NBA DFS Showdown Playbook: March 27 - Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks
Published: Mar 27, 2022
Utah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks
Spread: UTA -1
Total: 214
Injuries
Utah Jazz
Bojan Bogdanovic - OUT
Danuel House Jr. - OUT
Udoka Azubuika - OUT
Hassan Whiteside - QUEST
Dallas Mavericks
Tim Hardaway Jr. - OUT
Sterling Brown - OUT
Davis Bertans - PROB
Trey Burke - QUEST
MVP/CPT
$19,800 is a pretty penny to pay. That’s what it takes to pay up for Luka Doncic in the captain's chair. That being said, it’s as viable as it’s going to get. Doncic, without Kristaps Porzingis this year, has a 38.6% USG rate and averages 1.57 FP/min. In the two meetings against Utah this year, Doncic is averaging 29 points, 11.5 rebounds, 9.0 assists, and 63.6 DKP/game. Safe to say their normally suffocating defense hasn’t bothered them much this year.
I actually prefer Rudy Gobert to Donovan Mitchell in the captain's spot if choosing between the two. He has the better match-up as Dallas is splitting time between Dwight Powell and Maxi Kleber at center. This month, Dallas is 22nd in rebounding and we know Gobert has 20 rebound upside. He had 19 rebounds just last game and put up just 39 DKP, but only blocked one shot. We know when he blocks two or more shots in a game, he has 50 FP upside. He’s averaging 2.1 BPG, so he’s more than capable of it, and using him and not Doncic at CPT allows you to get both and be comfortable with your lineup.
The one thing about Donovan Mitchell is that even if his shot isn’t falling, he’ll keep shooting. Mitchell has taken 21+ shot attempts in eight straight games. He’s been scoring the ball at an elite clip too, notching 24+ points in eight straight and 30+ points in four of five games. Without Bojan Bogdanovic and Danuel House Jr. in the lineup, Mitchell averages 1.38 FP/min and has a 36.2% USG rate.
UTILITY
It’s hard to love Jordan Clarkson when Donovan Mitchell is healthy, but without Bojan Bogdanovic, Clarkson is maximizing his floor time. He’s been very good lately, averaging 19.5 points, 33.4 minutes, and 33.1 DKP/game over his last six. Without Bogdanovic, House, and Ingles on the floor, Clarkson has a 28.3% USG and averages .97 FP/min.
Looking at things since Spencer Dinwiddie arrived, Dinwiddie has slightly – ever so slightly – performed better than Jalen Brunson. He’s averaged one FP/min compared to Brunson’s .97. He’s put up 30+ DKP in six of the last seven games and they were blown out by Minnesota as he played just 27 minutes. I like Dinwiddie as a UTIL option here.
With Bojan Bogdanovic out of the lineup, Conley’s been asked to pick up a little bit more of the slack. He’s even been extended a bit more lately, topping 30 minutes in two of three games. He’s put up 29+ DKP in five of his last seven games and two times in his last three. With Bogdanovic out of the lineup, Conley has averaged 1.05 FP/min and has a 20% USG rate.
When breaking down Dallas’ center position, it’s hard to put much stock in either guy, but Maxi Kleber has been extended a bit more than Dwight Powell has in this match-up. He’s averaged 25 minutes against Utah this season and the last time they played, which was March 7th, Kleber played 27 minutes. He’s averaged 22.1 DKP/game against UTA this season.
If he’s in the starting lineup again, why wouldn’t we deploy him in GPPs? He played 28 minutes, scoring 14 points and 23.25 DKP. He’s someone who’s capable of scoring the ball when he’s on the floor and right now, with Bojan Bogdanovic and Danuel House Jr. off the floor, he has the opportunity to do so.
If you’re not using Juancho Hernangomez, maybe using Eric Paschall is the pivot? I say that because before the last game when Hernangomez started, Paschall was in the starting lineup. He played 25 minutes and took 12 shots, which was the second straight game he took 10+ shot attempts. He’s worth a dart in GPPs considering who’s in/out for Utah.
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