The minor league season is underway, though there is limited data to work with at this point. Today we will take a look at a few of the hot starters at the Triple-A level and whether or not they will be fantasy relevant any time soon.
International League
Richie Shaffer, Durham Bulls (Tampa Bay)
Shaffer has never been a top prospect in the Rays system, but the power in his bat has made him intriguing for the last several years. Over his first two games at Triple-A this season, Shaffer is 5-for-8 with six RBIs. Clearly, this is a great start by the 25-year-old, but it likely won’t matter much. Unless there is an injury at one of the corner spots in Tampa’s infield, Shaffer will continue to log at-bats in the minor leagues.
Trea Turner, Syracuse Chiefs (Washington)
It appears that the Farm Report is a big fan of Trea Turner—and rightfully so. Over his first two games with the Chiefs, Turner is 1-for-3 with three walks, three runs, and two stolen bases. He is ready for the big leagues right now, but Dusty Baker and Co. are trotting Danny Espinosa out to shortstop everyday as long as they possibly can. Turner is clearly Washington’s shortstop of the future and should be added in all NL-Only leagues and deeper mixed leagues immediately.
Drew Hutchison, Buffalo Bisons (Toronto)
Hutchison was unable to secure a spot in the Blue Jays’ rotation out of spring training, so he will bide his time at Triple-A and wait for an injury or underperformance. He’s literally the definition of a boom or bust starter as he has the ability to pitch eight shutout innings or completely implode in the second inning. He’s worth a stash in AL-Only leagues as it’s almost a guarantee he’ll be the first call-up if there is a shuffling in the Jays rotation. Just be wary of the fact that he’ll murder your ERA and WHIP.
Jhoulys Chacin, Gwinnett Braves (Atlanta)
Remember this guy? It feels like he’s been around forever, but he’s only 28 years old. The long time Rockie has reappeared with the Braves and is due for a call-up in the coming days and that makes him worth adding in NL-Only leagues. Chacin has a career 3.76 ERA and 4.16 FIP at the major league level and should be able to find success once again. Keep a watchful eye on his first couple of starts as he could potentially be an add in mixed leagues down the line.
Pacific Coast League
Micah Johnson, Oklahoma City Dodgers (Los Angeles)
Johnson only appeared in two games for Oklahoma City before getting the call to Los Angeles on Saturday night. In a surprise to no one, Carl Crawford hit the disabled list prior to Saturday’s game against the Giants. With Andre Ethier and Howie Kendrick and three other position players already on the shelf, the Dodgers have a couple of holes to plug. It’s worth noting that Johnson made his first career start in left field on Friday night, but it’s unknown at this point whether the Dodgers will attempt to train him in the spot during meaningful regular season games. At this point, he does warrant a speculative add in NL-Only leagues based on the fact that he will steal bags if he can get on base. Hold off in mixed leagues for now.
Nomar Mazara, Round Rock Express (Texas)
Mazara is just 20 years old and has vaulted rapidly through the Rangers’ minor league system. Over his first three games at Triple-A this year, he is batting .538 over 13-plate appearances. He is likely to spend the majority of the season at Round Rock, though an injury at the big league level can change things in an instant. Mazara has solid power, but his plate discipline and contact rate is suspect. He can be left on waiver wires in redraft leagues, but a call-up could be imminent (and very likely) due to Shin-Soo Choo's calf injury. He should be picked up in 12-team mixed leagues and deeper leagues.
Archie Bradley, Reno Aces (Arizona)
After beginning the 2015 season as part of the Diamondbacks rotation, Bradley made his first start in 2016 at Triple-A Reno. He still has plenty of talent and massive upside, but Arizona felt as though he needed to begin the season in the minors after missing an extended amount of time after taking a line drive to the face in April of last year. Now fully healthy, Bradley will look to impress and work his way into a rotation spot. If his first start at Nashville is any evidence as to what we should expect, it won’t be long before he’s in the major. Bradley pitched six scoreless innings on Friday and struck out seven while walking three. He should be added in NL-Only leagues immediately and will likely be a mixed league add when he gets the call to Arizona.
Jesse Hahn, Nashville Sounds (Oakland)
It was expected that Hahn would begin the season in Oakland’s rotation, but that deal fell through. Instead, the A’s turned to Felix Doubront—who got injured—which lead to spot starter Eric Surkamp. Hahn performed well in his first start at Triple-A Nashville, throwing six scoreless innings while striking out five. He will probably make at least two or three more starts for Nashville before getting the call to Oakland. Naturally, he’s worth rostering in AL-Only leagues right now. His strikeout ability limits his upside in mixed leagues, but he’s a player to keep on the back burner as he provides solid ratios.
This coming Thursday, the focus will be on the Double-A level. In the meantime, if you have questions please feel free to comment or contact me on Twitter @askROTObaseball.
Player News
Tanner Gordon will start the second game of Thursday’s doubleheader against the Tigers.
Gordon will take the ball for Thursday’s nightcap at Coors Field and is not a recommended streaming option for fantasy purposes. The 27-year-old righty finished last year with a calamitous 8.65 ERA across eight starts for the Rockies.
Zach Eflin (lat) will return this weekend to start against the Angels.
Eflin got through Wednesday’s bullpen session without any issues and has been cleared to take the ball this weekend against the Angels. The 31-year-old righty has been out since early April recovering from a low-grade lat strain. He’s worthy of a roster spot in deeper mixed leagues, even if he doesn’t offer astronomical strikeout upside.
Wilmer Flores went 3-for-4 and knocked in his 33rd run of the season in the Giants’ 3-1 defeat of the Cubs on Wednesday.
The early home barrage is long over, but Flores is still fourth in the league in RBI, even as his .737 OPS puts him 200-500 points behind the three guys above him (Pete Alonso, Teoscar Hernández and Aaron Judge). After 37 games this season, he’s almost halfway to his career high of 71 RBI, which he achieved in 151 games in 2022.
Robbie Ray pitched six innings of one-run ball Wednesday to beat the Cubs and move to 5-0.
He fanned five and walked two. Ray’s strikeout, walk and exit velocity numbers this season are all worse than his career marks, yet here he is 5-0 with a 2.84 ERA. He’s definitely a sell-high candidate, but it is entirely possible his peripherals will improve and that he’ll remain a fine starter going forward. Pitching in San Francisco definitely helps with the home run ball, which is one big thing working in his favor. He’s set to face the Diamondbacks next time out.
Ryan Walker rebounded from Tuesday’s poor showing to pitch a scoreless ninth with a two-run lead Wednesday versus the Cubs.
Walker didn’t blow a save last night, but he might as well have in giving up two runs in the ninth (Erik Miller replaced him and got the blown save for allowing one of Walker’s runners to score). Despite that, the Giants went with their typical arrangement today, and Camilo Doval, Tyler Rogers and Walker turned in scoreless seventh, eighth and ninth innings respectively. Walker’s perfect frame came without a strikeout. His K rate currently stands at 25%, well down from last year’s mark of 32%.
Ben Brown fanned nine but took his third loss after allowing three runs in five innings Wednesday against the Giants.
Brown issued two walks. Those led off the first and fourth innings, and the Giants went to score all three of their runs in those innings. Brown wasn’t hit hard, and the nine strikeouts were great. He just put himself into bad spots with those walks, and now he’ll take a 3-3 record and a 4.95 ERA into his next start, a favorable home matchup against the Marlins. He’ll be a streaming option in that one.