When looking at some MLB player props over at Underdog Fantasy, there’s one thing that I noticed in multiple spots - Weather. Be sure to check out our MLB Weather Center so that you don’t take a prop that ends up not hitting because Mother Nature comes in and ruins the plan. For example, I so desperately wanted to target Max Fried’s strikeout prop, but when looking at our weather center, the live look-in at the park makes me incredibly hesitant to add that player prop into my slips for the day. Pete Alonso and José Abreu headline my favorite MLB player props and best bets of the day, as these two sluggers find themselves in great matchups with solid BvP numbers against the opposing starter. 

Underdog Fantasy Sunday, September 4

 

José Abreu OVER 6.5 Fantasy Points

Abreu is 8-for-21 with two home runs against Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy, and Abreu is in a smash spot today. Bundy has a 5.66 ERA and 1.58 HR/9 allowed on the road this year, not to mention a .489 SLG and .347 wOBA. During his seven-game hit streak, Abreu is hitting .347 with a .429 SLG and 149 wRC+, including six games with at least seven fantasy points. Take the over today.

 

Pete Alonso OVER 1.5 Total Bases

You’re telling me that winds are likely going to be blowing out, and Alonso gets to face a pitcher that has a 5.32 ERA on the road this season? Furthermore, Fedde has a 9.15 ERA and 2.61 HR/9 over his last five starts, and Alonso has six hits in 14 at-bats against the Washington righty. Alonso has an .876 OPS at home this year, and he has an .863 OPS against righties in 2022, and over his last 10 games, while he’s hitting just .263, he has a .421 slugging percentage, and he has every opportunity to erupt in this matchup.

Other Leans

  • George Kirby OVER Four Strikeouts (five or more strikeouts in six straight)
  • Max Fried OVER Six Strikeouts (weather likely postpones this one, but MIA has 2nd-highest strikeout rate vs. LHP over last 14 days)
 

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