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Fantasy Alarm subscribers get a SPECIAL BONUS. Sign up now at fantasyalarm.com/superdraft and get a FREE ten dollar bonus! So, come play this weekend where the OVERLAYS are HUGE, which means THE BEST CHANCE TO WIN THIS WEEK is on SuperDraft!
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Has there ever been a better name for a fantasy site than SuperDraft? Any name that immediately makes me think of this song has to be pretty great. Not surprisingly, the game is pretty great too. SuperDraft’s contests are pretty similar to the DFS contests you’re used to, but with one major exception. Instead of choosing players while staying below a salary cap, you can choose any player at each eligible position. The twist is that each player gets a multiplier. If you play Saquon Barkley this week, you get a 1.15X multiplier. That may seem great until you consider the maximum multiplier is 2X. How confident are you that Saquon X 1.15 will outscore Nyheim Hines X 2?
If this sounds interesting to you, SuperDraft has the perfect way for you to give the game a try. They have a free $1000 Fair Catch contest to get you started, as well as multiple cash contests.
The multipliers add an interesting wrinkle to DFS, and may require a different strategy than what you are used to.
In general, I’m looking for guys with very high multipliers in Week 1. As you will see below, there are a lot of really great values, and I just can’t bring myself to pass on them for Julio Jones or Christian McCaffrey when they don’t get a multiplier. The one possible exception is wide receiver, where high multipliers are harder to find. With that in mind, here are the players I am using in my SuperDraft lineups for Sunday.
Quarterbacks
Jared Goff X2
I don’t get it. He averaged 20.1 FPPG, more than Jameis Winston , Russell Wilson , Dak Prescott and Jared Allen. Those quarterbacks all have a 1.35X multiplier or lower. I’m a little worried this offense won’t be quite as good as in 2019, but it doesn’t have to be when you’re getting 2X the fantasy points.
Sam Darnold X1.95
Darnold averaged 14.1 FPPG last season, and I expect him to be at least marginally better in his sophomore season. You can’t convince me he should have a higher multiplier than Eli Manning , Andy Dalton or Marcus Mariota
Kyler Murray X1.65
I don’t love Kyler Murray as much as some, but I can’t think of a single reason his multiplier should be higher than Lamar Jackson ’s. Murray should be at least as good a runner as Jackson, and he can’t possible we a worse passer. Again, my only concern is ownership.
Mark Ingram and Devonta Freeman X1.9
I’m going to have an awfully hard time getting away from these two. Freeman is a top-10 fantasy back when healthy, and he is healthy now. With this multiplier, I don’t even care that he’s facing what I expect is one of the best defenses in the NFL.
Ingram is an above-average running back in his own right, and we’ve seen repeatedly how running quarterbacks like TyRod Taylor and Lamar Jackson can open things up for running backs. I expect Freeman and Ingram to be the two highest owned running backs Sunday, but I’m still playing them.
Running Backs
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Joe Mixon X1.5
I think Mixon is significantly better than the backs immediately above him on SuperDraft’s list. I think he’s a great value compared to Leonard Fournette and Marlon Mack X1.45.
David Johnson X1.4
Johnson was completely misused last season in a terrible offense and he was still 10th in fppg. I don’t know if Phoenix’s offense will be significantly better this season, but it can’t be worse, and I am sure he will get more than 4.75 targets per game. Detroit’s defense doesn’t scare me, either.
Singletary might be my riskiest pick. Even with LeSean McCoy gone, this backfield could be an ugly timeshare similar to the Bears backfield Thursday night. That being said, he is an exciting rookie, and he probably should get playing time ahead of Frank Gore and T.J. Yeldon . If Singletary is the lead back, this is likely the highest multiplier he’ll have all season.
Wide Receivers
Adam Thielen X1.5
Why is his multiplier so much higher than Stefon Diggs ’? It also doesn’t hurt he’s at home against Atlanta.
Brandin Cooks X1.5
I’m not sure why Cooks has the greatest multiplier of the Rams receivers. I don’t think there’s any doubt he’s the most explosive player and has the highest ceiling.
Calvin Ridley X1.9
I know there is touchdown regression coming, but I think he’ll get more targets because he is really, really good. It’s really crazy some of the guys who have a higher multiplier, like Josh Reynolds and Mohamed Sanu .
John Brown X2
There are fewer great values at wide receiver than at running back or quarterback, but John Brown is probably the best of the bunch. He’s clearly Buffalo’s number one receiver, and if Josh Allen has improved at all as a passer, Brown could be quite productive.
Tight Ends
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Zach Ertz X1.5
Ertz has gone right around George Kittle and Travis Kelce in drafts for the last two months, but he has a much higher multiplier than those guys.
