The Bank of America ROVAL 400 is on Sunday, October 13th at Charlotte Motor Speedway. It’s an elimination race for the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs as the field gets whittled down to 8 drivers. In the past we’ve seen some do-or-die moves and races happen at the Charlotte Roval. 

 

 

 

Do we expect to see that again this year? Well, there’s a reason there’s a Heartburn Turn on the track. What is the best betting strategy for Bank of America ROVAL 400 best bets? Who are the top NASCAR picks for this race? 

We’ll talk about that, Roval winner predictions and the best prop bets for Charlotte on Sunday in the complete Bank of America ROVAL 400 best bets below.

Bank Of America ROVAL 400 Betting Trends & Strategy

The last road course race of the NASCAR Cup season is here. The Charlotte Roval has hosted 6 prior playoff races and all of them have been exciting in their own right. However, they’ve been unlike most other road races on the schedule. Why? Well, for a few reasons. 

Firstly, and perhaps most importantly, winners have come from P2 to P19 in the starting grid. That’s unusual for road races. Secondly, and also importantly, there are far more cautions at The ROVAL than any other Cup road course. In the 6 prior races, they’ve had a total of 47 cautions (including stage breaks) which is an average of nearly 8 yellows a race. That simply doesn’t happen at other right-turn-involved races.

While the layout has always been an odd one amongst road courses, this year it’s changing layout a bit as well in the infield section. Turn 7 has gotten a makeover to make the entrance to the standard oval portion of the track trickier. It’s more like Turn 11 in Sonoma now than a downhill straight to a left turn as it was before. 

This change is sure to bring more chaos and passing chances as drivers try to out-brake each other to get through the corner. With that many passing chances and baked in chaos, winners again could come from P1 to P20 while the top-10 is likely to be whoever survives the chaos the best. Something to note for our Bank of America ROVAL 400 predictions in 2024.

 

 

 

Bank Of America ROVAL 400 Best Bets: Winner Predictions

A.J. Allmendinger +800 (BetMGM)

This is pretty much – inarguably – Allmendinger’s best track. He’s won here 4 times in 4 races in the Xfinity series and won this race a year ago in Cup. He’s also posted 3 P7 or better finishes in 4 Cup races here, and was running P5 in 2021 when his engine died. 

We all know how good Allmendinger is at road racing in general and that his skill usually makes up for equipment. All of that is in play this weekend. Every time right turns are involved, he’s a threat to wind up in victory lane and Sunday is no different. Oh yeah, we’ll take the value here too over Shane Van Gisbergen going off at +400-500.

Tyler Reddick +1200 (FanDuel)

It’s been 4 races at the Roval for Reddick and 3 of them have been P8 or better with the worst being P12. Now add in a similar record over the 4 road races in 2024 and Reddick is a serious threat for Bank of America ROVAL 400 best bets. 

That doesn’t even include the wins he’s posted on road courses in the Next Gen era as well. If Reddick came into a less chaotic race with that kind of record, he’d be a +700-800 winner. So, let’s take advantage of the chaos factor.

 

 

 

Chase Elliott +1500 (FanDuel)

There’s no way around the fact that this has been a down year for Elliott in terms of dominant showings. However, it’s a road course and it’s Elliott. Those two things still go hand in hand. Not to mention he’s won here twice in 6 races.

It will take speed from the 9-car we’ve arguably not seen all year, but why count out one of the best road racers at a track he loves with a playoff spot on the line? I’m not.

Ty Gibbs +1500 (Caesars)

Gibbs has been a very good road racer since practically the time he got into a race car. He won his first Xfinity start at a road course (Daytona Road) and has been a threat to win multiple times at the Cup level including a P4 here last year and 2 P3s this year. 

While he’s not in the playoffs any longer, he’s still pushing hard for his first Cup win to come in 2024, and this is one of his best chances to pull that off.

Kyle Busch +2500 (BetMGM)

Busch has figured something out the last 3 races here. We can tell by his P4, P3, and P3 finishes. That’s across 2 teams and 2 manufacturers too. Even when RCR was struggling for speed and results elsewhere this year, they were getting them at road courses with a couple top-10s for Busch and what should’ve been one more at Sonoma. 

Speed, consistency, and knowing where speed is on the track are how you win at road courses. Busch has that at the Charlotte Roval.

