Underdog NBA Picks Today, 5/28: Basketball Projections + More
On Wednesday, May 28th, we have a massive opportunity to secure a nice winning day with our Underdog Fantasy NBA Picks and NBA DFS projections as the NBA Postseason continues as Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals is going down.
Looking for an edge today, we look at the NBA DFS projections for Chet Holmgren of the Oklahoma City Thunder and Mike Conley of Minnesota Timberwolves.
Best Underdog Fantasy NBA Picks, Wednesday, 5/28: NBA DFS Projections
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Chet Holmgren NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 15.5 Points
Other than Game 3, which was a 40-point loss, Chet Holmgren has looked fantastic this series. His usage rate has been solid in those three contests as well, posting a 21% clip or higher, including 32% in Game 2. He’s been at 15-plus points in three of four games and 21 or more in two of the last three. He’s the preferred big man in this series, too, as Isaiah Hartenstein has largely been pushed to the sidelines. Holmgren’s one of my favorite Underdog NBA Picks of the day.
- Pick: Higher Than 15.5 Points
Mike Conley NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Lower Than 12.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
I’m unsure what the Timberwolves are going to do with their starting lineup because they may not change anything, but it’s possible they do. Conley’s minutes took a massive hit in Game 4 as the 19 minutes he played were his fewest of the series and his second-fewest this postseason in general. Conley’s been extremely inefficient and hasn’t really contributed much elsewhere. It could be a shortened night with Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Donte DiVincenzo being extended.
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Kyle Filipowski accumulated 21 points (9-of-21 FGs, 2-of-4 FTs), six rebounds, one assist, one block and one three-pointer in Sunday’s loss to the Warriors.
Two days removed from putting on a show with a 32-point effort against the Hornets, Filipowski was not as effective on Sunday. He still surpassed 20 points, but sometimes the Jazz forward/center was not as decisive as he needed to be offensively. Instead of making quick moves to take advantage of mismatches, Filipowski was too deliberate at times, thus eliminating whatever advantage he had. With Utah trading John Collins, there’s an opening in the starting lineup. While Filipowski may be a candidate, the same can be said for Brice Sensabaugh, who played so well in Salt Lake City that the Jazz shut him down before arriving in Las Vegas.
Cody Williams amassed 22 points (8-of-17 FGs, 5-of-6 FTs), eight rebounds, four assists, three steals and one three-pointer in Sunday’s loss to the Warriors.
Williams has surpassed 20 points in two straight games, a positive development for a player who struggled mightily as a rookie. However, the perimeter shot remains a work in progress. Williams was 1-of-6 from deep on Sunday, two nights after going 3-of-11 in the loss to the Hornets. He isn’t going to turn into a knockdown shooter overnight. Williams remains a player worth the risk in dynasty leagues, but managers in redraft leagues can afford to leave him on the board.
Will Richard tallied nine points (3-of-7 FGs, 2-of-2 FTs), six rebounds, there steals, one block and one three-pointer in Sunday’s win over the Jazz.
Richard was not as productive offensively as he was in Friday’s blowout loss to the Trail Blazers, but he once again provided value in multiple areas. The second-round pick out of Florida is in a similar position to Alex Toohey, with both yet to sign contracts with the Warriors. Not only does Golden State have two available two-way slots, but it also has multiple open standard contract slots. Some notable free agents are still available on the market, including restricted free agent Jonathan Kuminga, so Richard may be in a holding pattern of sorts as the Warriors’ front office sorts things out.
Alex Toohey finished Sunday’s win over the Jazz with 15 points (4-of-11 FGs, 6-of-7 FTs), five rebounds, two assists, one steal and one three-pointer.
After getting blown out by Portland in their first game in Las Vegas, Toohey and the Warriors bounced back on Sunday. The second-round pick was solid, leading the Warriors’ starters in scoring and nearly filling the stat sheet. Toohey has yet to sign a contract, and with the Warriors still having work to do in free agency, he may have to wait a bit longer. Gabe Madsen was the true standout on Sunday, as he came off the bench to contribute 22 points and six three-pointers.
Yanic Konan Niederhauser finished Sunday’s win over the Bucks with two points (1-of-1 FGs), three rebounds, two steals and one blocked shot.
While Konan Niederhauser turned 22 in March, these early games in Las Vegas have reminded us that he’s still a bit of a project. The rookie notched his first made basket on Sunday, an alley-oop dunk, and he was also responsible for two steals. Konan Niederhauser will be more of an asset for dynasty leagues than redraft leagues, but he will have the opportunity to learn from Ivica Zubac and Brook Lopez next season.
Cam Christie produced 21 points (6-of-14 FGs, 6-of-7 FTs), three rebounds, three assists, one steal and three three-pointers in Sunday’s win over the Bucks.
Christie is one of the few players on the Clippers’ summer roster whose contract is guaranteed for the 2025-26 season. The second-round pick could not earn rotation minutes as a rookie, and it will be challenging to change that next season due to the Clippers’ perimeter depth. Christie shot 3-of-6 from beyond the arc against the Bucks, and he’ll need to be a consistent shooter to have any chance of providing tangible fantasy value.