Spencer Arrighetti Underdog MLB Picks Today, 3/29: Baseball Projections + More

It’s the first Saturday of the 2025 MLB season so let’s get our Underdog accounts loaded up and start winning some money playing MLB DFS Pick ‘Em contests.
The first Saturday means we also have our first full slate of games from which to choose. Fifteen games scattered throughout the day and best of all, it’s Day 3 of the season which means we’re starting to se some softer pitching match-ups. We’ll still be looking at the pitchers to target against teams like the Chicago White Sox, Colorado Rockies and Miami Marlins, but on days like this, we’re likely to focus more on the offensive prowess of most teams.
Underdog Fantasy Picks for Saturday, March 29: MLB DFS Projections
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Spencer Arrighetti MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Lower than 6.5 Strikeouts
Overall, I’m a big fan of Arrighetti and even made the bold prediction that he would reach the 200-strikeout plateau this season. Unfortunately, it doesn’t start off strong for him this season facing a Mets team that isn’t up there hacking away. The Juan Soto effect on surrounding hitters and their plate discipline is real. Arrighetti will get his, but with the command issues from spring that he’s still working out, today won’t be his day.
- Pick: Lower than 6.5 Strikeouts
Vladimir Guerrero MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
The Blue Jays bats woke up yesterday against the Orioles and they face an all-too-familiar foe in Dean Kremer. Always tough to rely on Batter vs Pitcher data, but you cannot ignore a .357 average (10-for-28) with five home runs. Guerrero’s multi-hit game last night is only going to open the floodgates for him. We might as well take full advantage.
- Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
Jesus Luzardo MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 4.5 Strikeouts
Not only do the Nationals have the third-highest strikeout rate to open the season (35.1-percent), they look even worse against southpaws. We watched Luzardo struggle through some injuries last season, but the two years prior he posted a 10+ K/9 and this spring, that number shot up even more. The potential command concerns are still there at times and he did allow a few too many dingers over the spring, but the Nationals are an aggressive team at the plate and if Luzardo can go four innings, he’ll top this number.
- Pick: Higher Than 4.5 Strikeouts
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