Welcome to Sunday's MLB PrizePicks Cheat Sheet - Best Player Prop Plays.  We've hit a bit of a skid over these past few days.  Yesterday going 2-2 with our plays but we continue to do the research and move forward. Make sure you take advantage of today's PrizePicks “free play” with the Jayson Tatum 0.5 Point prop with one of your plays today. Once again I am targeting some strikeout props with pitchers in favorable matchups as well as a pitching outs prop with a  starting pitcher that has really started to turn his season around with a favorable opponent. As always, I suggest you look to use these in smaller plays, two-pick combos or if you do decide to put them all in one play then take advantage of the flex option. Be smart, do your own research, and be comfortable with your plays.

That being said, let's take a look at my favorite plays for today's slate. 

 

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PrizePicks Top Plays

 

Max Fried Over 6.0 Strikeouts

Great matchup for Fried today as he faces a Marlins team with the highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching in baseball this season at a crazy high 30.2-percent. That number is 4-percent higher than the next team. Miami has just a .209 team average against southpaws this season and a wOBA of just .273. Over the past two weeks, that strikeout rate is EVEN HIGHER at 34.1-percent. To put that into perspective, over the last two weeks, Miami has 29 strikeouts over 75 at-bats against left-handed pitching. On the season Fried is pitching to about a strikeout per inning and given today's matchup we should expect a slight boost to that ratio which puts him in a good spot to hit the over.

 

Shane McClanahan Over 7.0 Strikeouts

The disrespect on my man here is unreal. McClanahan is the league strikeout leader with a 12.7 K/9 this season. In only one start this season would he not have hit today's total of 7.0 strikeouts. The Yankees have a 23.6-percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season which is the 9th worst mark in baseball and over the past week that number is even higher, striking out at a clip of 26.9-percent against lefties. 

 

Dylan Cease Over 8.0 Strikeouts

We are asking for a lot of strikeouts here from Cease but this is a mark he had hit the over on in four of his last six starts. The Cubs strikeout rate of 24.6-percent is the sixth-highest mark in baseball this season while Cease is boasting a league-high 13.7 K/9. I'm looking for a bounce-back performance from Cease today after he was shelled by the Red Sox in his last start. 

 

Nick Pivetta Over 17.5 Outs

Pivetta has quickly turned his season around for the Red Sox,  going 3-0 over the last four starts with an ERA of 1.61. We need just 6.0 innings pitched to hit the over on today's prop which is something he has hit in each of his last four starts which includes a complete game against the Astros. Assuming he continues to pitch to current form then I see the Orioles being no real issue for him today.

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