The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets head into game three of their 2025 NBA Western Conference Semifinals series today, Friday, May 9, with the series tied at 1-1 after a thrilling game two. The Thunder are coming off a dominant 149-106 victory to even the series, and are hoping to keep the momentum rolling.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets, powered by Nikola Jokic’s historic 42-point, 22-rebound performance in a 121-119 game one upset, look to keep home court advantage with a win at Ball Arena. With both teams showcasing elite talent and high-octane offenses, game three promises to be a pivotal clash. Here’s a deep dive into the storylines, odds, betting picks, and how to catch all the action.

 

 

 

Oklahoma City Thunder: Can Lightning Strike Twice? 

The Thunder have been the NBA’s darlings this season, boasting a league-best 68-win regular season, and responded to a game one loss with an all-time performance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, a leading MVP candidate, has been the catalyst, averaging 29.6 points per game in the playoffs despite shooting struggles.

His 34-point outburst in game two showcased his ability to take over, while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren provided dynamic support. Oklahoma City’s depth, with Alex Caruso’s defensive tenacity (5 steals and 2 blocks thus far), and their league-leading playoff pace make them formidable. However, after Denver’s game one comeback, capped by Aaron Gordon’s game-winning three, the Thunder must prove they can handle the Nuggets’ veteran poise. Not an easy task on the road. Avoiding another late-game collapse will be key for the young squad to take a 2 - 1 series lead.

Denver Nuggets: Back in the Saddle Again

The Denver Nuggets, the 2023 NBA champions, are proving they remain a playoff juggernaut despite a rollercoaster regular season. Nikola Jokic, the reigning MVP, has been unstoppable, averaging 25.2 points, 12.3 rebounds, and 9.2 assists in the postseason. His game one heroics (42 points, 22 rebounds, 6 assists) underscored his ability to dominate against Oklahoma City’s lanky frontcourt.

Jamal Murray (21.6 points per game) and Aaron Gordon (18.2 points per game, 6.5 rebounds per game) have stepped up, with Gordon’s clutch field goal in game one flipping the series narrative. However, Denver did not bring their best effort for game two, and will need to play with more energy if they want a victory. The Nuggets must regroup to counter the Thunder’s relentless pace, and the rowdy fans of Ball Arena must pressure the referees into better decision-making. Jokic’s playmaking and Denver’s playoff experience will be critical to reclaiming momentum. Look for a much improved defensive effort, and for the Nuggets to win the rebounding battle.

 

 

 

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

  • Spread: Thunder -4.5 (-110), Nuggets +4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Thunder -205, Nuggets +170
  • Over/Under: 233.5 (-110)

The line has shifted from -10.5 to -4.5, suggesting the sportsbooks see Denver keeping it closer at Ball Arena. The over/under has moved to 233.5, probably due to the Thunder’s game two performance. The moneyline is expected to shift as bets come in throughout the day.

 

 

 

Thunder vs. Nuggets Player Prop Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 13.5 Rebounds (+100 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Nikola Jokic put up his worst performance of the playoffs, and possibly of the season. There were some reports he was out eating and drinking with his family after game one, but several great basketball players have gone out to eat/drink after a hard-fought victory. Regardless, he was not in his dominant form.

Perhaps it was because of the energy used for a 42-point, 22 rebound performance, or not preparing, or the thought that Denver was content winning one of two on the road. Do not expect the same results in game three. The spread is the closest it’s been, the total is set higher than it has been, and it is now time for the Thunder to be tired after an all-time performance.

Look for Jokic to return to dominant form, and that includes grabbing any and every rebound that he is close to. Put a unit on this best bet at DraftKings today, and make sure to take advantage of the promotional offer below.

 

 

 

How To Watch Thunder vs. Nuggets on ESPN Today

Game three tips off tonight Friday, May 9, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. The game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN, with streaming available on FuboTV (free trial) and the ESPN app. For those on the go, ESPN Radio will provide live coverage. Check local listings for channel details, and ensure your streaming service includes ESPN for uninterrupted viewing.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report & Starting Lineup

Injury Report

  • Thunder: No injuries reported.
  • Nuggets: No injuries reported. 

Projected Starting Lineups

  • Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG), Luguentz Dort (SG), Jalen Williams (SF), Chet Holmgren (PF), Isaiah Hartenstein ©
  • Nuggets: Jamal Murray (PG), Christian Braun (SG), Michael Porter Jr. (SF), Aaron Gordon (PF), Nikola Jokic (C)

 

 

 

How To Bet On Thunder vs. Nuggets at DraftKings Sportsbook & Claim Your $200 Bonus

Betting on Thunder vs. Nuggets is seamless with DraftKings Sportsbook, a top platform offering competitive NBA odds and a user-friendly interface. New users can claim a $200 bonus in bonus bets by following these steps:

  • Sign Up: Visit DraftKings Sportsbook and click “Sign Up.”
  • Deposit: Make a minimum deposit of $5.
  • Place a Bet: Bet $5 or more on any Thunder vs. Nuggets market (e.g., spread, moneyline, player props).
  • Claim Bonus: Instantly receive $200 in bonus bets, win or lose, as eight $25 bonus bets.

No promo code is required, but you must be 21+ and located in a state where DraftKings is licensed (e.g., AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, TN, VT, VA, WV, WY). Bonus bets expire after seven days and have no cash value until wagered. To bet, navigate to the NBA section, select Thunder vs. Nuggets, choose your market (e.g., SGA Over 30.5 Points at -110), and confirm your wager. Always bet responsibly—call 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

 

 

 

Final Prediction: Thunder 112, Nuggets 119

The Denver Nuggets have been able to bounce back from losses throughout the season. They are also 29 - 16 at home this season (including the playoffs). Every Denver starter but Michael Porter Jr.  played the least amount of minutes of the playoffs. They will be refreshed and will win with physicality, led by Jokic, Murray, and Westbrook.

Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy -