Underdog Fantasy NBA Picks Today, 5/25: Top DFS Projections & Plays
We have Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals going down tonight, Saturday, May 25th.
The Boston Celtics basically stole Game 1 away from the Indiana Pacers and absolutely dominated Game 2. Boston has been great on the road this postseason but the Pacers haven’t lost a game at home this postseason. The status of Tyrese Haliburton might change that, however.
This means there are plenty of routes to attack our Underdog Fantasy NBA picks today!
NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks Today, 5/25
There are a lot of great spots on the slate, but the three I’m targeting are T.J. McConnell of the Indiana Pacers and Jrue Holiday and Al Horford of the Boston Celtics.
Let’s dive into our top Underdog Fantasy NBA picks of the day!
Jrue Holiday Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 5.5 Assists
*Author’s note* - Jrue Holiday has been downgraded to QUESTIONABLE with a non-COVID related illness.
Through the first two games it’s clear as day that Jrue Holiday is facilitating the offense. He’s received the most passes per game and is third in making passes. He also leads the team with 12.5 potential assists per game, posting north of eight assists in each contest. Indiana is having a hard time guarding Boston and Holiday is exploiting that with his passing.
- Pick: Higher than 5.5 Assists (.9x)
Al Horford Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 7.5 Rebounds
There’s something to be said about the Celtics front-court depth without Kristaps Porzingis when Luke Kornet went down with an injury and we saw Oshae Brissett check in. He was great, don’t get me wrong, but the C’s are likely without Kornet again and will rely on Horford for big minutes again. Through two games in this series, Horford leads the team with 14 potential rebounds and is coming off 10 boards last time out.
- Pick: Higher than 7.5 Rebounds (1.05x)
T.J. McConnell Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 11.5 Points
The reporting from Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN is that there is real concern about Haliburton’s availability for the remainder of the series. He also said he’s going to try and play through, but trying doesn’t suggesting making it through much of the game. That means more McConnell and before this line balloons, take advantage of it. He had a 37% USG in Game 1 and a 25% USG in Game 1. He leads the team this postseason in usage rate despite coming off the bench.
- Pick: Higher than 11.5 Points
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Brandin Podziemski had 11 points (3-of-14 FGs), three rebounds, one assist and four steals in Game 4 against the Timberwolves on Monday.
Podziemski was 3-of-14 from the field and missed all four of his three-point attempts. His 22.5 field goal percentage in this series is the worst for any player (min. 35 attempts) since Pero Antic shot 16.7 percent in the Hawks vs. Pacers series in 2014, according to Josh Dubow of the Associated Press. Down 3-1 in the series now, the Warriors need Stephen Curry to return from his hamstring injury for Game 5, a miracle or both to get back in this series.
Jimmy Butler had 14 points (5-of-9 FGs), six rebounds, three assists and one block in Game 4 against the Timberwolves on Monday.
Despite the Warriors win in Game 1, Butler warned in postgame interviews that Stephen Curry is the team’s best player and it was going to be difficult to win games without him. After what’s transpired over the last three games, which the Warriors have all lost, he might’ve been underselling it. Butler wasn’t able to fill Curry’s shoes in Game 4. In fact, he was a team-worst -30 in 34 minutes in the seven-point loss. The Warriors will have their backs against the wall facing elimination in Game 5 on Wednesday.
Julius Randle had 31 points (11-of-21 FGs), five rebounds, three assists, one steal, one block and four three-pointers in Game 4 against the Warriors on Monday.
Anthony Edwards had 30 points (11-of-21 FGs), four rebounds, five assists, two steals and six three-pointers in the Timberwolves’ 117-110 victory over the Warriors in Game 4 on Monday.
Derrick White had 23 points (6-of-12 FGs), three rebounds, two assists and six three-pointers against the Knicks in Game 4 on Monday.
White was the Celtics second leading scorer in Game 4, but he was the only consistent scorer for Boston outside of Jayson Tatum. The 30-year-old point guard got all of his points on six three-pointers and five free throws. Unfortunately for the Celtics it wasn’t enough as Boston was trailing when Tatum went down with a lower leg injury in the final minutes, essentially taking a comeback off the table. The Celtics will look to stave off elimination with their backs against the wall at home in Game 5 on Wednesday.
Jayson Tatum had 42 points (16-of-28 FGs), eight rebounds, four assists, four steals, two blocks and seven three-pointers against the Knicks in Game 4 on Monday.