Welcome back FA Nation! Get ready for this week’s edition of Category Impact! If you’re new to the site or just forget how this article works since last week, let me offer a quick refresher.
Category Impact will offer up anywhere from four to six players that can help you out in a certain category, whether it is stolen bases, home runs, or strikeouts. Some weeks, there will be an added focus on a specific categories, while others will be just players that you will want to pick up, but there will be in-depth analysis detailing exactly what category, or categories, a certain player will be of added benefit.
This week’s category is…. SOLDS! (Saves or Holds)
Luke Farrell , RP CHC
Farrell stands a firm 6-feet-6-inches and has just 15 innings to his big league resume. Furthermore, he was just called up to the big league squad under a week ago. However, the way he’s throwing right now, he has a chance to stick in the Chicago pen, making him a reliable add in deeper mixed formats and NL-only formats. In 13 innings last year, he walked 10 guys and struck out nine. Yeah, not an ideal ratio. However, even before hitting the disabled list, Eddie Butler was nothing to write home about, so if Farrell continues his recent dominance, Joe Maddon and company could be forced to keeping him with the squad.
Since joining the big club, Farrell has allowed two hits in two innings, while striking out five batters. Yes, it’s an incredibly small sample size, but he’s generating plenty of swings-and-misses and the opposition is chasing his stuff out of the zone. His fastball and slider have proved effective this far, however, he doesn’t possess the elite velocity of guys like Aroldis Chapman and Co. Nonetheless, Farrell rests in the mid-90s, which is more than adequate to get batters out. He’ll need to continue to dominate the strike zone and avoid the walks that plagued him to the tune of a 1.69 WHIP last season. He’s far from saves, but could start pitching in higher leverage situations if he continues to dominate and earn the trust of the skipper.
Keynan Middleton , RP LAA
Middleton has posted above-average strikeout numbers at A+ and Double-A, but those marks slightly regressed during his brief tenure at the Triple-A level. However, in 58.1 innings last year, his K/9 jumped back up to 9.72, while the walk rate (2.78 BB/9) remained low. The contrast between his ERA and FIP signified he was lucky, but that luck has carried into the early part of 2018. He’s stranding runners on base nearly 90percent of the time and his BABIP of .294 is less than last year. However, Middleton’s FIP is nearly a full point and a half higher than his ERA (3.39 compared to 1.93). Yikes.
The opposition is making hard contact over one-third of the time, while only forcing ground balls one-third of the time. That means that the other times, the opposition is either hitting line drives or fly balls. Not all is grand and dandy for Middleton, especially when you look at his swinging strike percentage from last season. In 2017, Middleton forced a swing-and-miss 16.6 percent of the time. Right now, that mark resides at just 8.9 percent. Yikes.
However, saves are saves, and Middleton has six of them on the season, plus one hold. The closers job is his and that’s valuable, my friends. If he’s still available, scoop him up before you go back to work or back to whatever you were doing.
Drew Steckenrider , RP MIA
Compared to some of the other guys on the list, Steckenrider is very close to being the ninth-inning guy for the Marlins. In 10 April innings, Steckenrider has allowed just two earned runs, holding the opposition to a .206 batting average. Additionally, he’s posted a 12:2 K/BB ratio during that time frame. The 27-year-old right-hander has quality marks of a 11.57 K/9 and 2.31 BB/9 through the first month and change of the season, but the big question is are the marks sustainable? Damn right they are.
In 34.2 innings last season, Steckenrider posted a 14.02 K/9 and a 4.67 BB/9. The strikeouts and walks are down, but I believe that moving forward, the strikeouts will increase and the walks will remain at a respectable mark. While it may not stay below a 2.35 BB/9, it surely won’t increase to last season’s 4.67 BB/9 mark. He’s generating swings-and-misses at a similar clip to last year’s professional sample size, and batters are chasing at a similar clip as well. The velocity is within an acceptable range and he’s limiting the opposition to less hard contact. Miami will likely try to keep Brad Ziegler as the team’s closer as long as possibly to boost his trade value, but he’s been so bad that they will need to make the move at some point. When they do, ride with Steckenrider, because he’ll be commanding the ship.
