MLB PrizePicks Cheat Sheet - Best Player Prop Plays for May 29: Max Fried Goes Fishing For Marlins
Welcome to Sunday's MLB PrizePicks Cheat Sheet - Best Player Prop Plays. We've hit a bit of a skid over these past few days. Yesterday going 2-2 with our plays but we continue to do the research and move forward. Make sure you take advantage of today's PrizePicks “free play” with the Jayson Tatum 0.5 Point prop with one of your plays today. Once again I am targeting some strikeout props with pitchers in favorable matchups as well as a pitching outs prop with a starting pitcher that has really started to turn his season around with a favorable opponent. As always, I suggest you look to use these in smaller plays, two-pick combos or if you do decide to put them all in one play then take advantage of the flex option. Be smart, do your own research, and be comfortable with your plays.
That being said, let's take a look at my favorite plays for today's slate.
Make sure you join our FREE PrizePicks Discord and join the #FAmily as we discuss additional plays to help build winning tickets each day!
New to PrizePicks? Check out our offer below!
PrizePicks Top Plays
Max Fried Over 6.0 Strikeouts
Great matchup for Fried today as he faces a Marlins team with the highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching in baseball this season at a crazy high 30.2-percent. That number is 4-percent higher than the next team. Miami has just a .209 team average against southpaws this season and a wOBA of just .273. Over the past two weeks, that strikeout rate is EVEN HIGHER at 34.1-percent. To put that into perspective, over the last two weeks, Miami has 29 strikeouts over 75 at-bats against left-handed pitching. On the season Fried is pitching to about a strikeout per inning and given today's matchup we should expect a slight boost to that ratio which puts him in a good spot to hit the over.
Shane McClanahan Over 7.0 Strikeouts
The disrespect on my man here is unreal. McClanahan is the league strikeout leader with a 12.7 K/9 this season. In only one start this season would he not have hit today's total of 7.0 strikeouts. The Yankees have a 23.6-percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season which is the 9th worst mark in baseball and over the past week that number is even higher, striking out at a clip of 26.9-percent against lefties.
Dylan Cease Over 8.0 Strikeouts
We are asking for a lot of strikeouts here from Cease but this is a mark he had hit the over on in four of his last six starts. The Cubs strikeout rate of 24.6-percent is the sixth-highest mark in baseball this season while Cease is boasting a league-high 13.7 K/9. I'm looking for a bounce-back performance from Cease today after he was shelled by the Red Sox in his last start.
Nick Pivetta Over 17.5 Outs
Pivetta has quickly turned his season around for the Red Sox, going 3-0 over the last four starts with an ERA of 1.61. We need just 6.0 innings pitched to hit the over on today's prop which is something he has hit in each of his last four starts which includes a complete game against the Astros. Assuming he continues to pitch to current form then I see the Orioles being no real issue for him today.
Fantasy Alarm is the home of expert MLB Fantasy content. We also bring you all of the best online sportsbook free bets & promo codes and fantasy sports bonuses.
Follow me on Twitter for more PrizePicks discussions! @jimpemba777
Related Links
Player News
Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Ward, 31, gave the Angels a 2-0 lead with a two-run homer off Chris Bassitt in the first inning. He’s now gone deep in two of his last three games, and it ‘improves’ his slash to .181/.224/.391. Ward has been one of the most hot/cold players players in the sport over the last few years, so fantasy managers who can afford to make some roster moves may want to look at Ward while the going is good.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
Guerrero also drew a walk. It gives the first baseman multiple hits in back-to-back games, and it’s the third time in May that he’s reached that mark. That’s helped raise his average from .268 to .295, and the only thing fantasy managers can be disappointed with is his .432 slugging percentage. That number should continue to climb as the season unfolds, but Vladdy Jr. has had some inconsistent seasons when it comes to power production.
Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Green got the save after Jeff Hoffman worked in back-to-back games — and struggled — in the first two contests against the Angels. He struck out two and looked the part while needing just nine pitches to get through the inning. Hoffman should remain the closer, but Green is on his tail if the struggles were to continue.
Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
Bassitt allowed three runs over the first two innings on a pair of homers, but settled down over his next four frames. He came out to work the seventh, but ended up being charged for two more runs after leaving the contest. The 36-year-old veteran has forged a 3.35 ERA and outstanding 49/8 K/BB ratio over the first quarter of the season, but this wasn’t him at his best. He’ll get the Rays next week if the rotation order stays the same for Toronto.
José Soriano allowed three runs over five innings while not factoring in the decision Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Soriano left with a 4-3 lead, but it was erased quickly after his departure. The 26-year-old was not exactly dominant in his outing with eight hits allowed and four free passes, but he did strike out six to help balance things out a smidgen. Soriano takes an even ERA of 4.00 into a scheduled start against the Padres in San Diego on Tuesday. There should be better options for that one.