NBA Best Bets Today, 12/6: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Friday
Scottie Barnes is the only player that came through yesterday. Chris Paul was close but did not get 10 assists. Dereck Lively earned 12 rebounds, easily covering the rebounding portion of the double-double. However, he only scored 6 points in a blowout victory by the Mavericks.
Such it is, but with only 2.5 units wagered, the loss was cut short of 1 unit. Nothing drastic and nothing that cannot be overcome.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 12/6
Today’s best bets are a combination of two player props and a straight bet.
The odds have shifted since midnight, which implies either the sharks moved in, or the sportsbooks believe it is likely to happen.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction: Minnesota ML (-105 on BetMGM) *BET OF THE NIGHT
The Minnesota Timberwolves are beginning to find their rhythm, and looking more like the team from last year. They have won three in a row, are back over .500 and find themselves in the tenth spot of the competitive Western Conference.
They also have rested since their most recent game, which was in Los Angeles. White the Golden State Warriors were in a tough, competitive battle with the Houston Rockets in the latest game yesterday. They have a quick turnaround against another tough, physical team in Minnesota too.
The money line was +115 for the Timberwolves at midnight and has moved to negative odds on most if not all sportsbooks. Anthony Edwards should play better, and more, than he has in his last two games. The role players for Minnesota have really improved their game and contributed to their consistency.
Rudy Gobert will also be a mismatch against the Warriors, and this game should be won by the visiting team. The Warriors are an older roster and cannot expect Andrew Winggins to keep being the difference in winning and losing. Put a unit on the Timberwolves to win this game.
Pacers vs. Bulls Prediction: Nikola Vucevic Over 1.5 Threes Made (-135 on DraftKings)
The Well is back, and even though we tried to stay away from the juiced odds, it is simply too reliable of a pick to turn away from. This column has not mentioned his bets over his last three games, due to the lines becoming inflated.
However, Nikola Vucevic has made 2 or more threes in all three of the games we did not bet on. We missed out on money. Vucevic over 1.5 threes made has been the most profitable betting prediction of the season.
Today, we return to our favorite Montenegrin to deliver for us again. The Indiana Pacers and Chicago Bulls enjoy playing up and down basketball, and the sportsbooks know it. The total of this game is an astronomical 248.5 points, 18.5 more than the next closest game.
Vucevic could have ten or more attempts tonight from behind the arc. Put a unit on The Well to deliver again, as we should have never gone away from him.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 12/6
Of all the games today, the first ESPN game could be the best. The Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics are without doubt the best teams of the Eastern Conference this decade.
They are the two teams that brought home the Larry O’Brien, and restored pride to their cities. The next player prop comes from that game.
Bucks vs. Celtics Prediction: Jayson Tatum Over 3.5 Threes Made (-120 on BetMGM)
Jayson Tatum’s line has not moved but juice has been added as the odds shifted from -110 to -120. That is okay too, that implies someone made a correction to the computer's projected totals. A little juice on Friday is not a bad thing.
This prediction needs some juice from Tatum too. He sat out in his most recent game and this line was wagered on, but voided. Now we put the unit back on the captain of the Celtics, and we are trusting his three-ball.
Tatum has made 3 or more threes in his last three games played, and seven of his last nine games. He is a versatile player, capable of scoring in many ways, but with Giannis Antetokounmpo defending the paint, points may come easier from deep. Implying there is a likelihood that his attempts increase as well.
Boston is projected to win with an -8-point spread, and Tatum should be fresh after a few days’ rest. Put a unit on the forward to continue his impressive three-point scoring and watch the game live on ESPN.
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Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All odds accurate at time of writing and NBA best bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise