NBA Best Bets Today, 11/8: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Friday
‘Ma! More meatloaf!’ That is correct my friends, another profitable day and Nikola Vucevic could be an angle we ride until the books correct it. Fantasy Alarm NBA Best Bets have the good times rolling and the bankrolls building!
Vucevic made 3 threes, easily clearing the +150-proposition bet. Lauri Markkanen just got off the hook midway through the fourth quarter, earning his seventh rebound late. DeAndre Ayton could not get his last two rebounds as the Spurs had the Trail Blazers blown out midway through the fourth.
Almost the sweep we wanted, but ‘two out of three ain’t bad’ for NBA predictions!
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/8
All but four teams are playing today in a full slate of games.
There are some expected close games and a few predicted blowouts, but today’s NBA best bets column focuses on player props as we look to continue our winning ways.
Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction: Herro O2.5 3s Made (-175 on DraftKings) 2.0U *Bet Of The Night
The NBA picks Bet of the Night has more juice than when Billy Ray Valentine cornered the market in the 1980s. However the data indicates this has a high probability of being successful, hence the odds shifting to 1.75 to 1. For that reason Tyler Herro over 2.5 threes made is a double unit bet, and yields over a unit once successful.
Herro is once again showing flashes of what he displayed earlier in the decade, and if he is in a rhythm, it is difficult for any player to stop him. That rhythm is currently sweet music. He has made 5 threes in each of his last two games, and he made 8 October 30th.
Herro has made 3 or more threes in five of the seven games this season, and that should continue tonight. The Heat are playing in the thin air of Denver, but the Nuggets perimeter defense isn’t the best in the league. As great as Christian Braun and Russell Westbrook have been, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope was a better perimeter defender, and Aaron Gordon is out.
Herro should have plenty of looks tonight as he has attempted 20 threes in his last two games and has attempted 61 over the season. Put two units down on the NBA best bets ‘bet of the night’.
Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction: Alperen Sengun Double-Double (-115 on DraftKings)
Alperen Sengun is becoming a frequent mention in the picks column, and for good reason. He’s an excellent basketball player. His rebounding line is set at 9.5 with odds of -130, and the pro tip here is to ALWAYS look at the double-double line if a player is averaging over 10 points per game.
Sengun is averaging 16.4 points per game and has scored 12 or more points in every game but one. His rebounding average is 11.4 per game, and he has 10 or more rebounds in all but two games this season. His most recent game he only recorded 5 rebounds, and that has caused this line to dip drastically.
So instead of taking the juiced odds on his rebounds, place a unit on his double-double which is essentially the same bet as over 9.5 rebounds, minus the juice. Make NBA predictions with logic today.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/8
The most exciting game, or at least the game with the two best records, is the Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
A combined 16-1 record, and two electrifying guards.
Warriors vs. Cavaliers Prediction: Stephen Curry Under 24.5 Points (+110 on BetMGM)
It is rare to bet against one of the best scorers of all-time. The generational talent of Stephen Curry can not be praised enough. But what if I told you that Curry has developed a new aspect to his game that takes away from his points?
Curry is averaging 7 assists per game this season. If he continues this pace it would be almost a full assist per game higher than his career best. A 15 year history of a point guard earning his assists best in his 16th season is impressive, especially with the loss of Klay Thompson. It is an overlooked part of his game this season, as the Warriors are 7-1 and have played three games without him.
Curry has only scored over 24 points once this season, and it was against a team that is willing to go field goal for field goal. Cleveland plays with defense behind arguably the best front court in the Association. Threes may be easier, but points will not be.
Our NBA best bets today will take the under on Curry’s points at plus money against a good defensive team.
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Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All odds accurate at time of writing and NBA best bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise
Player News
Buddy Hield had 15 points (5-of-14 FGs), three rebounds, one assist, one steal and four three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Hield moved into the Warriors’ starting lineup in the first round and the team became somewhat reliant on his scoring. With Stephen Curry (hamstring) out in Game 2, Hield started and played 29 minutes. The 32-year-old shooting guard led the Warriors in field goal attempts, though no one in a Golden State uniform was able to reach 20 points. The Warriors weren’t able to overcome a double-digit first half deficit. Despite the four made three-pointers, they’re going to need more from Hield as the series shifts to Golden State, especially if Curry remains out.
Jimmy Butler had 17 points (6-of-13 FGs), seven rebounds, four assists, one steal and two three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Butler couldn’t get it done without Stephen Curry (hamstring) on the road in Game 2. The Warriors fell behind by double-digits early and never recovered. Butler had 17 points on 13 shots, which wasn’t far off from the 20 points he had in Game 1. Still, the Warriors have to regroup as they head home for Games 3 and 4 as they try to figure out a way to keep this series close until Curry can return to the court.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker had 20 points (7-of-13 FGs), two rebounds, three assists, one block and four three-pointers in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Alexander-Walker was a key scorer off the bench in Game 2. He, Naz Reid and Donte DiVencenzo combined for 10 made three-pointers off the bench. In a game where the Warriors were desperate for scoring without Stephen Curry (hamstring), those bench points were too much to overcome as the Timberwolves won by 24 points.
Julius Randle had 24 points (10-of-17 FGs), seven rebounds, 11 assists and one three-pointer in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Randle led the Timberwolves in scoring in the Game 2 victory. The 30-year-old power forward was just three rebounds away from a triple-double. He was a steadying presence in his 33 minutes as Anthony Edwards dealt with an ankle injury towards the end of the first half. Edwards recovered from his injury to play 34 minutes, but Randle is still the next most important player in this series for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards had 20 points (6-of-13 FGs), nine rebounds, five assists, three steals, one block and two three-pointers in the Timberwolves’ 117-93 victory over the Warriors in Game 2 on Thursday.
Edwards appeared to suffer a sprained left ankle towards the end of the second quarter as the Warriors’ Trayce Jackson-Davis landed on his foot. Edwards turned the same ankle in the first round against the Lakers and appeared to re-aggravate the injury. The 23-year-old shooting guard would go on to start the second half and play a team-high 34 minutes in the Game 2 victory. Edwards will only have one full day off before the series resumes in Golden State for Game 3 on Saturday.
Warriors will start Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green and Quinten Post in Game 2 against the Timberwolves on Thursday.
No surprise here as Curry was always a long shot to make it back for Game 2 after leaving Game 1 with hamstring injury. While there has been a report that the 37-year-old point guard is expected to miss a week, there is no firm timetable for his return. The Warriors will go big with their starting lineup for Game 2 with center Quinten Post entering the lineup in Curry’s absence.