 

 

 

Charlotte Motor Speedway Predictions 2024 - Long Shot Winners

Austin Cindric +3700 (FanDuel)

This is a mix of a gut call and desperation on Cindric’s part. He needs a win, in all likelihood, to make the Round of 8 and this is his speciality. While the results haven’t always proven it, he is coming in with 2 consecutive P15 and P10 finishes. 

If he can start toward the front, where we’ve seen him in the past at Charlotte, he has the skill to make it tough to get past him. He’ll need some breaks to go his way, but there is a shot that his pedigree shows up and puts him in a spot late to win.

Ryan Blaney +5000 (FanDuel)

So, let me get this straight, the guy who won the first race here (albeit thanks to a crash) and has one of the best average finishes in the history of the track is 50-1? Wow. It’s not often we get this kind of a value on a driver who’s this consistent at a track. 

I get he’s not looked great at road courses this year, but Blaney still has 3 finishes between P7 and P12 in 4 such races. This long shot is just begging to have some action sprinkled on it in our Bank of America ROVAL 400 best bets.

Joey Logano Top-10 Finish +180 (FanDuel)

It’s been a bit of a rough go of it on road courses this year but we’re going to focus on his history at the Roval for this one. Logano has averaged an 8.7 finish in the 6 Roval races and is tied for the most top-10s with 5. 

There’s also the fact that he needs at least a very good finish to keep him alive in the playoffs as he comes in on the cutoff. We’re not quite feeling a win but getting 1.8x return on a bet that’s hit 83% of the time is pretty great.

 

 

 

NASCAR Picks: Bank Of America ROVAL 400 Props - Charlotte Motor Speedway

Alex Bowman Top-10 Finish +115 (BetRivers)

Like Blaney below him, this is a befuddling line. Bowman has the best average finish in the field at the Roval and is coming off a win in Chicago. 

Yet, we’re getting better than even money odds? Sure, he’s pretty secure in his playoff standing for the Round of 8 but you’d still assume a guy with history and recent success wouldn’t have this much value baked into the line. Take it and don’t think twice.

Ryan Blaney Top-10 Finish +210 (FanDuel)

Why is this line where it is? Blaney has a stellar record of strong finishes at the Charlotte Roval with one of the best average finishes in the field. Yet our Bank of America ROVAL 400 best bets are getting better than 2-1 odds? 

This must be a recency bias as he’s only been so-so this year on road courses. That being said though, we’ve seen drivers do better at certain road layouts than others and this is one of those for Blaney.

A.J. Allmendinger Top-5 Finish +150 (BetRivers)

Why, oh, why are we getting this line on this prop? Allmendinger has won 4 Xfinity races here and has finished P7 or better thrice in four Cup races including a win. He was also running P5 in the lone bad race here before his engine expired. 

Getting 1.5x return on a driver of his ilk at a road course and a driver with his history is a bonus bet in my opinion.

 

 

 

Ty Gibbs Top-5 Finish +220 (Caesars)

Gibbs finished P4 here last year and has 2 top-5s this year in 4 road races. Let’s also not forget his successes in this discipline in the lower series too. 

Gibbs may be out of the playoffs, but his skill alone is enough to make him a threat for a top-5 at a road course and we’ll take the 2.2-1 value on something he’s done 50% of the time at the Roval and road courses this year.

Kyle Busch Top-10 Finish -112 (BetRivers)

This one is an odd line to me. For all of the RCR chatter this year, Busch has still been pretty strong and that goes for road courses too. He’s nabbed multiple top-10s this year and should’ve had one more at Sonoma. 

That, along with 3-straight P4 or better finishes at the Roval, we start to get a picture. Whole other drivers with that kind of record have more negative lines attached to them, Busch is somehow closer to even money, and we’ll take the value.

Austin Cindric Top-10 Finish +180 (Caesars)

This one is playing on Cindric’s desperation to advance to the Round of 8. Oh yeah, and it being in his specialty discipline. 

We all know his background of road racing and that showed up well at Watkins Glen. Coming off a P15 and P10 finish in the last 2 road races should give him the confidence to have another strong day at the Roval to try and salvage his playoff hopes.

Todd Gilliland Top-10 Finish +300 (FanDuel)

Let’s have some fun with the last bet of the Bank of America ROVAL 400 predictions for 2024, why don’t we? Gilliland has managed 2 top-10 finishes in the 4 Cup road races this year. 

He’s not had the best luck at the Roval, but he’s managed to make it up to P11 in both races he’s run here, before slipping backward. If the success they’ve shown at other road courses and the speed Gilliland had at the Coke 600 shows up, we have a shot at a long shot prop.