Bears vs. 49ers Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 14, Sunday 12/8
The 2024 season has not gone according to plan for the San Francisco 49ers or the Chicago Bears. The Bears were hoping they could build a winning team then win right away with rookie Caleb Williams. Yet they sit at 4-8. And the 49ers are currenlty last in their division at 5-7 though it’s the closest divsion in the NFL with the Seahawks leading at 7-5.
The Bears are hoping to move in a new direction after firing head coach Matt Eberflus this week. The 49ers are clinging to playoff hopes. Let’s dig into the stats, narratives, and injuries to make our Week 14 Bears vs. 49ers predictions!
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Bears vs. 49ers Predictions For NFL Week 14, Sunday 12/8
These two teams have no squared off since 2022, in a game that saw Trey Lance start for the 49ers against Justin Fields for the Bears. The Bears won that one 19-10 but both teams have new quarterbacks and revised rosters so that game doesn’t have much bearing on what we expect this week.
The Bears have now lost six straight though their schedule has been tough. Of those six teams, only the Patriots have a losing record. The 49ers have now lost three straight to the Seahawks, Packers, and Bills so they’ll hope to end a losing streak as well.
Chicago Bears: The Post-Matt Eberflus Era
Moving on from offensive coordinator Shane Waldron was an expected move. But the firing of Matt Eberflus comes as a big of a surprise as the Bears have not fired a head coach during the season in their ~100 year history. His mismanagement of the clock for the last 40 seconds of their Thanksgiving matchup with the Lions left them no choice.
The Bears defense this year has been solid against the pass, thanks in large part to star cornerback Jaylen Johnson. They have struggled mightily against the run, however. They’re allowing 135 rushing yards per game on the ground which would rank them 25th among NFL teams.
San Francisco 49ers: Ravaged By Injuries
When healthy, the 49ers are on of the most dangerous teams in the league. But that has not been that case. They’ll be without arguably their top two offensive players in Trent Williams and Christian McCaffrey. Not only are they missing their starting running back in CMC but their backups, Jordan Mason and Elijah Mitchell, are both unavailable. Throw in the season ending injury for Brandon Aiyuk and this offense is a shell of what it could be.
On top of that, star pass rusher Nick Bosa is also questionable for this game. And linebacker Fred Warner has played most of the season on a broken ankle. The defense is healthier than the offense but not by much.
Bears vs. 49ers Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Bears vs. 49ers odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Chicago Bears +3.5 (-110) vs. San Francisco 49ers -3.5 (-110)
- Money Line: Chicago Bears (+150) vs. San Francisco 49ers (-185)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 44 (-110) vs. Under 44 (-110)
Bears vs. 49ers: Chicago Bears +3.5 (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
There are a couple narratives working in the Bears favor here. Not only are the 49ers banged up on both sides of the football. But the Bears have been playing a lot better after firing Shane Waldron. The Bears interim OC Thomas Brown has simplified things for Caleb Williams by getting guys like veteran Keenan Allen more involved in the short area.
We also can’t ignore a league-wide NFL trend. As our own Howard Bender likes to tout, teams that fire their head coach cover the spread in their next game 63% of the time. The most recent instance was with the New Orlean Saints who fired their head coach after losing seven straight games - after firing Dennis Allen, they outright won their next two matchups. We’re leaning into both that narrative and the injuries for the 49ers and taking the Bears to cover 3.5 here.
Bears vs. 49ers Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
CHI Bears
- OL Ryan Bates - Out
- DB Elijah Hicks - Out
- RB Roschon Johnson - Out
- WR DJ Moore - Questionable
- RB D’Andre Swift - Questionable
SF- 49ers
- RB Jordan Mason - Out
- T Trent Williams - Out
- LB Dre Greenlaw - Out
- DE Nick Bosa - Doubtful
- DB George Odum - Out
- G Aaron Banks - Questionable
- LB Demetrius Flanagan Fowles - Questionable
- S Talanoa Hufanga - Questionable
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Player News
Ravens signed Derrick Henry to a two-year, $30 million contract extension.
