Jesus Luzardo Underdog MLB Picks Today, 4/15: Baseball Projections + More

It’s Tuesday at Fantasy Alarm and we have your Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks for April 15th.
With the baseball season in full swing, we’re highlighting two players poised to make an impact in today’s matchups. Leading off, we have Padres righty Randy Vasquez who will have his hands full with a strong Cubs lineup and Phillies righty Jesus Luzardo looking to rack up the strikeouts against the San Francisco Giants.
Here’s why these two could be difference-makers for your fantasy roster tonight!
MLB Underdog Picks: Tuesday, 4/15; MLB Projections
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Randy Vasquez Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs
There is just no way he keeps getting away with this. Vasquez has a 1.72 ERA on the season over three starts but his xERA is 6.38 and his xFIP is 6.32.
The Cubs offense has had no trouble putting up runs this season and even then, Vasquez in his second start of the year managed to escape, allowing just two earned runs while walking five over 4.2 innings.
This ends today, the Cubs hitters get to him, especially the lefties who hammered Vasquez last season and we are seeing him go over the 2.5 earned runs mark.
Jesus Luzardo Underdog MLB Pick: Higher Than 6.5 Strikeouts
Luzardo has been a strikeout machine this season, totaling 24 strikeouts over his first three starts of the season which included 11 and seven strikeouts in his first two starts against the Nationals and Dodgers.
Today he faces a Giants team that has the third highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching at 25.4%.
Let’s ride the red hot Luzardo in this favorable matchup this evening.
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Player News
Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Ward, 31, gave the Angels a 2-0 lead with a two-run homer off Chris Bassitt in the first inning. He’s now gone deep in two of his last three games, and it ‘improves’ his slash to .181/.224/.391. Ward has been one of the most hot/cold players players in the sport over the last few years, so fantasy managers who can afford to make some roster moves may want to look at Ward while the going is good.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
Guerrero also drew a walk. It gives the first baseman multiple hits in back-to-back games, and it’s the third time in May that he’s reached that mark. That’s helped raise his average from .268 to .295, and the only thing fantasy managers can be disappointed with is his .432 slugging percentage. That number should continue to climb as the season unfolds, but Vladdy Jr. has had some inconsistent seasons when it comes to power production.
Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Green got the save after Jeff Hoffman worked in back-to-back games — and struggled — in the first two contests against the Angels. He struck out two and looked the part while needing just nine pitches to get through the inning. Hoffman should remain the closer, but Green is on his tail if the struggles were to continue.
Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
Bassitt allowed three runs over the first two innings on a pair of homers, but settled down over his next four frames. He came out to work the seventh, but ended up being charged for two more runs after leaving the contest. The 36-year-old veteran has forged a 3.35 ERA and outstanding 49/8 K/BB ratio over the first quarter of the season, but this wasn’t him at his best. He’ll get the Rays next week if the rotation order stays the same for Toronto.
José Soriano allowed three runs over five innings while not factoring in the decision Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Soriano left with a 4-3 lead, but it was erased quickly after his departure. The 26-year-old was not exactly dominant in his outing with eight hits allowed and four free passes, but he did strike out six to help balance things out a smidgen. Soriano takes an even ERA of 4.00 into a scheduled start against the Padres in San Diego on Tuesday. There should be better options for that one.