Falcons vs. Saints Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 10, Sunday 11/10
The NFC South has been anyone’s division the past few seasons now, but Sunday's matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints isn’t likely to be one to decide the winner. We’ll explain what exactly we mean and much more with our Falcons vs. Saints predictions and best bet below.
Also, even if you have your own Falcons vs. Saints picks, we’ll take you through how you can bet on anything and claim a guaranteed $200 DraftKings Sportsbook welcome offer!
Falcons vs. Saints Predictions For NFL Week 10, Sunday 11/10
It doesn’t take long to see why this isn’t exactly a matchup for the NFC South crown. Following their 2-0 start in dominating fashion, New Orleans has lost seven straight games! Such a skid has caused the team to fire the now former head coach Dennis Allen.
Atlanta started fresh from Week 1 with new QB Kirk Cousins, who has the team with a two-game lead in the division. Attrition has hit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the Falcons up in a solid position.
When these teams met back in Week 4, it was a tight 26-24 win for Atlanta, who are now favorites of just over a field goal. So, while the Falcons vs. Saints odds suggest another close matchup, we’ve still found a market that we love for the top pick from our Falcons vs. Saints predictions.
Atlanta Falcons: Flock Needs To Fly Higher
One of the reasons that we’re not going to focus our Falcons vs. Saints predictions on a road favorite over that key number of three is how often Atlanta has been a part of close games. In fact, all but one of their games this season have been decided by one possession.
The only outlier was against the Carolina Panthers, which we think most fans would recognize as exactly that - an outlier. Whether it’s the Falcons finding a way to pull things out or allowing teams to keep things close, their games are always roller coasters. Therefore, we’ll be isolating just part of the game.
New Orleans Saints: A New Regime
When a head coach gets fired, it is all but impossible to have a more significant storyline. That was the case when longtime Saints head coach Sean Payton left town, and just a few short years later, Dennis Allen is no longer in the Bayou either.
Such a massive drop-off after such an incredible 2-0 start was shocking to see, but an injured QB Derek Carr for a few weeks certainly didn’t help with that. Either way, the organization cited “pressure and stress” as the reasons for firing Allen. For now, it will be Darren Rizzi acting as the interim head coach.
Falcons vs. Saints Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We’ve shared that Atlanta was one of the road favorites this Sunday, and you can see the latest Falcons vs. Saints odds at DraftKings Sportsbook below in terms of the standard markets:
- Point Spread: Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (-110) vs. New Orleans Saints +3.5 (+-110)
- Money Line: Atlanta Falcons (-192) vs. New Orleans Saints (+160)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 45.5 (-118) vs. Under 45.5 (-102)
Falcons vs. Saints Predictions: First Half Over 23.5 Points (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
We specified standard markets above given the fact that we’re going to take just a slightly different approach for the best bet from our Falcons vs. Saints predictions. We’re going to keep our focus on the first two quarters, as the trends across the board are staggering.
Let’s start with the offensive side of the ball first. For all of the Saints’ struggles in this 0-7 slump, scoring early has not been one of them. Not only have they been able to find ways to do so, but they’re among the best in the entire NFL! Right now, New Orleans is averaging 15.2 points per game in the first half, which is the sixth-best in the league.
Similarly, the Falcons are just a single spot behind them is the Falcons, who score 14.6 points per game in the first two quarters. Those two averages alone would have us sailing over the first half total, but of course, there are defenses on the field.
Well, they may be on the field, but they certainly aren’t slowing the opposition down early. Atlanta’s 14.2 points allowed per game in the first half are the fifth-worst, and while New Orleans allowing 12.3 points per game in the first half isn’t quite as poor, it’s still enough to where we trust the Falcons offense to take advantage.
So, rather than sweating out a pick on a point spread near a key number or the entire game at all, we’re sticking with the first half over 23.5 points (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook) as the best bet from our Falcons vs. Saints predictions.
Falcons vs. Saints Injury Report & Latest News
One of the most watched injuries of the past few weeks has been New Orleans WR Chris Olave, but it’s certainly not the only injury news to monitor. Therefore, make sure that you stay in the know with the latest NFL injury report, which Fantasy Alarm provides on a weekly basis.
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Player News
Free agent Gabe Davis will visit the New York Giants.
Cut by the Jaguars after one season last week, Davis visited the 49ers on Monday. New York would be a reunion of sorts, as he played for Giants coach Brian Daboll in Buffalo. The G-Men already have several wideouts capable of stretching the field, but 26-year-old Davis could still be a decent role player in a strong offense. The problem, of course, is that the Giants profile as anything but, but rookie QB Jaxson Dart is comfortable throwing down the field.
Ravens S Ar’Darius Washington has been diagnosed with a torn achilles suffered during offseason training.
The fifth-year pro became a weekly starter for the first time last season, earning elite PFF marks in the process. He was a restricted free agent this spring but had yet to sign his $3.26 million tender. That’s a tough break, to put it mildly. Achilles timelines have shortened significantly in recent years, but Washington will probably still miss the entire 2025 campaign. The Ravens are protected in part by their first-round selection of fellow S Malaki Starks, but May is not the month you already want to be dipping into your depth. Going on 26, Washington’s career future is murky after he worked so hard to finally become a regular contributor last season.
Chiefs signed fourth-round WR Jalen Royals to a four-year contract.
Royals doesn’t have an obvious and open spot in the receiving corps to build short-term fantasy value with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice operating in the opening 11-personnel package. He may or may not play his way into WR4 duties depending on how the team feels about JuJu Smith-Schuster. Royals has plenty of talent and Brown is on a one-year deal, so there is a future where Royals is more than a bit player for the Chiefs. It likely won’t happen in his first season without injuries in front of him.
Matthew Judon said he “probably” won’t return to the Falcons in 2025.
The Falcons, of course, drafted both Jalon Walker and James Pearce in the first round. In an exclusive interview with CardPlayer.com — not to be confused with our PokerNews.com James Cook scoop a few days ago — Judon said that his sack total was down because “I dropped (into coverage) on 60 percent of the plays. It’s hard to get a pick and a sack on the same play.” Judon also told Kyle Odegard that “a couple” teams had expressed interest in him but he was in no rush to sign.
Jets released P Thomas Morstead.
Austin McNamara and Kai Kroeger will compete for the Jets punter job this year. The 39-year-old former Saint was the league’s oldest punter last season. If he wants to keep punting, he can absolutely join the tryout circuit or a competition elsewhere. But this is probably a sign that the Morstead’s 16-year career is close to an end at this point.
Lions offensive coordinator John Morton said it’s “going to be a breakout year” for Jameson Williams.
Morton said he’d never “been around someone that fast,” then quickly corrected himself to note that Jhamyr Gibbs is also that fast. Williams came on strong last year with a 58/1001/7 receiving line, but offensive coordinator praise could mean even more targets are coming. It would likely come at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s production if Williams were to truly break out, though there’s plenty for St. Brown to give and still be a top-flight fantasy wideout. It’s risky to read too much into statements like this in the offseason, but the new offensive coordinator telling you he thinks it’ll be a breakout year for Williams is certainly noteworthy.