It’s a familiar AFC North but the vibes are not the same years past. In fact, with the change to Jameis Winston for the Cleveland Browns, they aren’t even the same as last week. It’s rare that going to the backup brings a sense of relief to a team but the Browns will move forward without Deshaun Watson after his injury and without Amari Cooper after his trade.

The Baltimore Ravens are big favorites here. And rightfully so. But that’s to spreads; over/unders and prop bets, there’s always an angle for us to play these games. Let’s dig into the numbers and the narratives to come up some Ravens vs. Browns predictions for Week 8!

Even if you just want to see the Ravens vs. Browns odds and have Ravens vs. Browns picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus! 

 

 

 

Ravens vs. Browns Predictions For NFL Week 8, Sunday 10/27

As we mentioned, this is an AFC North division game, so these teams meet twice a year minimum (three if they meet in the playoffs). In each of the last three seasons they have actually split the games 1-1 with the Browns winning most recently in November of last year in a 33-31 shootout. 

The Ravens lost their first two games of the season to the Chiefs and the Raiders but have not lost since. And it hasn’t been a cake walk either as they knocked off the Cowboys, Bills, Bengals, Commanders, and Buccaneers along the way. The Browns have not been so fortunate as they beat the Jaguars in Week 2 but lost all six of their other games. 

 

 

 

Baltimore Ravens: King Derrick Henry

The AFC North is a blue collar, hard-nosed division and the Ravens have always embraced that. They 2019 Ravens actually hold the record for most rushing yards by a team in a season. So, who better to carry the torch than the most physical runner in the league, Derrick Henry?  He not only leads all backs in rushing yards but has 200 more than the next highest player. Lamar Jackson also has 83 more rushing yards than the next highest QB. 

The pass attack has been more of a “break glass in case of emergency” situation. Against teams like the Bills and Cowboys, Lamar Jackson only completed 12 and 13 passes because that’s all that was needed. That has led to inconsistency statistically for guys like Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. But winning is all that matters.

On defense, the Ravens have been tremendous against the run and middle of the road against the pass. In fact, they currently are allowing 68.4 rushing yards per game which is nearly 12 fewer than Minnesota, the next closest team. Jameis Winston will need to step up this week if the Browns are going to compete. 

 

 

 

Cleveland Browns: The Jameis Winston Era

There are two types of bad football. There is “bad bad”. And then there is “fun bad”. Even when Jameis Winston has been bad, it has at least been “fun bad” as he is not afraid to let the ball fly, for better or worse. The Browns last week with three different quarterbacks dropped back to pass 62 times so Kevin Stefanski has no fear either.

Nick Chubb made his return last week and scored an emotional touchdown after a full year away following a serious injury. He’ll likely continue to rotate for the time being until he gets his sea-legs under him. This offensive line has dealt with some serious injuries, so they have their work cut out for them against Baltimore.

The Browns defense has not been terrible though it’s never easy to play well with such little rest. They are ranked 17th in DVOA per FTN Fantasy and have held five of seven opponents to 21 points or fewer which typically gives you a decent shot at winning. It should translate to better than a 1-6 record at least. 

 

 

 

Ravens vs. Browns Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

As promised, the latest Ravens vs. Browns odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:

 

 

 

Ravens vs. Browns: Over 44.5 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

Let’s think about these lines logically here. With an over/under of 44.5 and an 8.5 point spread, the implied line for the Ravens is 26.5 with an 18 points line for the Browns. The Ravens so far this year have averaged 31 points a game so the expectation here is that the Browns defense keeps the Ravens in check to some degree - or their offense completely faceplants.

The change from Deshaun Watson to Jameis Winston was not the only change as play calling duties were handed over to Ken Dorsey as well. He already said the approach will be different with Jameis Winston at QB so I’m expecting a little more gunslinging here than we are used to. 

That should either equate to some offensive movement for the Browns or turnovers and shorter field for the Ravens - both of which are conducive to point scoring and good for the over.

With so many moving parts and the classic narratives surrounding changing the QB or changing the coach, betting on the spread has too much uncertainty around it. I’d rather bet on big swings one way or another leading to points on the board and the over. 

 

 

 

Ravens vs. Browns Injury Report & Latest News

BAL Ravens

CLE Browns

 

 

 

How To Bet On Ravens vs. Browns At BetMGM Sportsbook & Claim Your $1,500 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM

Now that you’re armed with our Ravens vs. Browns predictions, let’s take you through the aforementioned $1,500 BetMGM sign up bonus. You’ll just need the BetMGM promo code ALARM when creating a new account, but our links and banners should have it filled in for you.

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