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A rule of thumb in DFS is that the day after you win a massive GPP and clean up in pretty much everything you touch, you're never going to repeat that experience. I came into Sunday fully knowing that and yet as I sit here writing this am kind of pissed off at the same time. Sunday wasn't a loss by any means, either. The Grandersson HR single handedly won me all of my double ups over on DraftKings while my Aces lineups were beyond help at that point. Over on Fanduel I won just two of my five 50/50's making it a very uneven yet slightly profitable day overall. I hope to God that you guys did better and by the comments and Tweets I received it certainly looked that way.
Let's move on to Monday now. I once again hate all of the pitchers on the board tonight. James Shields is NEVER my #1 choice for anything yet he finds his way to the top of the Playbook today. I don't really want to pay up for Price tonight coming off that horrific start last night out and going on the road to face the usually LH productive Minnesota Twins. The Twins are struggling (.275 wOBA) against lefties this season though that cannot last forever with Dozier, Plouffe, Santana and Hunter who all are lefty killers. I'm not going to completely fade Price this time out but he's not my top choice for sure.
As the lineups come out I will be adjusting some of the Playbook plays. You will find players taken out, others added and the rankings adjusted throughout the day so please check the comments section where I will post the updates immediately after doing them. Let's get to it people:
Here is the DFS MLB Playbook for Monday April 27th:
PLAYER | POS | TEAM | OPP | ACES | FANDUEL | DRAFTKINGS | BREAKDOWN |
James Shields | SP | SD | HOU | 7,000 | 8,100 | 9,600 | Heavy favorite, Astros K 24.1% of time |
Doug Fister | SP | WSH | ATL | 6,100 | 8,300 | 7,600 | Amazing price on Aces, should get win |
David Price | SP | DET | MIN | 7,300 | 11,000 | 10,400 | Twins usually hit LH well but not this year |
Ubaldo Jimenez | RP | BAL | CWS | 5,750 | 6,600 | 7,200 | O's will pound Noesi, Ubaldo will get W |
Buster Posey | C | SF | LAD | 5,250 | 3,500 | 4,300 | .329/.390/.571 Career Vs LHP |
Wilson Ramos | C | WSH | ATL | 4,500 | 2,600 | 3,700 | .316/.366/.462 career Vs LHP |
Andrew Susac | C | SF | LAD | 3,000 | 2,400 | 3,300 | Hitting 6th, big power upside |
Miguel Montero | C | CHI | PIT | 4,800 | 2,700 | 3,100 | High+inside hot zone matches Worley |
Miguel Cabrera | 1B/3B | DET | MIN | 5,500 | 4,100 | 5,100 | Using him on DK & FD tonight |
Anthony Rizzo | 1B | CHI | PIT | 5,650 | 4,200 | 5,200 | Great cash game play |
Paul Goldschmidt | 1B | ARI | COL | 5,850 | 4,500 | 5,700 | .321/.413/.609 career Vs LHP |
Ian Kinsler | 2B | DET | MIN | 4,900 | 3,400 | 4,300 | .343 wOBA in last 29 PA |
Chase Utley | 2B | PHI | STL | 4,850 | 2,600 | 3,700 | FD price is ridiculously cheap |
Neil Walker | 2B | PIT | CHI | 4,800 | 3,000 | 4,400 | .377 wOBA in last 7 games |
Adrian Beltre | 3B | TEX | SEA | 4,900 | 3,100 | 4,300 | SEA switched to Walker, downgrade Beltre |
Kris Bryant | 3B | CHC | PIT | 4,850 | 3,600 | 4,700 | Pivot for Manny Machado |
Aramis Ramirez | 3B | MIL | CIN | 4,250 | 2,400 | 3,900 | 10-27 (.370) Vs Marquis |
Ian Desmond | SS | WSH | ATL | 4,750 | 3,400 | 4,500 | .292/.334/.482 Vs Finesse pitchers |
Troy Tulowitzki | SS | COL | ARI | 5,600 | 4,300 | 5,200 | Best SS in baseball |
Brad Miller | SS | SEA | TEX | 4,200 | 2,200 | 3,800 | 10-23 (.435) in last 8 games |
Yoenis Cespedes | LF | DET | MIN | 5,100 | 3,200 | 4,500 | 17-28 (.447) 2 HR, 14 RBI at Targt Field |
Odubel Herrera | OF/2B | PHI | STL | 4,250 | 3,000 | 3,200 | Hitting second, good value play here |
Justin Maxwell | OF | SF | LA | 4,100 | 2,800 | 3,100 | .554 wOBA, 3 HR in last 5 games |
Gregory Polanco | OF | PIT | CHI | 4,750 | 3,200 | 4,600 | 8-21 (.381) in last 5 games |
Jayson Werth | OF | WSH | ATL | 4,650 | 2,800 | 4,300 | .298/.400/.535 career Vs LHP |
Eric Young Jr | OF | ATL | WSH | 4,050 | 2,300 | 3,000 | Value play on DK tonight |
Seth Smith | OF | SEA | TEX | 4,700 | 2,200 | 3,800 | Value play on Fanduel tonight |
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