Home runs continue to accrue across baseball. Our own Rick Wolf tracks this weekly and the last two weeks caused another spike in the final projections:
JUICED BALL UPDATE:
— Rick Wolf (@RickWolf1) August 20, 2019
IT GOT CRAZIER!!!
Projected 6,835 HRs
- up from 5,585 in 2018 (22% increase)
- up from 4,186 in 2014 (63.3% increase)
Number of players >= number of HRs
4 >= 40
17 >= 30
49 >= 25
86 >= 20
143 >= 15
236 >= 10
348 >= 5
528 >= 1#JuicedBall#FAmily pic.twitter.com/Xqj1CAjA4Y
Joe Posnanski also keeps tabs noting it’s been 35 straight days in baseball with at least one player recording a multi-home run game. Last night, three players left the yard twice highlighted by a rookie on Toronto:
Bo Bichette & his beautiful swing.
— Cut4 (@Cut4) August 21, 2019
That's it. That's the tweet. pic.twitter.com/B0koPfuohm
Bichette became the youngest player to hit two home runs against a former most valuable player breaking the record set by Bobby Bragan in 1940 (StatsbySTATS).
Freddie Freeman also racked up two home runs raising his season total to 33 and marking the 15th game of his career with multiple home runs. Freeman also reached 100 RBI in Atlanta’s 127th game. Imagine if he had power, right Harold Reynolds?
Between June 16th and August 18th, Anthony Rizzo only hit two home runs. Last night, he launched two and has hit four in his last five contests. It’s Rizzo’s first multi-home run game since August 26th of 2017.
As a franchise, Houston’s on pace to break its team record for home runs with 215 after 127 played this season. George Springer set an Astros all-time high with his 10th lead-off home run upping his total to 27 home runs this year. Jose Altuve hit his 23rd home run and Martin Maldanado added his eighth in a win over Detroit. By the way, Yordan Alvarez (22 years old) became the youngest player to walk four times in a game since Barry Bonds (21 years old) in 1986. Let that sink in.
Despite Bichette’s efforts, the Dodgers routed Toronto 16-3 and sit on the precipice of a major league record regarding home runs as well:
Tonight is the 18th time this season the @Dodgers have hit at least 4 HR in a game.
— Stats By STATS (@StatsBySTATS) August 21, 2019
That's the second most in a season in MLB history, behind only the 2017 Orioles (19).#LABleedsBlue
In this contest, A.J. Pollock and Chris Taylor hit their ninth home runs, Will Smith his 11th, Joc Pederson his 25th while Max Muncy crushed his 32nd. There’s plenty of time for this record to fall. Did we mention the home run derby will be in Dodger Stadium next year?
No stranger to home runs, Minnesota set a record with 29 home runs this season versus the White Sox surpassing the previous mark of 27 set by the Washington Senators against Chicago in 1958. The Twins will face the White Sox seven more times this year. Good news for Nelson Cruz who racked up four extra-base hits against the White Sox last night and owns a .528 (19-for-36) average against with five doubles, eight home runs, 17 RBI and a 1.897 on-base plus slugging percentage in nine games. Plus, Cruz did this last night:
Nobody else has more than 2 games with 10+ total bases in the second half. And Nelson Cruz has 4.
— Sarah Langs (@SlangsOnSports) August 21, 2019
In fact, the only other players with even TWO such games are Christian Yelich & Xander Bogaerts.
And remember, Cruz had an IL stint *within* the second half. https://t.co/2FQUjrLR8e
Max Kepler added his 34th home run driving in three. Minnesota’s 26-5 in games which Kepler homers in.
Around the rest of the boxscores, Mike Trout set a career high hitting his 42nd home run in Game 1 of a doubleheader in Texas. Eduardo Escobar reached 100 RBI for the first time in his career with a two RBI triple versus the Rockies. Seattle continues to produce stealth fantasy statistics for engaged fantasy owners. Tom Murphy homered in his fourth straight start and has hit seven in this span. He’s also in the midst of an eight-game hit streak. Tim Lopes stole a base for the second straight game and hit safely in seven of his last eight. Those searching for cheap steals should take a look at Lopes. Kyle Seager moved his hit streak to 14 going 2-for-3 including his 17th home run. He’s hit safely in 23 of his last 24 games with a .359 average, 20 runs, 11 home runs, 24 RBI and 10 walks in them. Last, but not least, Aaron Judge homered in a loss, but he pulled the ball:
???????? AARON JUDGE PULLING A HOME RUN ????????
— Yankees Videos (@snyyankees) August 21, 2019
(via @YESNetwork)pic.twitter.com/JhziyvKVTC
It’s Judge’s first home run to his pull side since last year. Perhaps a homer binge could be on tap for the Yankees slugger? It’s the right environment as noted above.
Starting Pitcher Spotlight: Heaney brings the heat in Texas
Making his first start in Texas since the passing of his good friend Tyler Skaggs , Andrew Heaney set a career high with 14 strikeouts over eight innings giving up a solo home run to Willie Calhoun but no walks. This outing ties Heaney for second in team history with strikeouts while yielding no free passes. Heaney recorded 22 swinging strikes and 24 called for a robust 42.6 called plus swinging strike (CSW) percentage. Here’s a sampling of his afternoon:
Unreal. pic.twitter.com/8XUZeSzRAP
— Los Angeles Angels (@Angels) August 20, 2019
One wants to believe Skaggs enjoyed his friend channeling his spirit on the mound.
Here’s the other notable starting pitcher performances from Tuesday:
Stephen Strasburg , Washington: 94 pitches, 15 swinging strikes, 18 called, 35.1 CSW%. Strasburg did not factor in the decision, but tossed seven shutout innings giving up four hits and one walk with six strikeouts.
