NBA Best Bets Today, 11/23: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Saturday
Jrue Holiday only had one assist last night and it killed the bet of the night. However the well provides, and this year the well is Nikola Vucevic making two or more threes. A successful wager once again on our favorite bet, and the double unit money maker hit again.
The Denver Nuggets versus Dallas Mavericks game was a thrilling NBA Cup, playoff like match. The Nuggets were down 24, came back and took a five point lead with less than five minutes to play. Then watched the Mavericks go on a great 13 to 5 point run to win the game, ruining our chance for Meatloaf.
However Vucevic hitting on the double unit wager ensured a positive outcome. One of three betting but a positive unit day which is always the daily goal.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/23
There are seven NBA games today, and three nationally televised in back-to-back-to-back broadcasts on NBATV. All three of today’s bets are placed on the nationally televised games. The New York Knicks at Utah Jazz, Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls, and the Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers.
The sampler was tasty yesterday, but left Fantasy Alarm craving more. So just like a great seafood restaurant, we are serving up another betting sampler. One player prop, one straight bet, and a parlay that is the Bet of the Night.
Knicks vs. Jazz Prediction: Same Game Parlay Lauri Markkanen & Karl-Anthony Towns Each O2.5 Threes made (+258 on DraftKings Sportsbook) *Bet Of The Night
Yesterday’s Bet of the Night was a two player prop on the assists, today’s parlay is on the threes. It is tempting to put a unit on Karl-Anthony Towns over 2.5 threes made alone, which is currently +115. If a bettor prefers to place the solo plus odds prop over the parlay, that is perfectly acceptable.
For those who are feeling like Fantasy Alarm, bold, the same game parlay paired with Lauri Markkanen to make three or more threes is suggested. The odds are fantastic at over 2.5 to 1, and both have been attempting several three point field goals..
Markkanen has made 3 or more threes in four straight games. He has played 33 or more minutes in each of those games with a combined 32 three point attempts, an average of 8 per game. His stand alone value is heavily juiced on the over, -175 on Draftkings.
Towns has made 3 or more threes in three of his last four games. During that span he has played thirty or more minutes in every game but one. He attempted 27 threes in that span, or a little under 7 per game. Towns has used his inside game more, playing a traditional center for the Knicks.
He is familiar with the Delta Center and the Utah Jazz roster after spending 9 years in the Northwest Division with the Minnesota Timberwolves. In fact he has probably played more games in Utah than the rest of starters combined.
The plus odd prop seems odd and we are the ones juicing Markkannen’s line by adding Towns to it. Most of the time a half a unit is suggested with a parlay, but this bet has better than average odds to be successful. Put a full unit on it and cheer on a winning ticket in the first game of the day.
Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook) *2.0 Units
The Denver Nuggets have owned the Los Angeles Lakers, knocking them out of the playoffs the past two seasons with a decisive 8-1 win differential. They also swept the Lakers in the regular season last year, and have had their number for most of this decade.
The schedule makers did the Lakers a big favor in this match, as the Nuggets are playing in the second of back-to-back games. They traveled after last night’s NBA Cup loss, in a game the Nuggets came back from a 24 point deficit. That is to say they exerted a lot of energy, and looked tired during the Mavericks 13-5 run at the end of the game.
In his over two decades of professional basketball, only three franchises can say they have had multiple years of success against LeBron James led teams; The 2000s San Antonio Spurs, The 2010s Golden State Warriors, and the 2020s Denver Nuggets. The crazy part is he has led a team to victory against all of those teams on their/his way to becoming NBA Champions/NBA Finals MVP.
Just like a great boxing rivalry there have been monumental wins, but also agonzing, physical and mental beatdowns that stew in the heart of a warrior. We as lovers of basketball may have less Lebron James/Lakers versus Denver Nuggets games then we can count on one hand.
James knows that too, and John Madden once stated ‘... if you do something (in competition) long enough, it will always come down to you and one other person.’ James has been doing it so long he has had different ‘one other persons’... Overall it’s probably Stephen Curry, but this decade it’s Nikola Jokic.
James, Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves haven’t forgotten those embarrassing, heart breaking losses and publicly stated so before last season began. They have an opportunity to exact revenge, and serve it up cold. They should easily cover the 3.5 spread which will likely move as the sharks move in.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/23
What can we say, other than we love betting on the Chicago Bulls? We have found winning angles in their last FIVE games, and we look to do it again with today’s plus odd prop pick on a guy we can not quit!
Grizzlies vs. Bulls Prediction: Nikola Vucevic Over 1.5 Threes made (+105 on BET MGM)
We will not quit this bet as long as the odds are greater than -105, and the sportsbooks almost always give it to us at plus odds despite what the data indicates. It’s pretty simple for the everyday readers, Vucevic is building the bankroll more than owning all four railroads in Monopoly. For the new readers, hop on the Reading Railroad.
The guy is simply amazing! He has covered this prop in four of his last five games, and covered for Fantasy Alarm in five of the six bets wagered on this exact pick. Yesterday was the second successful double unit winner on over 2.5 threes made, but today we put one unit on it.
The reason being the Bulls are playing in back-to-back games and Vucevic played 33 minutes yesterday and earned a double-double. They did play at home and he should be better rested than back-to-back games involving a road game. The Memphis Grizzlies are a good team, but that could help this bet if the Grizzlies build up a sizable lead.
Vucevic has a 46.1% success rate from behind the arc which any player in the NBA would be happy with. If he continues his five or more attempts per game, this bet should be successful. Put a unit on our favorite player so far this season.
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