JULIO JONES BABY! He highlighted last week’s plays and the other guys were productive options as well. This report is on a nice little roll, so hopefully you hopped on the wagon and are using these guys in your DFS lineups. Of course, you’re probably starting them already in seasonal formats, but in DFS when the entire NFL is your oyster, you have to make the right selections. Continue reading to find the matchups worth exploiting and fading.
Oh yeah, follow me on Twitter (@colbyrconway) as well!
Offense | Left WR | Defense | Right CB | Analysis |
ARI | John Brown | LAR | Trumaine Johnson | Johnson has shadowed in recent weeks, but he likely won't here in this matchup. Brown hasn't found the end zone since Week 6 and hasn't caught more than three passes in a game since Week 1 against the Lions. The usage just isn't there and he's worked his way off many fantasy rosters. |
ATL | Julio Jones | MIN | Xavier Rhodes | Jones is coming off a monster performance, which if you're like me, you rode to a nice little profit. However, this week, I wouldn't bet on production anywhere near his Week 12 output. Rhodes will shadow Jones in this matchup, and Minnesota's top corner will likely come out fired up after being manhandled by Marvin Jones on Thanksgiving Day. Bump Jones down a notch this week. |
BAL | Mike Wallace | DET | Darius Slay | In his coverage this season, Slay has held the likes of Odell Beckham, Michael Thomas, Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson to under 50 yards in their matchup.* I'll take any of those guys above Mike Wallace and the Baltimore passing attack doesn't inspire much confidence, to say the least. |
BUF | Zay Jones | NE | Stephon Gilmore | While the catch rate is still less than desirable, Jones is putting up numbers that are starting to garner our respect in fantasy formats, particularly PPR. He's eclipsed 65 receiving yards or scored in each of his last three games, but the rookie has a tough matchup in Week 13. Jones isn't useful in cash game lineups in DFS this weekend and even minimal exposure in tournaments could be risky. This is not the matchup to feel comfortable deploying Jones in seasonal formats. |
CAR | Kaelin Clay | NO | Ken Crawley | Clay made a big play in the game, but that punt return touchdown contributed to all of his fantasy points in the afternoon. Playing him isn't contrarian or sneaky, because it's simply not smart. He saw just three targets last week and took his lone rush for 29 yards. Clay is not a focal point of the Carolina offense and he isn't going to become a go-to receiver in this matchup. |
CHI | Dontrelle Inman | SF | Dontae Johnson | San Fran ranks in the bottom-third of the NFL in terms of covering the opposition's No. 1 receiver, and there is no doubting that Inman is the top receiver in this passing attack. He's averaging just over seven targets per game since the trade to Chicago and he makes for a good flex option this week. |
CIN | A.J. Green | PIT | Artie Burns | Green caught just three passes on six targets for 41 yards in the team's first meeting, but in 12 career games, he's averaging 6.2 receptions on 11.4 targets for 84.7 yards, per Pro Football Reference. Green's averaging eight targets over his last three games, but he does have to square off against Pittsburgh's best corner. Green remains a must start in seasonal formats. |
CLE | Corey Coleman | LAC | Casey Hayward | This is going to be a very fun matchup to watch. Coleman's fantasy value is at its highest with DeShone Kizer under center and the two have developed a rapport. However, Hayward is playing like the elite corner he can be at this level. This isn't a great matchup for Coleman, so he falls to the WR3 realm in Week 13. |
DAL | Dez Bryant | WAS | Bashaud Breeland | Only six receivers have been targeted more than Bryant this season, but he's been far less efficient than any of the guys above him. His 53 receptions are 14 fewer than the closest guy (Keenan Allen) above him. Dak Prescott has been a train wreck without his buddy Ezekiel Elliott in the backfield with him, and the offensive line isn't playing well either. Bryant falls to the WR3 realm. |
