Broncos vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 10, Sunday 11/10

One lone undefeated team remains in the NFL - the Kansas City Chiefs - and they’ll yet again be in Arrowhead Stadium to continue their quest for three straight Super Bowl titles. This time, it’s an AFC West rivalry against the Denver Broncos, and this article breaks down our Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions.
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Broncos vs. Chiefs Predictions for NFL Week 10, Sunday 11/10
We’ve all heard it by now - no NFL team has ever won three straight Lombardi Trophies. Having won the past two, all eyes are on KC to be the first ones to pull it off. Sitting at 8-0, they’re easily favored to do so…right?
While they do have the shortest odds to win the Super Bowl this season, they have been far from dominant. They very easily could have lost a few games already, including last week on Monday Night Football, which went into overtime.
It’s safe to say that Denver wasn’t close to forcing OT at all, as they were crushed 41-10 by the Baltimore Ravens. Even still, they’re sitting at 5-4 behind a rookie QB and very much in the AFC Wild Card hunt. They’re defense is still strong, and the same could be said in KC, which we’ll discuss more in the best bet from our Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions!
Denver Broncos: Erasing Last Week
Given what we just mentioned about the Broncos recent loss, they need to wipe that clean from the memories like they were in the original Men In Black movie. Prior to that loss, they were 5-3 sitting as the top Wild Card spot, even above the aforementioned Ravens.
With the Chiefs sitting at 8-0, and even the Los Angeles Chargers at 5-3, the Wild Card is Denver’s likely path, but the fact that they’re even in this position with rookie QB Bo Nix is something that not all fans assumed. So, they need to focus on that fact rather than the loss that they just suffered.
Kansas City Chiefs: The “Fakest” Undefeated Team Ever?
Before fans get up in arms, the above storyline is simply one that was said the Tuesday morning after their overtime win on MNF over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, you’d be hard-pressed to find a fan that would say they’re dominant, either.
So, who are they really? Well, TE Travis Kelce has finally found his stride after a career-worst start to the year, and new trade addition WR DeAndre Hopkins showed out in his team debut. In other words, they very much believe that their Super Bowl window remains wide open, so it’s no surprise that they are huge home favorites on Sunday.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Speaking of being huge home favorites, you can see the latest Broncos vs. Chiefs odds at DraftKings Sportsbook here:
- Point Spread: Denver Broncos +8 (-110) vs. Kansas City Chiefs -8 (-110)
- Money Line: Denver Broncos (+300) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-380)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 41.5 (-112) vs. Under 41.5 (-108)
Broncos vs. Chiefs Predictions: Under 41.5 Points (-108 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Before we dig into our favorite approach, we also wouldn’t be opposed to targeting the Broncos side of the point spread. We’ve seen KC struggle to cover large point spreads over a touchdown, even as recently as their past two games.
Both of them were nearly identical to the point spread against Denver this Sunday, and the Chiefs allowed both the Las Vegas Raiders and Bucs to stay within a possession. The bottom line is that the KC offense simply isn’t what it once was, even with Hopkins coming in to help fill a void.
If the injuries to RB Isaiah Pacheco and WR Rashee Rice hadn’t occurred, things may be different, but KC is still more reliant on their defense. That truly became the case last season, and it’s continuing this year.
The Chiefs allow the fifth-fewest yards per game and just over 18 points per game, and now they get to face a rookie QB with a lack of offensive weapons. While Nix has impressed and has Denver with a winning record, they haven’t gotten to this point by lightning up the scoreboard.
Their defense ranks just one spot behind the Chiefs in terms of yards allowed per game and are even better in terms of scoring, allowing fewer than 18 points per game.
Both meetings between these teams last year also stayed under the total by 20.5 and 12.5 points, so with that significant margin, we’re happy locking in the best bet from our Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions on the under 41.5 points (-108 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Broncos vs. Chiefs Injury Report & Latest News
With how many injuries we’ve seen in Kansas City alone, the latest injury news is a must-have before placing any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks. Denver is certainly not immune to them either, and the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report will help you keep track of all the news:
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Player News
Free agent Gabe Davis will visit the New York Giants.
Cut by the Jaguars after one season last week, Davis visited the 49ers on Monday. New York would be a reunion of sorts, as he played for Giants coach Brian Daboll in Buffalo. The G-Men already have several wideouts capable of stretching the field, but 26-year-old Davis could still be a decent role player in a strong offense. The problem, of course, is that the Giants profile as anything but, but rookie QB Jaxson Dart is comfortable throwing down the field.
Ravens S Ar’Darius Washington has been diagnosed with a torn achilles suffered during offseason training.
The fifth-year pro became a weekly starter for the first time last season, earning elite PFF marks in the process. He was a restricted free agent this spring but had yet to sign his $3.26 million tender. That’s a tough break, to put it mildly. Achilles timelines have shortened significantly in recent years, but Washington will probably still miss the entire 2025 campaign. The Ravens are protected in part by their first-round selection of fellow S Malaki Starks, but May is not the month you already want to be dipping into your depth. Going on 26, Washington’s career future is murky after he worked so hard to finally become a regular contributor last season.
Chiefs signed fourth-round WR Jalen Royals to a four-year contract.
Royals doesn’t have an obvious and open spot in the receiving corps to build short-term fantasy value with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice operating in the opening 11-personnel package. He may or may not play his way into WR4 duties depending on how the team feels about JuJu Smith-Schuster. Royals has plenty of talent and Brown is on a one-year deal, so there is a future where Royals is more than a bit player for the Chiefs. It likely won’t happen in his first season without injuries in front of him.
Matthew Judon said he “probably” won’t return to the Falcons in 2025.
The Falcons, of course, drafted both Jalon Walker and James Pearce in the first round. In an exclusive interview with CardPlayer.com — not to be confused with our PokerNews.com James Cook scoop a few days ago — Judon said that his sack total was down because “I dropped (into coverage) on 60 percent of the plays. It’s hard to get a pick and a sack on the same play.” Judon also told Kyle Odegard that “a couple” teams had expressed interest in him but he was in no rush to sign.
Jets released P Thomas Morstead.
Austin McNamara and Kai Kroeger will compete for the Jets punter job this year. The 39-year-old former Saint was the league’s oldest punter last season. If he wants to keep punting, he can absolutely join the tryout circuit or a competition elsewhere. But this is probably a sign that the Morstead’s 16-year career is close to an end at this point.
Lions offensive coordinator John Morton said it’s “going to be a breakout year” for Jameson Williams.
Morton said he’d never “been around someone that fast,” then quickly corrected himself to note that Jhamyr Gibbs is also that fast. Williams came on strong last year with a 58/1001/7 receiving line, but offensive coordinator praise could mean even more targets are coming. It would likely come at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s production if Williams were to truly break out, though there’s plenty for St. Brown to give and still be a top-flight fantasy wideout. It’s risky to read too much into statements like this in the offseason, but the new offensive coordinator telling you he thinks it’ll be a breakout year for Williams is certainly noteworthy.