Per NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, Henry is the first running back over the age of 30 to make $15 million per year. Henry hit the open market at the peak of the “running backs don’t matter” discourse and signed a measly two-year, $16 million deal with the Ravens last offseason. He spent the 2025 season stuffing nerds in lockers with 1,921 yards and 16 touchdowns on 325 attempts. The monstrous season more than earned him a raise and the Ravens knew the assignment. Rapoport noted that Henry wants to finish his career in Baltimore and the extension will give him the opportunity to do so.
ESPN’s Rob Demovsky reports Packers C Elgton Jenkins is skipping offseason workouts for contract reasons.
Jenkins is being moved to center ahead of the 2025 season. He is a left guard by trade but has also spent time at both tackle spots during his six years in Green Bay. The Packers signed him to a four-year, $68 million extension in 2022 that runs through 2026. The deal initially made him a highly-paid guard. It now has him as one of the league’s most expensive centers. The Packers could save $20 million by cutting Jenkins next offseason, something they would likely do unless Jenkins is immediately one of the league’s best centers. Jenkins, in turn, is almost certainly looking to up his guarantees on the final two years of the contract. Though, as Demovsky points out, the Packers rarely adjust contracts this far from their expiration, Jenkins could be the exception to the rule.
Dak Prescott said George Pickens is “more than a 50-50 catcher.”
Prescott in a Wednesday morning radio interview was effusive in his praise of Pickens, who was traded last week from the Steelers to Dallas in exchange for draft compensation. “You put the ball anywhere in his vicinity, very strong hands,” Prescott said of Pickens. “He’s more than a 50-50 catcher. ... I’m excited for him. I know that we need some help at that position.” Pickens, 24, has 2,841 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns over three NFL seasons and is widely expected to see more single coverage in Dallas than he did as the unquestioned No. 1 wideout in Pittsburgh. Opposing coverage units won’t be able to shade safeties toward his side of the field with CeeDee Lamb threatening the middle of the field. Pickens shapes up as a volatile WR2/3 in 2025.
The Lions will play the Vikings on Christmas Day.
The Week 17 matchup between longtime NFC North rivals will be available exclusively on Netflix. Coming off a devastating Divisional Round loss to Washington last January, the Lions will be prominently featured by the league in 2025. Jared Goff and the Lions beat Minnesota twice during the 2024 regular season: A 31-29 Week 7 victory in Minnesota and a 31-9 Week 18 drubbing in Detroit. Goff combined to throw for 511 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions in those games. Justin Jefferson, meanwhile, was limited to ten catches for 131 yards and a touchdown in the Vikings’ 2024 games against Detroit.
The Eagles will face the Chiefs in Week 2.
The NFL’s trickle of 2025 schedule news includes a Super Bowl rematch in Kansas City, where Patrick Mahomes and company will look for a little revenge after getting bulldozed by the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX, 40-22. Philadelphia’s elite defense held Mahomes to a mere 226 yards on 32 pass attempts, with much of that production coming in fourth quarter garbage time. Jalen Hurts threw of two scores and ran in another as Saquon Barkley was held in check to the tune of 57 scoreless yards on 23 carries. If the Chiefs are to get back at the Eagles in Week 2, they’ll have to do a far better job of protecting Mahomes.
The Athletic’s Mike DeFabo believes RB Kaleb Johnson is a “schematic fit” for the Steelers offense.
Johnson, a third-round draft pick who last month was listed as a co-starter alongside Jaylen Warren on the Pittsburgh depth chart, was a hyper-productive back in Iowa’s zone-based rushing scheme, a system used frequently in Arthur Smith’s run-first offense. Only three college running backs in 2024 logged more zone rushes than Johnson. Johnson’s goals in offseason practices, according to DeFabo, “are to learn the playbook and earn the coaching staff’s trust with the hope of becoming an ‘every-down back’ sooner rather than later.” That might require Johnson to improve his pass blocking. The rookie said he’s worked on that with Warren — one of the best blocking backs in the NFL — in recent days.