DEN | Demaryius Thomas | MIA | Xavien Howard | The switch back to Trevor Siemian bodes well for Thomas. Despite scoring his touchdowns with Brock Osweiler, Thomas went for 65 or more receiving yards in four of his first five games this season, including five or more receptions in four of those five as well. The eighth-year pro is a low-end WR2 in a plus matchup. |
DET | Kenny Golladay | BAL | Jimmy Smith | Smith is dealing with a lower leg injury and it was a bit obvious on Monday night against the Houston Texans. However, even on one healthy leg, he's a damn good cornerback that deserves our respect. Kenny Golladay is no DeAndre Hopkins, so I don't expect him to produce as well as the latter. This isn't a great matchup for Golladay, or any Detroit wideout for that matter. |
GB | Davante Adams | TB | Robert McClain | I'm crushing on Adams this week. He's caught five or more passes in four of his last five games and Brett Hundley hasn't derailed his fantasy value. He's scored twice in the last three and the Bucs have been handing out fantasy points by the dozen. Excellent play this week. |
HOU | DeAndre Hopkins | TEN | Adoree' Jackson | Here comes DeAndre Hopkins, who has re-established himself as one of the premier wide receivers in the league after a down year in 2016 with Brock Osweiler. Hopkins torched the Titans earlier this season, however, that was with Deshaun Watson, and not Tom Savage, but Hopkins has continued to reward fantasy owners with his play. Nuk is a WR1. |
IND | Donte Moncrief | JAX | A.J. Bouye | Moncrief has just three receptions on six targets for 83 yards over the last THREE weeks. He's not getting the usage and this matchup is absolutely brutal. Moncrief is a no-brainer for your bench this week. |
JAX | Keelan Cole | IND | Pierre Desir | Over the last three weeks, Desir has allowed a catch rate of nearly 86 percent and one touchdown on seven targets.* With Rashaan Melvin, Malik Hooker and Vontae Davis out with injuries, this secondary is extremely vulnerable. However, Cole doesn't get the workload to warrant a start, even in a favorable matchup. |
KC | Demarcus Robinson | NYJ | Darryl Roberts | Robinson has just five receptions over the last three games and a total of 15 for the entire season. The Kansas City offense is sputtering of late and it's hard to be confident in Robinson when there's little confidence in some of the bigger name guys, à la Kareem Hunt and Alex Smith. |
LAC | Travis Benjamin | CLE | Jamar Taylor | Everyone has a role on the team and Benjamin is asked to be the vertical threat in this offense. He hasn't scored in three weeks, but there is optimism for Benjamin in this matchup. Cleveland has been beat by the deep ball this season and Philip Rivers can drop one in there at any given moment on Sunday against Cleveland. Consider Benjamin in deeper standard leagues, or as a contrarian stack with Rivers. |
LAR | Sammy Watkins | ARI | Patrick Peterson | What do we know? Watkins tends to have minimal impact against the big time receivers and Patrick Peterson is elite in terms of shutting down the opposition's No. 1 guy. With Peterson shadowing Watkins, I'm fading him anywhere I have the option. Cooper Kupp is a far more attractive option. |
MIA | DeVante Parker | DEN | Brendan Langley | Langley was targeted twice on 18 snaps last week, resulting in one touchdown and a 158.3 QB rating when targeted.* He'll step into a bigger role this week with Aqib Talib's suspension, making Parker a low-end WR2 in Week 13. |
MIN | Laquon Treadwell | ATL | Robert Alford | Since the team's bye in Week 9, Treadwell has just two receptions for 10 yards, otherwise known as THREE fantasy points in a PPR format. The Minnesota offense is geared towards a select three or four guys, and Treadwell is not one of those guys. He can be unowned in any non-dynasty format. |
NE | Brandin Cooks | BUF | E.J. Gaines | Since Week 5, Gaines has allowed 1.63 yards per coverage snap and 19 receptions on 25 targets.* Tom Brady and Brandin Cooks have been clicking on another level lately, hooking up for 12 receptions on 16 targets for 232 targets and two touchdowns over the last two weeks. You can trust Cooks in all formats. |
NO | Michael Thomas | CAR | James Bradberry | Bradberry has shadowed the opposition's better receiver on multiple occasions now, so that's likely going to be the case this week. Does that mean we avoid Thomas? Heck no! Julio Jones and Mike Evans went for double-digit fantasy points in a PPR format in Bradberry's coverage, and Thomas' high floor this season keeps him in the backend of the WR1s.* |
NYG | Tavarres King | OAK | Sean Smith | Geno Smith under center for the Giants? No, thank you. I was off King even with Eli Manning under center, but given what we know about Smith, I'm way off. King won't be in a single one of my lineups, and unless you're in a super, super deep league, you should avoid him, too. |
NYJ | Chad Hansen | KC | Phillip Gaines | Gaines has allowed just two receptions over the last five weeks, which seems good, but it's on just four targets over 22 coverage snaps.* Here's what you need to know: Gaines is Pro Football Focus' No. 118 corner, and that's out of 118 cornerbacks. However, I'm not all in on Hansen this week as the workload just probably won't be there. Too difficult to trust. |
OAK | Johnny Holton | NYG | Ross Cockrell | Cockrell has his problems in coverage, which is why he didn't start when all the players were healthy. He's allowed a 131.5 QB rating when targeted over the last three weeks, but to his credit, he's allowing a mere 0.59 yards per coverage snap during that span.* Holton can get down the field in a hurry, but in an expanded role, it's hard to predict how effective he can be. Patterson is the better play among these two Oakland receivers. |
PHI | Alshon Jeffery | SEA | Shaquill Griffin | Red zone production and volume of work have kept Jeffery in the WR2 conversation for the majority of the season. While I doubt he snaps his streak of non-100-yard performances, he should be able to tally around 65-70 yards and a touchdown against a depleted Seattle defense. A few weeks ago, this was a scarier matchup for Jeffery and Carson Wentz, but not so much now. |
PIT | Antonio Brown | CIN | William Jackson | Brown continues to get it done and he's a must-start in all seasonal formats. He's scored just two of his eight touchdowns on the road this season, making him better suited for GPP lineups, compared to cash games in DFS. |
SEA | Paul Richardson | PHI | Jalen Mills | Over the last three weeks, Mills has been stingy and not exactly a cornerback with which you want to mess. He's allowed just six receptions (on 12 targets) over the last three weeks for a whopping 57 yards.* Richardson has at least 50 receiving yards in three of his last five games, but he's an unappealing option in anything other than deeper formats. |
SF | Marquise Goodwin | CHI | Prince Amukamara | Chicago ranks 23rd in the NFL in defending the deep ball and we all know what Goodwin does extremely well. The speedy receiver can get downfield and I'm excited to see what Goodwin can be with Jimmy Garoppolo under center for San Francisco. Garoppolo and Goodwin could be a very sneaky stack in DFS that certainly won't break the bank. |
TB | Mike Evans | GB | Josh Hawkins | Evans is a big, physical receiver and this Green Bay secondary has allowed the most touchdowns to wide receivers over the last four weeks. In sneaky fashion, there will be points put up on the board, which benefits Evans. No Kevin King means he will see Josh Hawkins, which only makes him more appealing. |
TEN | Corey Davis | HOU | Kevin Johnson | Johnson wasn't targeted much on Monday Night Football, but he did allow all three of his targets to go for receptions.* In fact, he's been targeted 12 fewer times than Johnathan Joseph over the last three weeks.* He's slowly improving out wide, but he's still beatable and this could be Davis' breakout week. I like him as your flex guy. |
WAS | Josh Doctson | DAL | Jourdan Lewis | Despite seeing just four targets in the team's last game, Doctson is emerging into a force out wide for the Redskins. The rapport with Kirk Cousins is growing and Doctson's target share is trending upwards on a nearly basis. While Jamison Crowder is still my favorite Washington receiver in this matchup, Doctson is number two, considering that Lewis has really struggled (145.2 QB rating when targeted) over the last two weeks.* |
Offense | Right WR | Defense | Left CB | Analysis |
ARI | Jaron Brown | LAR | Kayvon Webster | Brown found the end zone last week on a long touchdown, but we can't lose sight of the fact that it was his lone target of the afternoon. He will need a touchdown to make fantasy value and considering that Webster has allowed just one touchdown on 295 coverage snaps this season, leads me to believe he won't be as lucky this week.* |
