in three games this season and while Denver is allowing almost 120 rushing yards per game this season, they rank 13th in DVOA against the run and have done a good job shutting down opposing running backs. Take the UNDER
Kyler Murray – 295.5 passing + rushing yards
- Over = 95 pts
- Under = 105 pts
While you’re not getting crazy value for an over selection here, this seems like a pretty big no-brainer. The game total is sitting at 56.5 right now, Murray has topped 280 passing yards in three of his last four games and is averaging over 67 rushing yards per game this season. Simple mat? Take the OVER
Stefon Diggs – 82.5 receiving yards
- Over = 95 pts
- Under = 105 pts
Diggs has hit the over six times in nine games this season, including his last two. He and John Brown are Josh Allen ’s primary targets and with Arizona allowing an average of almost 250 passing yards per game, Diggs should get a substantial chunk of that total. Take the OVER
JuJu Smith-Schuster – 5.5 receptions
- Over = 110 pts
- Under = 90 pts
He’s gone over in each of his last three games and appears to be fully healed from the knee injury that plagued him earlier in the season. However, we’ve not only got COVID concerns with Big Ben, we still have Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool thieving targets. If Big Ben plays, we’ll happily take the over, but if he’s out, go the other way.
Joe Burrow – 2.5 passing touchdowns + interceptions
- Over = 85 pts
- Under = 115 pts
Believe it or not, he’s gone under in six of eight games this season. Unfortunately, this match-up doesn’t bode well for a seventh as the Steelers are ball-hawks and have 11 interceptions while they’ve also somehow allowed 14 touchdowns through the air. Take the OVER
Drew Brees – 23.5 completions
- Over = 100 pts
- Under = 100 pts
He’s hit the over in each of his last four games and six times this season. The 49ers pass rush and secondary are not what they once were and we’re expecting the Saints to continue their momentum with another strong win. Take the OVER
Alvin Kamara – 0.5 rushing touchdowns + receiving touchdowns
- Over = 90 pts
- Under = 110 pts
Kamara was held without a touchdown for three-straight games, but to think he can’t manage one against a suspect Niners defense would be silly. Take the OVER
Russell Wilson – 285.5 passing yards
- Over = 100 pts
- Under = 100 pts
The Rams may have the 10th-ranked pass defense according to DVOA, but with a 54.5 game total and the fact that the Seahawks secondary is giving up a crazy amount of yards through the air, Wilson figures to have to take control of this game and throw heavily. It helps that he’s got back-ups in the backfield, so less chance he feels comfortable just handing the ball off to them. Take the OVER
DK Metcalf – 82.5 receiving yards
- Over = 115 pts
- Under = 85 pts
While many believe Jalen Ramsey will shadow Metcalf, we’re not so sure. He hasn’t shadowed top receivers every game and Sean McVay likes seeing him moved around the field. If he hangs on Metcalf and Tyler Lockett starts to blow up, the Rams will make a change in coverage which then frees up Metcalf. Take the OVER
Darrell Henderson – 70.5 rushing yards + receiving yards
- Over = 95 pts
- Under = 105 pts
He’s gone over four times this season, but he’s also been dealing with a quad injury recently. He’s supposedly healthy, but this game also profiles as a high-flying aerial shootout. Take the UNDER
Mark Andrews – 0.5 receiving touchdowns
- Over = 110 pts
- Under = 90 pts
He hasn’t found the end zone in three games, Lamar Jackson is struggling with his passing and the Patriots rank second in DVOA against the tight end. Bill Belichick won’t have to do much to keep him out one more game. Take the UNDER
One more note: Thrive Fantasy understands the situation with COVID-19 can cause games to be postponed. As a result, they will ask you to choose two ICE (In Case of Emergency) props before you submit your entry just to keep you covered. They will be labeled as such so don’t worry about any confusion. Your 10 are your 10 should all games play.
Good luck and I’ll see you all in the money!