David Njoku X2
I’ve had Njoku ranked seventh among tight ends all season, so I’ll happily take the 2X multiplier. I think he’s a good player on a good offense, and I’m not afraid of Tennessee's defense.
Example Lineup(s)
QB - Jared Goff
RB - Devonta Freeman
RB - Mark Ingram
WR - Adam Thielen
WR - Brandin Cooks
WR - Calvin Ridley
TE - Zach Ertz
FLEX - David Johnson
Player News
Jaguars released WR Gabe Davis.
Davis, who secured $24 million in guarantees when he signed with Jacksonville last year, managed 20 catches for 239 yards and two touchdowns over ten games in his only year with the Jags. The Davis signing is yet another in a string of disastrous decisions by the former Jacksonville front office. With Brian Thomas and Travis Hunter in the fold, the Jaguars ended their experiment with Davis, 26. He should see interest from wideout-needy teams in the coming weeks, including perhaps the Lions. Davis will be locked into a strictly downfield role wherever he lands this spring or summer.
Pro Football Talk’s Mike Florio reports WR Allen Lazard is “in play” to sign with the Steelers.
Lazard has followed Aaron Rodgers from the Packers to the Jets, and now possibly to Pittsburgh if Rodgers decides to sign there and play again in 2025. Lazard had 29 catches over seven games with Rodgers under center for the Jets in 2024. He had been a healthy scratch for much of the 2023 season, which Rodgers missed with an Achilles injury. “The possibility hinges largely if not entirely on Rodgers signing with the Steelers,” Florio said. “While nothing with Rodgers is ever done until it’s done, the persistent thinking continues to be that it will happen.” Lazard would likely operate as the No. 2 wideout in Pittsburgh behind DK Metcalf. The team’s run heaviness and resulting dearth of targets would make it difficult for Lazard to be fantasy relevant in 2025.
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports the Cowboys are finalizing a trade for Steelers WR George Pickens.
The move, which includes a 2026 third round pick and a 2027 fifth round pick sent to the Steelers, comes after another ESPN report saying Pickens, 24, wanted to remain in Pittsburgh. Acquiring Pickens — who has 2,841 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns over three NFL seasons — addresses an area of acute need for the Cowboys, who have one of the league’s weakest wideout room behind CeeDee Lamb. Pickens and Lamb will make for one of the NFL’s best receiver duos, with Pickens functioning as a viable downfield threat for Dak Prescott, who last season ranked 15th out of 40 qualifying quarterbacks in deep ball accuracy. Pickens in 2024 was third in deep targets and second only to Alec Pierce in receiving yards on downfield receptions. Pickens will have far more upside in the Dallas offense than he did in Pittsburgh. DK Metcalf, meanwhile, will enter the 2025 season as the unquestioned No. 1 wideout for the run-heavy Steelers. His fantasy prospects look much brighter with Pickens in Dallas.
NFL Network’s Jane Slater reports Saints QB Derek Carr wants to “see if he can play through with this shoulder injury.”
Slater reports that Carr believes he injured his throwing shoulder in the same Week 14 game against the Giants that he injured his left wrist last season. The shoulder issue was apparently discovered as he ramped up throwing in the spring, not as the season wound down in 2024. Carr has already had surgery on that arm and wants to see if he can play through the injury. Slater adds that Carr made two trips to New Orleans to meet with the team doctor and a decision will be made “sooner rather than later” as the 34-year-old tries to make the best decision for his shoulder and the Saints aim to make the best decision for their franchise. It would be a surprise to see Carr return to start for the Saints, especially without having surgery. New Orleans has signaled an attempt to move on by selecting Tyler Shough in the second round of the 2025 NFL Draft. Carr has two seasons left on his four-year, $150 million contract with the Saints and a decision on his future is looming.
9News’ Mike Klis reports free agent QB Desmond Ridder will get a veteran tryout at the Broncos’ rookie minicamp.
Ridder is a former third-round pick of the Falcons in 2022 and started 13 games for them in 2023. Atlanta moved on from Ridder after his 12-touchdown, 12-interception season; he joined the Raiders to play six games and start one in 2024. The 25-year-old is searching for backup jobs around the NFL after throwing for 5.4 yards per attempt and earning a 45.7 PFF grade last season, good for No. 69 out of 75 quarterbacks. The Broncos will bring him into rookie minicamp on a tryout basis, where Ridder looks to earn the chance to compete with Sam Ehlinger for the third-string quarterback spot in Denver.
Bengals DT B.J. Hill was seen in a protective boot at Tuesday’s voluntary workout.
Hill was seen in a protective walking boot for his left foot at the Bengals’ voluntary workout session on Tuesday. It seems to be a new injury for the veteran, though it is not yet clear what the injury is. The Bengals just signed Hill to a three-year, $33 million contract in the offseason and will be hoping one of the investments into their defense gets healthy for the start of the regular season.