Tony Cingrani , RP LAD
Cingrani has had his share of struggles at the big league level, and there’s no denying that. However, he’s throwing the baseball rather well in 2018. This season, he’s allowed just three earned runs on 6 hits in 9.1 innings pitched. However, the big thing to note with Cingrani and perhaps a potential sign of resurgence is that he’s keeping the ball in the strike zone. The southpaw has a career BB/9 of 4.31, but after posting a 5.29 BB/9 in 2016, he reduced that mark in 2.53 last season. Through his first handful of appearances, he’s yet to walk a batter, while striking out 17, en route to a 16.39 K/9.
He’s deviating from his fastball more than he has in the past, while using his slider more frequently. Here are his pitch usages (per Fangraphs) over the last couple of years.
YEAR | FA% | SL% |
2015 | 86.1% | 12.1% |
2016 | 87.3% | 9.0% |
2017 | 81.2% | 12.5% |
2018 | 70.1% | 28.7% |
Cingrani had injury concerns in the past, so hopefully the ramped up usage of his slider doesn’t cause him to hit the shelf. However, enjoy Cingrani while the going is good, and he’s worthy of an add in NL-only formats and deeper mixed leagues.
HONORABLE MENTION: Adam Ottavino , Colorado Rockies. His ownership has jumped above the percentage I typically use for this piece. If he’s available, GO GET HIM.
Player News
Kyren Paris hit a two-run homer in Wednesday’s win for the Angels over the Blue Jays.
That’s the first homer for Paris since April 9 when he went deep twice against Tampa Bay and caused everyone to lose all sense of rational thought. The 23-year-old did also single and walk to improve his on-base percentage to .311,, while the homer bumps his slugging mark to .378. There is long-term upside in Paris with flashes that suggest he can be a fantasy option. Fantasy managers should still absolutely looking elsewhere for options up the middle.
Jorge Soler hit a three-run double in the bottom of the ninth to give the Angels a 5-4 win over the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
Trent Grisham went 1-for-1 with a game-tying two-run home run in the eighth inning of a 4-3 win over the Padres on Wednesday.
While the Yankees won this game on a walk-off in the 10th inning, Grisham’s game-tying home run in the eighth was the biggest moment. He came on as a pinch-hitter for Jorbit Vibas against the usually stout Jason Adam and smashed a two-strike changeup into the right field seats. This clutch shot will only continue to push Grisham’s playing time in the right direction after he just started eight of the last 10 games, hit either first or second in each, and already has 10 homers in 31 games played this season.
Jeff Hoffman blew a save and picked up a loss Wednesday against the Angels.
Devin Williams struck out three batters with one walk and hit another in a scoreless 10th inning to earn the win against the Padres on Wednesday.
The Yankees entrusted Williams with the all important 10th inning and the inherited ghost runner on second base after their dramatic comeback. While he loaded the bases and had some tense moments, he left the inning unscathed and opened the door for them to win it right after. It should be noted that Luke Weaver came on for what were the most important outs of this game at the time, after Ian Hamilton walked two to begin the eighth inning and Weaver allowed both of those inherited runners to score. He was called upon as the fireman though and will likely get the next save opportunity. Still, this was a massive step in the right direction for Williams.
Max Fried allowed five hits and one run with no walks and eight strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Wednesday.
Fried’s excellent season continued as he set down the Padres easily besides for a mammoth solo home run by Jackson Merrill. It was no matter though, as they rarely threatened otherwise and Fried continued to find his strikeout stuff. This was his fourth outing of the year with at least seven strikeouts, a mark he only hit 10 times last season in 29 starts. Fried with a strikeout rate that’s better than league average – which is where he’s at right now – is a clear top-10 pitcher in fantasy baseball. He’s set for a two-start week coming up against the Mariners and Mets.