ATL | Taylor Gabriel | MIN | Trae Waynes | If there's any hope for Gabriel in this one, it's that Julio Jones could see fewer targets dealing with shadow coverage from Xavier Rhodes. Additionally, Minnesota struggles against the No. 3 receiver. I think Gabriel and Sanu see some additional work in this one, but Gabriel is still a very volatile start in all formats. |
BAL | Chris Moore | DET | Nevin Lawson | Over the last six weeks, Lawson is allowing a catch rate of 72 percent and continues to get targeted a fair amount. Darius Slay has seen a decent amount of targets in recent weeks, but I expect Lawson to see a few more in Week 13. I'm out on Wallace and Moore, and iffy on Maclin in Week 13. |
BUF | Deonte Thompson | NE | Malcolm Butler | Looking at overall numbers for the season, you might like this matchup for Thompson. Well, you should not like it at all. The New England defense is playing some good, sound football and have allowed the tenth-fewest yards to opposing receivers over the last four weeks. I'm off of Thompson this week, as you may be able to guess. |
CAR | Devin Funchess | NO | Marshon Lattimore | It's important to watch Lattimore's status throughout the week, because Funchess' fantasy value this week is very easy to calculate. He's a high-end WR2 if Lattimore is out, but falls to more of a high-end WR3 if Lattimore is out on the field. |
CHI | Markus Wheaton | SF | Ahkello Witherspoon | Wheaton has just three targets over the past three games, so it's safe to say that he's not a startable asset. I like Dontrelle Inman for the Bears, but he is the ONLY Chicago receiver even worth a consideration to start in Week 13. |
CIN | Brandon LaFell | PIT | Coty Sensabaugh | After receiving 10 targets three weeks ago against the Titans, LaFell has a combined 10 targets over the last two games. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown at Sensabaugh an average of five times per game over the last three weeks, so there isn't much reason to expect a big workload for Sensabaugh. Plus, Joe Mixon has it working and will be a focal point of the offense moving forward. |
CLE | Josh Gordon | LAC | Trevor Williams | Gordon is infamous for his problems with the green, but can he win you some green (money) this week? Maybe, but I wouldn't bank on it. Williams is the No. 13 cornerback in the league, per Pro Football Focus, and he's allowed a QB rating of just 66.4 when targeted.* |
DAL | Terrance Williams | WAS | Josh Norman | Williams hasn't scored all season and Dak Prescott isn't playing very well. He will see both Norman and Bashaud Breeland in this contest, and that's not an ideal for an offense that is struggling to move the football. Williams isn't a usable asset on Thursday Night Football. |
DEN | Emmanuel Sanders | MIA | Cordrea Tankersley | Sanders saw plenty of targets with Trevor Siemian under center and he even has a two touchdown performance with Siemian at the helm. In a plus matchup, you can feel comfortable starting Sanders, despite coming off two terrible performances. |
DET | Marvin Jones | BAL | Brandon Carr | Carr has struggled in recent weeks of coverage, but he's allowed just one touchdown in coverage over the last month. Also, this Baltimore secondary as a whole has been very stingy to wide receivers. However, if we learned anything from last week, it's that Marvin Jones can ball and he's worth starting on a weekly basis in seasonal formats. Jones is a low-end WR2/high-end WR3 this weekend. |
GB | Jordy Nelson | TB | Brent Grimes | I would be more in favor of this matchup for Nelson if it weren't for the fact that his fantasy value has been sapped with not Aaron Rodgers under center. Brett Hundley has taken a liking to Davante Adams, but the success hasn't quite transferred to Nelson as well. He's a low-end flex option, and that's something I never thought I would say with Nelson in 2017. |
HOU | Bruce Ellington | TEN | LeShaun Sims | Ellington continues to receive targets from Tom Savage, but production in standard formats hasn't quite been there. A Will Fuller return would take a few targets away from Ellington, but not all of them by any means. He's no better than a flex option in a very, very deep league. |
