We have a huge 13-game major league baseball main slate on tap for tonight and that means lots of MLB DFS. The DFS slate starts at 7:05 pm ET on all three sites- DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo and we have some weather issues.  Make sure to check our MLB Weather Center before lineup lock as well as MLB Lineups, MLB Vegas Odds plus projections, and an MLB lineup builder in our DFS Alarm MLB Tools page. This slate has a few high-priced arms and top-dollar team stacks so you will need to find some value plays and that’s where we come in. I have spent the morning researching and coming up with the best point per dollar plays on the slate. So, let’s get right into it and open Tuesday’s MLB DFS Value Vault.

 

 

DFS VALUE PITCHERS 

 

Mike Clevinger (SDP) $8,100 DraftKings / $8,100 FanDuel / $46 Yahoo

Upper-tier pitching is loaded tonight so I consider Mike Clevinger a borderline value play. His 2-3 record is disappointing, but he has struck out 48 in 46 innings with a 3.50 ERA while being saddled with a limited pitch and inning count over the first half of the season after a second Tommy John surgery. Clevinger now heads into the second half a much stronger and healthier pitcher that is showing much more command on the mound. With a 3.75 SIERA, a 24.7% strikeout rate, and a 7.7% walk rate he faces a Tiger offense that we have picked on all season. He is in a pitcher’s park (Comerica) and Detroit is striking out 23.6% to RHP with a low team .114 ISO/.271wOBA.

 

 

Ethan Small (MIL) $5,300 DraftKings / $25 Yahoo

The Brewers are struggling to find the right arm to fill the fifth spot in their starting rotation. Two of the most recent pitchers to see time in the rotation- Jason Alexander and Chi Chi González- have been optioned to Triple-A and designated for assignment. Now it’s southpaw Ethan Small’s turn. Small is the Brewers top pitching prospect per MLB Pipeline (#8 overall in the organization) and got off to an amazing start to the 2022 season in Triple-A. That earned him a call-up in May, but he was plagued by his greatest flaw- inconsistent control- in that start as he walked four in just 2.1 innings again the Cubs. Since returning to AAA he has a 4.98 ERA and 5.17 FIP in 34 1/3 innings, issuing 19 walks against 32 strikeouts, and overall has posted a 3.34 ERA and 4.10 FIP in 15 starts. This is a pure punt play and should only be used if multi-entering GPPs as Small will face the Twins tonight. The Twins are not a big strikeout team (17.3% to LHP) but they are only hitting a team .116 ISO/.300wOBA and will face this prospect for the first time. 

 

DFS VALUE HITTERS 

 

Raimel Tapia (TOR) $2,500  DraftKings / $2,800 FanDuel / $15 Yahoo

When Raimel Tapia was traded to Toronto for Randal Grichuk earlier in the season many people were skeptical about the deal. I constantly argued that the Blue Jays made out just fine by getting a left-handed contact hitter in a righty-heavy lineup with some speed that could spell all three Blue Jay starting outfielders at any time. After a slow start, Tapia took off in June by putting the ball consistently and showing pop in his bat. Since June 1st, Tapia has amassed a .916 OPS with 12 doubles, four home runs, and 22 RBI through 115 at-bats. He is coming off a huge weekend against the Red Sox that started with an inside-the-park home run and a 3-for-7 night on Friday and followed it up with a 3-for-5 day on Sunday where he hit a bases-clearing triple to go along with four more RBIs. He should be in the lineup tonight at a near minimum price with the platoon advantage over right-handed projected starter Andre Pallante.

 

 

Eric Hosmer (SDP) $2,400 DraftKings / $2,400 FanDuel / $11 Yahoo

This is Eric Hosmer’s second straight appearance in the Value Vault. July has historically been Hosmer’s best month (.794 OPS) and he has kicked it into gear after the All-Star break again this season. He is 7-for-16 over his last four games and is now slashing .293/.359/.379 with a .738 OPS after a dismal June that saw a slash of only .202/.248/.319 with a .567 OPS. Tonight, he is near minimum price yet has the platoon advantage over right-handed Garrett Hill of the Padres. Hosmer has a .155 ISO/.333wOBA over the last three years on the split while Hill is allowing a poor 5.80xFIP with a low 12% strikeout rate and extremely high 52% hard contact. Oh, and DraftKings reduced his price by $100 from yesterday!

 

 

Nolan Gorman (STL) $2,900 DraftKings / $2,600 FanDuel / $10 Yahoo 

Nolan Gorman came up to the big leagues earlier in the season and made an immediate impact. He is one of the better prospects in baseball but has quieted it down a bit as of late which has driven his price down to sub $3K on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Gorman leads the Cardinals team with a .203 ISO, which means a lot of power comes out of his bat and he has a 40.5% hard contact rate against right-handed pitching. José Berríos has been solid over his past few starts but still struggles mightily against left-handed bats. He is allowing a .361wOBA/.240 ISO with a 42% flyball/39% hard contact rate to the left side. 

 

OTHER TOP VALUES

Max Muncy (LAD) $2.4K FD/$12 Yahoo

Austin Slater (SFG) $3.3K DK/$2.5K FD/$15 Yahoo

Darin Ruf (SFG) $3.2K DK/ $2.6K FD/$15 Yahoo

Jarren Duran (BOS) $3.4K DK/$2.5K FD/$14 Yahoo

Yermín Mercedes (SFG) $2.0K DK/$2.3K FD/$12 Yahoo

 

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