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A rule of thumb in DFS is that the day after you win a massive GPP and clean up in pretty much everything you touch, you're never going to repeat that experience. I came into Sunday fully knowing that and yet as I sit here writing this am kind of pissed off at the same time. Sunday wasn't a loss by any means, either. The Grandersson HR single handedly won me all of my double ups over on DraftKings while my Aces lineups were beyond help at that point. Over on Fanduel I won just two of my five 50/50's making it a very uneven yet slightly profitable day overall. I hope to God that you guys did better and by the comments and Tweets I received it certainly looked that way.
Let's move on to Monday now. I once again hate all of the pitchers on the board tonight. James Shields is NEVER my #1 choice for anything yet he finds his way to the top of the Playbook today. I don't really want to pay up for Price tonight coming off that horrific start last night out and going on the road to face the usually LH productive Minnesota Twins. The Twins are struggling (.275 wOBA) against lefties this season though that cannot last forever with Dozier, Plouffe, Santana and Hunter who all are lefty killers. I'm not going to completely fade Price this time out but he's not my top choice for sure.
As the lineups come out I will be adjusting some of the Playbook plays. You will find players taken out, others added and the rankings adjusted throughout the day so please check the comments section where I will post the updates immediately after doing them. Let's get to it people:
Here is the DFS MLB Playbook for Monday April 27th:
PLAYER | POS | TEAM | OPP | ACES | FANDUEL | DRAFTKINGS | BREAKDOWN |
James Shields | SP | SD | HOU | 7,000 | 8,100 | 9,600 | Heavy favorite, Astros K 24.1% of time |
Doug Fister | SP | WSH | ATL | 6,100 | 8,300 | 7,600 | Amazing price on Aces, should get win |
David Price | SP | DET | MIN | 7,300 | 11,000 | 10,400 | Twins usually hit LH well but not this year |
Ubaldo Jimenez | RP | BAL | CWS | 5,750 | 6,600 | 7,200 | O's will pound Noesi, Ubaldo will get W |
Buster Posey | C | SF | LAD | 5,250 | 3,500 | 4,300 | .329/.390/.571 Career Vs LHP |
Wilson Ramos | C | WSH | ATL | 4,500 | 2,600 | 3,700 | .316/.366/.462 career Vs LHP |
Andrew Susac | C | SF | LAD | 3,000 | 2,400 | 3,300 | Hitting 6th, big power upside |
Miguel Montero | C | CHI | PIT | 4,800 | 2,700 | 3,100 | High+inside hot zone matches Worley |
Miguel Cabrera | 1B/3B | DET | MIN | 5,500 | 4,100 | 5,100 | Using him on DK & FD tonight |
Anthony Rizzo | 1B | CHI | PIT | 5,650 | 4,200 | 5,200 | Great cash game play |
Paul Goldschmidt | 1B | ARI | COL | 5,850 | 4,500 | 5,700 | .321/.413/.609 career Vs LHP |
Ian Kinsler | 2B | DET | MIN | 4,900 | 3,400 | 4,300 | .343 wOBA in last 29 PA |
Chase Utley | 2B | PHI | STL | 4,850 | 2,600 | 3,700 | FD price is ridiculously cheap |
Neil Walker | 2B | PIT | CHI | 4,800 | 3,000 | 4,400 | .377 wOBA in last 7 games |
Adrian Beltre | 3B | TEX | SEA | 4,900 | 3,100 | 4,300 | SEA switched to Walker, downgrade Beltre |
Kris Bryant | 3B | CHC | PIT | 4,850 | 3,600 | 4,700 | Pivot for Manny Machado |
Aramis Ramirez | 3B | MIL | CIN | 4,250 | 2,400 | 3,900 | 10-27 (.370) Vs Marquis |
Ian Desmond | SS | WSH | ATL | 4,750 | 3,400 | 4,500 | .292/.334/.482 Vs Finesse pitchers |
Troy Tulowitzki | SS | COL | ARI | 5,600 | 4,300 | 5,200 | Best SS in baseball |
Brad Miller | SS | SEA | TEX | 4,200 | 2,200 | 3,800 | 10-23 (.435) in last 8 games |
Yoenis Cespedes | LF | DET | MIN | 5,100 | 3,200 | 4,500 | 17-28 (.447) 2 HR, 14 RBI at Targt Field |
Odubel Herrera | OF/2B | PHI | STL | 4,250 | 3,000 | 3,200 | Hitting second, good value play here |
Justin Maxwell | OF | SF | LA | 4,100 | 2,800 | 3,100 | .554 wOBA, 3 HR in last 5 games |
Gregory Polanco | OF | PIT | CHI | 4,750 | 3,200 | 4,600 | 8-21 (.381) in last 5 games |
Jayson Werth | OF | WSH | ATL | 4,650 | 2,800 | 4,300 | .298/.400/.535 career Vs LHP |
Eric Young Jr | OF | ATL | WSH | 4,050 | 2,300 | 3,000 | Value play on DK tonight |
Seth Smith | OF | SEA | TEX | 4,700 | 2,200 | 3,800 | Value play on Fanduel tonight |
Do you want to learn how to swim away from the sharks? Play daily fantasy baseball over on Fantasy Aces and you’ll be able to start out, learn and win big money in a much more laid back atmosphere where each contest isn’t full of people who play DFS for a living.
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Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Ward, 31, gave the Angels a 2-0 lead with a two-run homer off Chris Bassitt in the first inning. He’s now gone deep in two of his last three games, and it ‘improves’ his slash to .181/.224/.391. Ward has been one of the most hot/cold players players in the sport over the last few years, so fantasy managers who can afford to make some roster moves may want to look at Ward while the going is good.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
Guerrero also drew a walk. It gives the first baseman multiple hits in back-to-back games, and it’s the third time in May that he’s reached that mark. That’s helped raise his average from .268 to .295, and the only thing fantasy managers can be disappointed with is his .432 slugging percentage. That number should continue to climb as the season unfolds, but Vladdy Jr. has had some inconsistent seasons when it comes to power production.
Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Green got the save after Jeff Hoffman worked in back-to-back games — and struggled — in the first two contests against the Angels. He struck out two and looked the part while needing just nine pitches to get through the inning. Hoffman should remain the closer, but Green is on his tail if the struggles were to continue.
Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
Bassitt allowed three runs over the first two innings on a pair of homers, but settled down over his next four frames. He came out to work the seventh, but ended up being charged for two more runs after leaving the contest. The 36-year-old veteran has forged a 3.35 ERA and outstanding 49/8 K/BB ratio over the first quarter of the season, but this wasn’t him at his best. He’ll get the Rays next week if the rotation order stays the same for Toronto.
José Soriano allowed three runs over five innings while not factoring in the decision Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Soriano left with a 4-3 lead, but it was erased quickly after his departure. The 26-year-old was not exactly dominant in his outing with eight hits allowed and four free passes, but he did strike out six to help balance things out a smidgen. Soriano takes an even ERA of 4.00 into a scheduled start against the Padres in San Diego on Tuesday. There should be better options for that one.