IND | T.Y. Hilton | JAX | Jalen Ramsey | Not an ideal matchup here for Hilton, coming off a dud last week against a generous Tennessee defense. If you have another option, start him over Hilton, because it will be extremely tough-sledding against Ramsey and the rest of the Jacksonville secondary. |
JAX | Marqise Lee | IND | Kenny Moore | Moore's player grade of 42.4 would place him in the bottom 15 of cornerbacks, if he played enough to be ranked.* After dealing with some unfavorable coverage in recent weeks, Lee could get back on track in Week 13. With the Colts likely stacking the box to stop Leonard Fournette, Lee could easily haul in around seven passes and find the end zone this Sunday. |
KC | Tyreek Hill | NYJ | Morris Claiborne | Alex Smith is crashing to Earth hard and fast, and he's bringing nearly everyone down with him. In standard formats, Hill hasn't produced much recently, save his big performance against the Raiders a few weeks ago. Hill has seven receptions in each of the past two games, but being held under 70 receiving yards in both contest. He's more of a low-end WR2 this week. |
LAC | Tyrell Williams | CLE | Jason McCourty | Williams' usage in recent weeks has fluctuated a bit, but for the most part, it remains low. Keenan Allen is absolutely hogging all the targets, leaving Williams and a plethora of other guys to fight for the scraps. However, Williams did find the end zone last week, but I don't see that streak extending to two. |
LAR | Josh Reynolds | ARI | Tramon Williams | Over the last five weeks, Williams has actually allowed fewer receiving yards, touchdowns and a lower QB rating when targeted than teammate Patrick Peterson.* Keep that in mind when setting your lineup this week. |
MIA | Kenny Stills | DEN | Bradley Roby | Regardless of who is under center, I like Stills in this matchup against Roby. The young Denver corner has allowed two touchdowns over the last two weeks and Stills is a burner who can get behind the defense on any given play. He's averaging five receptions on just under eight targets over the last three games and makes for a sneaky play against this Denver defense in Week 13. |
MIN | Stefon Diggs | ATL | C.J. Goodwin | My only knock on Diggs this week was that Trufant was going to be opposing him out wide. However, that isn't the case with Trufant being ruled out with a concussion. Filling in last week, Goodwin allowed four receptions on five targets and a 99.2 QB rating when targeted.* This matchup got much tastier for Diggs. |
NE | Phillip Dorsett | BUF | Tre'Davious White | White is allowing a catch rate just north of 50 percent and just 0.85 yards per coverage snap over the last four weeks.* Dorsett doesn't get enough work in the passing attack to warrant playing in an unfavorable matchup such as this one. |
NO | Ted Ginn | CAR | Daryl Worley | Ginn has 13 receptions over the last two weeks, but he hasn't scored since Week 9. Worley can be taken advantage of, so if you want to stack him with Drew Brees in a DFS lineup, I'd be fine with that. I think Ginn finds the end zone this week, MARK IT DOWN. |
NYG | Roger Lewis | OAK | Dexter McDonald | Geno Smith is under center? Yikes. Will he top 150 passing yards in this matchup? I really don't know. To make things simple, avoid Lewis and the other New York receivers. This is going to get ugly. |
NYJ | Robby Anderson | KC | Marcus Peters | Not an ideal matchup for Anderson, but I'm still rolling with him in all seasonal formats. He's found the end zone in five straight games and averaging 15 yards per air target, per Next Gen Stats, this season. The Chiefs have struggled against wideouts this season and Peters is beatable, so you can start Anderson with confidence in Week 13. |
OAK | Cordarrelle Patterson | NYG | Eli Apple | Apple has been playing better football of late, but Patterson does have big play ability in him. The Oakland receiving crew takes a hit this week, but Patterson has an opportunity to attract at least six targets from Derek Carr this week, making him an intriguing dart throw in a tournament. |
PHI | Torrey Smith | SEA | Jeremy Lane | Smith's four receptions last week were the most he has recorded in a game since facing the New York Giants in Week 3! That was ages ago! I like Alshon Jeffery and Carson Wentz in this game, but no so much Smith, even against an injury-ridden Seattle defense. |
