I wrote the optimal DFS lineups article a couple of weeks ago, and I was really surprised by the reaction it garnered. I expected to get a lot of comments on the DFS Playbook—and I did—but I had no idea how much our readers rely on the optimal lineups.
I admittedly don’t use the optimal lineups much myself. I read the Playbook and the Pitching and Hitting coaches, and I find the daily projections invaluable, but I do not usually get around to the optimal lineups. I feel the Playbook and coaches—and my own research—let me know which players to target, and I can take it from there and fill out my lineups. I also like the challenge of trying to fit the players I like under the salary cap. Once you identify the players to target, the rest is kind of like putting together a puzzle. I like it.
Judging by the comments in my optimal lineup article, I am a bit of an outlier. There is no surprise there, but since I firmly believe the world would be better off if everybody was more like me, I feel this MLB DFS Strategy article is a good opportunity to discuss how I construct my MLB DFS lineups. You know how it goes; if you teach a man to fish, blah, blah, blah. With that in mind, here are the guidelines I use in constructing a DFS MLB lineup.
Pitching First
I always fill my pitching slot(s) first. When my lineup is complete I may go back and change my pitchers if I need to, but usually once I identify the pitchers I like I can fill the hitters in around them. I always need at least one above-average pitcher, though I won’t necessarily always get an ace. I’m fine with somebody like Sonny Gray, A.J. Burnett or Jake Arrieta anchoring my lineup, but my days of starting Lance McCullers and Mike Foltynewicz together on two pitcher sites are long gone.
No-Brainers Next
Sometimes—but not always—there are players I know I will use no matter what, like Ryan Raburn facing a weak lefty or Pedro Alvarez while he is on a hot streak. The last thing you want to do is price yourself out of the best plays, so I fill those in right away. If you always fill your OF slots last, you may not have money for Adam Jones even though you really want to play him.
Outfield Last
Speaking of which, I usually do fill my outfield spots last. Simply put, I like having as many options as possible. If I get to my last two spots with $8,800 to spend on two outfielders, I have a lot more options than if I have the same amount left to spend on a second baseman and a catcher. This is less of a concern on FantasyAces; on that site I just make sure to choose my catcher fairly early on.
Make Scarcity a Priority
I usually fill my catcher and middle infield spots before I move onto the corners, especially on FantasyAces. The odds are good I will find more third basemen I feel comfortable starting than shortstops, so third base can wait.
Bargains Before Studs
Say you read the DFS MLB Playbook and you see Paul Goldschmidt, Albert Pujols and Freddie Freeman all listed. Rather than putting one in your lineup right away and then having to choose from the junk pile at shortstop, put a pin in first base and find cheap guys at other positions first. When you get towards the end you can let the salary cap make the decision for you. If you can afford Goldschmidt, more power to you. If you only have enough money left to spend on Albert Pujols, you should still be just fine.
The purpose of all of these guidelines is to make things easier for yourself as you go along. I don’t want to ever put myself in a position where I have to choose between Emilio Bonifacio and Alberto Callaspo. In that regard, people should definitely strive to be more like me.
Player News
Kyren Paris hit a two-run homer in Wednesday’s win for the Angels over the Blue Jays.
That’s the first homer for Paris since April 9 when he went deep twice against Tampa Bay and caused everyone to lose all sense of rational thought. The 23-year-old did also single and walk to improve his on-base percentage to .311,, while the homer bumps his slugging mark to .378. There is long-term upside in Paris with flashes that suggest he can be a fantasy option. Fantasy managers should still absolutely looking elsewhere for options up the middle.
Jorge Soler hit a three-run double in the bottom of the ninth to give the Angels a 5-4 win over the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
Trent Grisham went 1-for-1 with a game-tying two-run home run in the eighth inning of a 4-3 win over the Padres on Wednesday.
While the Yankees won this game on a walk-off in the 10th inning, Grisham’s game-tying home run in the eighth was the biggest moment. He came on as a pinch-hitter for Jorbit Vibas against the usually stout Jason Adam and smashed a two-strike changeup into the right field seats. This clutch shot will only continue to push Grisham’s playing time in the right direction after he just started eight of the last 10 games, hit either first or second in each, and already has 10 homers in 31 games played this season.
Jeff Hoffman blew a save and picked up a loss Wednesday against the Angels.
Devin Williams struck out three batters with one walk and hit another in a scoreless 10th inning to earn the win against the Padres on Wednesday.
The Yankees entrusted Williams with the all important 10th inning and the inherited ghost runner on second base after their dramatic comeback. While he loaded the bases and had some tense moments, he left the inning unscathed and opened the door for them to win it right after. It should be noted that Luke Weaver came on for what were the most important outs of this game at the time, after Ian Hamilton walked two to begin the eighth inning and Weaver allowed both of those inherited runners to score. He was called upon as the fireman though and will likely get the next save opportunity. Still, this was a massive step in the right direction for Williams.
Max Fried allowed five hits and one run with no walks and eight strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Wednesday.
Fried’s excellent season continued as he set down the Padres easily besides for a mammoth solo home run by Jackson Merrill. It was no matter though, as they rarely threatened otherwise and Fried continued to find his strikeout stuff. This was his fourth outing of the year with at least seven strikeouts, a mark he only hit 10 times last season in 29 starts. Fried with a strikeout rate that’s better than league average – which is where he’s at right now – is a clear top-10 pitcher in fantasy baseball. He’s set for a two-start week coming up against the Mariners and Mets.