PrizePicks NBA Picks Today, 2/20: Free DFS Picks, Stacks & Projections
Welcome to our PrizePicks NBA Pick'em preview for Thursday, February 20, 2025! Tonight’s slate features two juicy matchups: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies vs. Indiana Pacers.
We’ve got discounted lines and prime opportunities to cash in, so let’s break down why Kevin Durant and Santi Aldama are must-plays for your PrizePicks card. Whether you’re chasing a 2-pick Power Play or a bigger payout, these picks are built to deliver. Here we go!
PrizePicks NBA Picks, Thursday, 2/20: NBA DFS Projections
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Kevin Durant NBA PrizePicks Fantasy Pick: More Than 22.5 Points
Kevin Durant is a no-brainer tonight against the Spurs. PrizePicks has slashed his line from 26.5 to 22.5 points—a steal given his season-long dominance. The Suns’ superstar has cleared 22.5 points in 83% of his games this 2024-25 season, including 18 of his last 20 outings. That’s consistency you can bank on. With San Antonio missing Victor Wembanyama, their defensive anchor, Durant should feast even more. The Spurs’ frontcourt depth takes a massive hit without Wemby, leaving them vulnerable to KD’s mid-range mastery and scoring versatility.
The 237.5 game total suggests a competitive pace, and Phoenix’s offense runs through Durant, especially against a depleted Spurs squad. San Antonio’s perimeter defense already struggles, and without Wembanyama’s rim protection, Durant will have cleaner looks inside and out. He’s a lock to push past 22.5—don’t be surprised if he flirts with 30+. More Than 22.5 Points is your anchor pick tonight.
- Pick: More Than 22.5 Points
Santi Aldama NBA PrizePicks Fantasy Pick: More Than 11.0 Points
Santi Aldama is heating up at the perfect time, making him a sneaky gem for this slate. The Grizzlies’ forward has gone over 11.0 points in three straight games and five of his last seven, riding a hot streak into this matchup. He’s averaging over 20 minutes per game this season, and when he gets at least that much run, he’s cleared 11.0 points in 66% of those games. Tonight’s clash with the Pacers could see Aldama’s role grow even more.
The 249.5 game total points to a fast, high-scoring affair, and Indiana’s Myles Turner presents a unique challenge. Turner’s floor-spacing pulls Memphis’ rookie Zach Edey out of his comfort zone, potentially opening the door for Aldama’s versatility. Santi’s ability to score inside and knock down threes matches up well against Indy’s pace-and-space style. The Pacers rank bottom-10 in defensive rating, giving Aldama plenty of chances to capitalize. More Than 11.0 Points feels like a bargain—he could easily hit 15+ if the minutes trend upward.
- Pick: More Than 11.0 Points
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Player News
According to ESPN’s Shams Charania during an appearance on the Pat McAfee Show, Donovan Mitchell has been diagnosed with a re-aggravation of a left ankle injury and will be a game-time decision for Game 5.
Mitchell didn’t return after halftime of Sunday’s blowout loss, and Ty Jerome started in his place for the second half. The Cavs were getting stomped 80-39, but apparently the injury is more serious than initially thought, and his absence in the second half was more than precautionary. If he’s unable to go, Jerome would likely get the starting nod as Cleveland faces elimination at home down 3-1 in the series.
According to ESPN’s Shams Charania during an appearance on the Pat McAfee Show, Donovan Mitchell has been diagnosed with a re-aggravation of a left ankle injury and will be a game-time decision for Game 5.
Mitchell didn’t return after halftime of Sunday’s blowout loss, and Ty Jerome started in his place for the second half. The Cavs were getting stomped 80-39, but apparently the injury is more serious than initially thought, and his absence in the second half was more than precautionary. If he’s unable to go, Jerome would likely get the starting nod as Cleveland faces elimination at home down 3-1 in the series.
ESPN’s Shams Charania reports that Giannis Antetokounmpo “has not made any firm decisions, but for the first time in his career, he is open-minded about whether his best fit is remaining in Milwaukee – or playing elsewhere.”
No surprises here, as rumors of Antetokounmpo’s future with another team swirled as the season came to a close. Milwaukee finished the regular season 48-34 as the fifth seed in the East, and the Bucks were knocked out of the first round in a gentlemen’s sweep to the rival Pacers. With Damian Lillard out for most if not all of next season, the Bucks may choose to trade Antetokounmpo in the offseason and get a jumpstart on the impending rebuild. Fantasy managers should keep a close eye on an Antetokounmpo trade this offseason, as his future plans will be one of the biggest headlines heading into the 2025-26 season and could drastically shift fantasy values for a few other players.
Obi Toppin provided a boost off the bench with 20 points (9-of-14 FGs), five rebounds, two assists and one three-pointer in Game 4 against the Cavaliers on Sunday.
Toppin has been a solid reserve for Indiana all season, but he hadn’t been as productive in the postseason until Game 4. This was the second-highest scoring playoff game of Toppin’s career, narrowly finishing behind his 21-point game against the Bucks last season. Toppin will continue to play a large role off the bench, but the odds of him reaching 20 points again are slim.
Myles Turner lit up the Cavaliers with 20 points (7-of-13 FGs), seven rebounds, three assists and four three-pointers in Game 4 on Sunday.
For the fourth time in Indiana’s last six games, Turner scored 20 points. This time, it only took him 22 minutes. Turner has been a big part of the offense recently, and the strategy is working; they are 4-0 when he scores at least 20 points during this postseason, and they’re 17-2 over the course of the entire season when he reaches 20 points. Turner will continue to feature heavily in the offense in Game 5 as the Pacers look to close out this series.
Pascal Siakam led the Pacers with 21 points (9-of-10 FGs), six rebounds, three assists, one steal and two three-pointers in a 129-109 win over the Cavaliers in Game 4 on Sunday.
What a night it was for Siakam, who only missed one shot in the blowout win. He only played 21 minutes, but that was more than enough for Indiana to take complete control of this game. His dominant night has them just one win away from returning to the conference finals for a second straight season. Siakam hadn’t been a significant part of the offense in this series, but the strategy to get him going paid off on Sunday. He’ll look to stay hot in Game 5 on Tuesday with a chance to close out the series.