PIT | Martavis Bryant | CIN | Dre Kirkpatrick | Kirkpatrick has allowed a 59 percent catch rate over the last three weeks and a QB rating of 80.3 when targeted.* The third-year pro managed to score last week, but things will be tougher against Kirkpatrick and this Cincinnati pass defense. |
SEA | Tyler Lockett | PHI | Ronald Darby | Teams have been testing Darby often since his return, but he's been pretty darn good. Darby has allowed a QB rating of just 51.5 when targeted over the last three weeks.* Lockett has just eight targets over the last three weeks and Richardson is the safer option between the Seattle pass-catchers not named Doug Baldwin or Jimmy Graham. |
SF | Aldrick Robinson | CHI | Kyle Fuller | Robinson has managed to catch just four passes over the last three weeks, but I think the change under center to Jimmy Garoppolo could be really beneficial for Robinson. I'm not saying he's going to go for 100+ yards, but a respectable four or five catch day for around 50 yards is a reasonable expectation for Robinson in his debut with the franchise quarterback. |
TB | DeSean Jackson | GB | Davon House | Jackson is in a prime spot here to do some damage. Over the last five weeks, House has allowed 19 receptions on 25 targets and two touchdowns, not to mention a 138.3 QB rating when targeted. He's averaging eight targets per game over the last three outings and it may only require one or two targets to put up relevant fantasy marks in this one. The speedy veteran is a WR3 this week. |
TEN | Eric Decker | HOU | Johnathan Joseph | This is an excellent matchup for Decker against Joseph, who's really struggled in coverage this season. Over the last five weeks, only three cornerbacks have allowed more receiving yards than Joseph. Decker doesn't have a huge role in the passing attack, but he'll likely be the tertiary option behind Corey Davis and Delanie Walker. |
WAS | Ryan Grant | DAL | Anthony Brown | Grant is a rather unappealing option but he continues to get snaps so you could do worse in super deep PPR formats. In shallower formats, Grant should be unowned, and in terms of DFS, there are far superior options than the, at best, quaternary option in the Washington passing attack. |
Now, here are my 10 favorite matchups in the slot this weekend.
Offense | Slot WR | Defense | Slot CB | Analysis |
WAS | Jamison Crowder | DAL | Orlando Scandrick | Over the last five weeks, only Larry Fitzgerald has more receiving yards out of the slot than Crowder. He's received at least eight targets in each of his last four games, hauling in at least seven in three of those four. I expect him to post a big stat line on Thursday night in a divisional showdown. |
MIN | Adam Thielen | ATL | Blidi Wreh-Wilson | Thielen has been balling out this season. Thielen's 2.17 yards per route run and 440 receiving yards rank in the top 5 among slot production this season.* NOTE: Brian Poole is inactive, so this matchup only gets tastier for Thielen. |
LAC | Keenan Allen | CLE | Briean Boddy-Calhoun | Allen has caught 23 of 27 targets over the last two games. Yes, you read that right. He won't see much of Jason McCourty, so you should feel comfortable firing Allen up in any format. He's the most effective weapon in the Chargers' offense right now and Philip Rivers will continue to utilize him. |
SEA | Doug Baldwin | PHI | Patrick Robinson | Robinson is actually Pro Football Focus' No. 2 graded corner, which could scare some people off Baldwin in DFS. You're going to play him in seasonal formats, but perhaps he is your ticket to a nice pay day in a GPP. He's Russell Wilson's go to guy, and that's valuable, given the nonexistent entity of the Seattle run game. |
ARI | Larry Fitzgerald | LAR | Nickell Robey-Coleman | Fitzgerald has the most receiving yards out of the slot over the last five weeks and he should continue to produce. The Cardinals are going to need to score some points on this Rams defense, and that will come courtesy of the Blaine Gabbert-to-Fitzgerald connection. Robey-Coleman is a formidable foe, but Fitz is one of the game's best, so there's no sitting him this week. |
PIT | JuJu Smith-Schuster | CIN | Darqueze Dennard | JuJu missed the team's last game, but he should be good to go this week. He's the team's No. 2 option in the passing game, and even though Dennard has allowed a QB rating of 65.4 when targeted over the last five weeks, you can trust Smith-Schuster in your season-long league. |
