Bears vs. Packers Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 18, Sunday 1/5
While so much discussion has been about the Vikings vs. Lions Sunday Night Football game, this weekend, let’s not forget that we also have another classic NFC North rivalry with the Green Bay Packers hosting the Chicago Bears. Although it’s just one playoff team, we’ve still got our Bears vs. Packers predictions and best bet for you.
You can also feel free to make your own Bears vs. Packers picks and still snag a monster $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up promo!
Bears vs. Packers Predictions For NFL Week 18, Sunday 1/5
Given that Green Bay is the team that has the motivation to win this regular season finale, we fully expected to see the Bears vs. Packers odds listing them as huge favorites, and they are indeed favored by double digits. We too predict that they’ll win this game, but that is obviously not where the value lies.
It’s also important to be aware that the Pack know that they will either be the #6 or #7 seed in the NFC, so this is not a case of fighting for their playoff lives or an NFC North title. That is also something that is a key factor in the best bet from our Bears vs. Packers predictions and why we’ll be avoiding the Chicago side altogether.
Chicago Bears: Focusing On The Future
There has been so much turmoil with the Bears organization that we don’t expect fans to be shocked with our decision to nullify them from our Bears vs. Packers picks. From a QB carousel over the past few seasons to a head-coaching and play-caller change this season alone, there is so much that needs to be done.
We may even see a general manager change in the near future, and there are plenty of fans of rookie QB Caleb Williams that feel that would be best for his development. Whichever side of the fence you’re on in that regard, the fact remains that a 10-game losing streak after a 4-2 start is tough to swallow.
Green Bay Packers: Love For Lambeau
Speaking of young QBs, there has been plenty of love for Packers QB Jordan Love since the second half of last season, and despite injury issues this year, has largely been great. It’s turnovers that he needs to continue working on, and if he can avoid those this weekend, Green Bay has an outside shot of a home playoff game.
It will still be quite unlikely, but if they secure the #6 seed, it’s still a possibility. With the Lombardi trophy being named after a franchise legend, playoff games at Lambeau Field always seem to be special, most notably when we get to enjoy snow games. Regardless, they need to take care of business against Chicago this weekend.
Bears vs. Packers Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Green Bay is certainly expected to take care of business, which you can see with the Bears vs. Packers odds at BetMGM Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: Chicago Bears +10 (-110) vs. Green Bay Packers -10 (-110)
- Money Line: Chicago Bears (+360) vs. Green Bay Packers (-470)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 40.5 (-110) vs. Under 40.5 (-110)
Bears vs. Packers Predictions: Josh Jacobs Under Carries at BetMGM Sportsbook
When these teams met back in Week 11, it was a surprisingly close 20-19 win for the Packers. Although it was more of a sweat than anticipated, it made it 11 straight wins over the Bears for Green Bay, and 14 wins over the past 15 meetings!
So, if you wanted to focus your Bears vs. Packers picks on the Green Bay side, we certainly couldn’t fault you, but we see more value elsewhere. That would be the player prop market, as we prefer to avoid the standard markets altogether in this scenario. It’s one that may surprise you, as Jacobs has been an absolute workhorse this season.
His 295 carries this season are the fourth-most in the entire NFL, but so much work has also caused his line for this market to keep ticking up over the weeks. Well, this is a very rare case of us expecting him to stay under his carries line.
Let’s consider the two scenarios for the Packers on Sunday. If they have the game in hand as expected, that generally means running out the clock, so more carries for Jacobs, right? Well, for this game specifically, there is no need to use him to run out the clock just before the playoffs are set to begin.
If the game isn’t in hand for Green Bay, that means that they’ll be throwing the ball with Love, therefore leading to fewer carries for Jacobs. Let’s also not forget that Love’s ability to scramble can also leech a few carries from the former Las Vegas Raiders.
We know that it may not be the most fun pick to root for, but we still love locking in the best bet from our Bears vs. Packers predictions on Josh Jacobs under carries at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Bears vs. Packers Injury Report & Latest News
As with any matchup, be sure to keep an eye on the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report for the latest news.
Chicago’s biggest concern is WR Rome Odunze, who has been banged up throughout the year. Green Bay is most concerned about CB Jaire Alexander, especially with a Wild Card playoff game looming.
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