Aaron Nola , Philadelphia: 104 pitches, 13 swinging strikes, 16 called, 27.9 CSW%. Holding on for his 12th win, Nola scattered four hits allowing one earned run and a walk with seven strikeouts on the road in Boston.
Sonny Gray , Cincinnati: 105 pitches, 19 swinging strikes, 18 called, 35.2 CSW%. Notching his ninth win, Gray worked six innings yielding four hits, one earned run and three walks with 10 strikeouts.
Dallas Keuchel , Atlanta: 101 pitches, 10 swinging strikes, 17 called, 26.7 CSW%. Keuchel gets his fourth win allowing six hits, one earned run and two walks with seven strikeouts over six innings against the Marlins.
Bullpen Notes: Keep tabs on Harvey
Normally, saves chasers focus on where the next save will emerge due to immediacy like Matt Magill getting his second last night. However, those taking the long view will want to look at Hunter Harvey . He recorded his first win last night working a clean eighth inning striking out two:
#Orioles’ Hunter Harvey was straight-up throwing gas tonight. He struck out 2 in a 1-2-3 inning and caught Jorge Soler looking with a 100 mph ????ball. pic.twitter.com/aDRXfsEjR1
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) August 21, 2019
No longer confined to the rotation, Harvey can deploy his high octane fastball and his change-up in the bullpen. Baltimore could use an enema in high leverage and Harvey could get save chances in September. Mychal Givens did secure his 10th save versus the Royals last night working the ninth inning after Harvey.
Here’s the rest of the high leverage events from yesterday:
Blown save number four for José Leclerc serving up a game tying solo home run to Brian Goodwin . Emmanuel Clase gets his first win working two clean innings with two strikeouts.
Felipe Vázquez records his third win throwing 1.1 scoreless allowing a hit and striking out one. Daniel Hudson suffered his third blown save giving up a grand slam to Starling Marte after Wander Suero loaded the bases without retiring a hitter.
Save number 22 for Héctor Neris closing out Nola’s win in Boston working around a lead-off double by Xander Bogaerts .
A much needed clean outing by Craig Kimbrel with a strikeout for his 10th save. Rowan Wick pitched a clean eighth for his third hold.
Roberto Osuna locked down his 29th save with a clean ninth striking out one.
Working for the third straight game, Archie Bradley held on for his sixth save but allowed a run on one hit. Bradley’s pitched in four of the last five days and in five of the last seven.
What To Watch For:
More injuries, of course. Houston placed Carlos Correa (back) and Aaron Sanchez (pectoral muscle) on the injured list recalling Myles Straw not Kyle Tucker . Xander Bogaerts tweaked his ankle in the ninth inning, stay tuned for his status going forward.
As for games in today’s split slate, Luis Castillo will try to rebound from his implosion last start versus the Cardinals. Castillo gets to face San Diego at home. Charlie Morton tries to stifle the suddenly hot Mariners offense in Tampa Bay.
In the evening slate, Mike Montgomery will try to stay hot facing the Orioles on the road. Adrian Houser will try to snap the Brewers losing streak to St. Louis facing Adam Wainwright . Justin Verlander and Walker Buehler also take the mound on Wednesday night.
Be sure to stay with Fantasy Alarm across all fantasy formats to remain ahead of the competition.
Statistical Credits:
BaseballSavant.com
Fangraphs.com
MLB.com - Game Notes
Player News
Kyren Paris hit a two-run homer in Wednesday’s win for the Angels over the Blue Jays.
That’s the first homer for Paris since April 9 when he went deep twice against Tampa Bay and caused everyone to lose all sense of rational thought. The 23-year-old did also single and walk to improve his on-base percentage to .311,, while the homer bumps his slugging mark to .378. There is long-term upside in Paris with flashes that suggest he can be a fantasy option. Fantasy managers should still absolutely looking elsewhere for options up the middle.
Jorge Soler hit a three-run double in the bottom of the ninth to give the Angels a 5-4 win over the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
Trent Grisham went 1-for-1 with a game-tying two-run home run in the eighth inning of a 4-3 win over the Padres on Wednesday.
While the Yankees won this game on a walk-off in the 10th inning, Grisham’s game-tying home run in the eighth was the biggest moment. He came on as a pinch-hitter for Jorbit Vibas against the usually stout Jason Adam and smashed a two-strike changeup into the right field seats. This clutch shot will only continue to push Grisham’s playing time in the right direction after he just started eight of the last 10 games, hit either first or second in each, and already has 10 homers in 31 games played this season.
Jeff Hoffman blew a save and picked up a loss Wednesday against the Angels.
Devin Williams struck out three batters with one walk and hit another in a scoreless 10th inning to earn the win against the Padres on Wednesday.
The Yankees entrusted Williams with the all important 10th inning and the inherited ghost runner on second base after their dramatic comeback. While he loaded the bases and had some tense moments, he left the inning unscathed and opened the door for them to win it right after. It should be noted that Luke Weaver came on for what were the most important outs of this game at the time, after Ian Hamilton walked two to begin the eighth inning and Weaver allowed both of those inherited runners to score. He was called upon as the fireman though and will likely get the next save opportunity. Still, this was a massive step in the right direction for Williams.
Max Fried allowed five hits and one run with no walks and eight strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Wednesday.
Fried’s excellent season continued as he set down the Padres easily besides for a mammoth solo home run by Jackson Merrill. It was no matter though, as they rarely threatened otherwise and Fried continued to find his strikeout stuff. This was his fourth outing of the year with at least seven strikeouts, a mark he only hit 10 times last season in 29 starts. Fried with a strikeout rate that’s better than league average – which is where he’s at right now – is a clear top-10 pitcher in fantasy baseball. He’s set for a two-start week coming up against the Mariners and Mets.