LAR | Cooper Kupp | ARI | Tyrann Mathieu | No Robert Woods and no Patrick Peterson (in coverage) means we fire up Kupp in all formats! Mathieu has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards out of the slot this season, while Kupp ranks 16th in receiving yards out of the slot.* Kupp is an excellent play in all formats this week. |
DET | Golden Tate | BAL | Maurice Canady | This Baltimore secondary has been stingy to opposing wideouts this season, but Tate is a dynamic receiver looking to make up for a four catch, seven yard performance on Thanksgiving against the Vikings. Canady has been good in recent weeks, allowing just a 95.8 QB rating when targeted, but he has let one of his three receptions go for a touchdown.* Tate remains a reliable play in seasonal formats. |
MIA | Jarvis Landry | DEN | Chris Harris | This is not a favorable matchup for Landry, but his role in the offense will give him a chance to succeed, albeit the brutal matchup. He's seen at least seven targets in every game this season, and has scored in six of his last eight games. Landry is a reliable low-end WR2 in PPR formats. |
ATL | Mohamed Sanu | MIN | Terence Newman | Another touchdown pass for Sanu this past week! VAULT HIM UP THE RANKINGS! Kidding, partially. He saw nine targets last week and has seen at least five in four of his last six games. I doubt he'll throw for another touchdown this week, but I do envision him getting double-digit fantasy points this weekend. |
Elite
I loved this matchup with Kevin King, but it's even more appealing with King being inactive. Evans will see a lot of Josh Hawkins, who allowed three receptions and a touchdown on four targets last week.* Green Bay has allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing receivers over the last four weeks, and I expect Evans to not only eclipse 100 yards for the first time this season, but find the end zone at least once in this matchup. His physical stature is going to give this defense fits all afternoon. The Winston-to-Evans connection will rekindle in Week 13. BANK ON IT.
Davante Adams vs. Robert McClain
Adams will likely see some Brent Grimes in this one, which is nothing to fear either. McClain is Pro Football Focus’ No. 112 corner (out of 118), so you can see that attacking him in DFS and season long formats is a wise investment. Adams is Brett Hundley’s clear-cut favorite target in the offense and the fourth-year pro out of Fresno State has produced double-digit fantasy points in all but one of Hundley’s appearances this season. McClain has had his fair share of problems in coverage this season, and with the Tampa Bay defense allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers over the last four weeks, Adams finds himself in an excellent spot.
Affordable
Two targets last week against the Cardinals are likely going to push people off Lee this week, but don’t buy into that number. The numbers you need to buy into are as follows: Lee received 48 targets in the five games prior to last week’s dud. He scored twice in that span and caught at least five passes on four occasions. If Kenny Moore had played enough to qualify, his grade over at Pro Football Focus would rank him among the bottom 15 corners in the National Football League.* With Indy likely stacking the box and dealing with an injury-riddled secondary, the stars are aligning for a reliable performance from Lee in Week 13.
Bargain Bin
Marquise Goodwin vs. Prince Amukamara
We don’t exactly know what we have with Goodwin with Jimmy Garoppolo under center, but I’ll take a dart throw in a tournament or my flex spot with Goodwin, a notable deep threat in the league. The Bears rank 23rd in the league in defending the deep ball and 28th in passes to the left side of the field according to Football Outsiders. Over the last five weeks, Amukamara has allowed a 69 percent catch rate to his opposition and Goodwin is averaging just over five targets per game over his last three contests. Matter of fact, he’s logged at least 68 receiving yards in each of his last three games, and I expect Garoppolo to target his top receiver a good bit in this matchup. Goodwin is very affordable this week.
*Information gathered from research done at Pro Football Focus.