We have a nice slate of major league baseball tonight and that means Underdog Fantasy props! We are now deep into September and have an entire season of MLB data to pore through so let’s check out the MLB props board at Underdog Fantasy for Wednesday night. Tonight, we are looking at two sluggers- a red-hot Anthony Santander, who has six home runs since Saturday, against a struggling pitcher in Fenway and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. against an ace that he has had success against over his career.  

Check our MLB Weather center to make sure that all games will be dry and that there are no surprising pop-up storms during roster lock. To get all the confirmed starting lineups make sure to go to the MLB Lineups page. We also have an MLB DFS Lineup Generator and MLB Player Projections to make all of your fantasy baseball lineups plus an MLB Tools page that features batter vs. pitcher and advanced metrics. Now let’s take a look at my three favorite props on Underdog Fantasy for Wednesday’s baseball action.

 

Underdog Fantasy MLB Player Pick'Ems September 28

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 6.5 Fantasy Points

Call me crazy but I will be taking the over on Vlad Guerrero Jr tonight in his matchup with Yankees ace Gerrit Cole. The Jays slugger obviously sees Cole well as he is 9-for-24 (.375) lifetime with two bombs off the right-hander. Vlad has always been more of reverse splits hitter over his career and this season has been no different as he is slashing .283/.344/.496 (.840 OPS) against right-handers compared to .245/.320/.391 (.711 OPS) against southpaws. Over the last three seasons combined he has a .238 ISO/.385wOBA on the split with a 42.5% hard contact rate and he crushes Cole’s two main pitches to right-handers (fastball/slider which he throws over 80% of the time). Gerrit Cole certainly is not immune to the big blast, and we could very well see one tonight in a playoff atmosphere in hitter-friendly Rogers Center.

Anthony Santander OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Since Saturday, Anthony Santander is hitting .400/.400/1.350 with a double, nine RBIs, and six homers -- including two last night in Boston. Tonight, he faces Rich Hill, a match made in heaven as Santander seems to have a swing built for Fenway Park with six bombs in 39 at-bats this season. On the other hand, the saying “there is no place like home” sure does not fit the Red Sox lefty Hill who is 2-4 with a 5.87 ERA/1.52 WHIP at Fenway compared to 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA1.22 WHIP on the road. Santander is a switch-hitter that rakes left-handed pitching with a .263 ISO/.390wOBA plus a .303/.372/.566 slash with .938 OPS. He also has had success with the knuckle-curve (.369wOBA) which is one of Hill’s two main pitches to right-handed bats. Take the over here on the red-hot Anthony Santander. 

Hunter Dozier OVER 0.5 Hits

Hunter Dozier is on a hot streak as the season winds down. Over his last seven games, he has gone 9-for-26 (.346) with two homers, five RBI, and a pair of doubles in that span. Dozier faces Matt Manning tonight who has a 4.66 xFIP and a sub 20% strikeout rate on the season. Over his last five starts, Manning has a low 6.1 K/9 and a 5.04 ERA/4.71 FIP which will feed right into Dozier who has six hits in his last three games. With the way, Dozier has been hitting and Manning pitching there is a pretty good chance that he gets at least another single tonight. 

 

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