Aaron Judge Underdog MLB Picks Today For 10/25: Baseball Projections + More
On Friday, October 25th, we have a massive opportunity to secure a nice winning day with our Underdog MLB Picks and MLB DFS projections as the World Series gets underway.
Looking for an edge today, we target the MLB DFS projections for Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees and Gavin Lux of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Good luck with your own Underdog MLB Picks for World Series Game 1.
Underdog MLB Picks: Friday, 10/25; MLB DFS Projections
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Aaron Judge MLB Underdog Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases
There are two things that I’m going to keep mentioning until I’m blue in the face. First, you’re not going to hold Aaron Judge down for an extended period and second, Jack Flaherty can’t get righties out right now. That’s what we’re working with and that’s why Judge is one of my top overall Underdog MLB Picks of Game 1 of the World Series.
Over the last 90 days, Jack Flaherty has delivered 418 pitches to right-handed hitters and they have a .294 ISO and .388 wOBA. Over the last 30 days, those numbers are .500 ISO and .568 wOBA. WOAH. Judge hit 58 bombs during the regular season, 42 coming off right-handed pitching, while also posting a .691 SLG%, 1.132 OPS, .365 ISO, and .467 wOBA. Dodger Stadium is an elite ballpark for power and Judge is going to feast in Game 1.
Gavin Lux MLB Underdog Pick: Less Than 0.5 Total Bases
It’s scary to go less than someone who has a 0.5 total base projection, but it’s something I’m comfortable with calling one of my top Underdog MLB Picks of the day. Gavin Lux hasn’t had a hit in four consecutive playoff games and is hitting just .208 this postseason.
After a great July and August, Lux fell off in September and October batting just .241 with an OPS of .659. He faces Yankees’ ace, Gerrit Cole, and a bullpen full of left-handed arms that the Yankees could turn to when Lux’s spot in the order comes up because Shohei Ohtani won’t be far behind either.
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Player News
Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Ward, 31, gave the Angels a 2-0 lead with a two-run homer off Chris Bassitt in the first inning. He’s now gone deep in two of his last three games, and it ‘improves’ his slash to .181/.224/.391. Ward has been one of the most hot/cold players players in the sport over the last few years, so fantasy managers who can afford to make some roster moves may want to look at Ward while the going is good.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
Guerrero also drew a walk. It gives the first baseman multiple hits in back-to-back games, and it’s the third time in May that he’s reached that mark. That’s helped raise his average from .268 to .295, and the only thing fantasy managers can be disappointed with is his .432 slugging percentage. That number should continue to climb as the season unfolds, but Vladdy Jr. has had some inconsistent seasons when it comes to power production.
Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Green got the save after Jeff Hoffman worked in back-to-back games — and struggled — in the first two contests against the Angels. He struck out two and looked the part while needing just nine pitches to get through the inning. Hoffman should remain the closer, but Green is on his tail if the struggles were to continue.
Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
Bassitt allowed three runs over the first two innings on a pair of homers, but settled down over his next four frames. He came out to work the seventh, but ended up being charged for two more runs after leaving the contest. The 36-year-old veteran has forged a 3.35 ERA and outstanding 49/8 K/BB ratio over the first quarter of the season, but this wasn’t him at his best. He’ll get the Rays next week if the rotation order stays the same for Toronto.
José Soriano allowed three runs over five innings while not factoring in the decision Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Soriano left with a 4-3 lead, but it was erased quickly after his departure. The 26-year-old was not exactly dominant in his outing with eight hits allowed and four free passes, but he did strike out six to help balance things out a smidgen. Soriano takes an even ERA of 4.00 into a scheduled start against the Padres in San Diego on Tuesday. There should be better options for that one.