Before Saturday's Week 6 slate of college football games kicks off, let's dive into some PrizePicks top plays. We've outlined a bunch of stats and lines on PrizePicks to target throughout the Saturday Week 6 action. If you're building CFB DFS lineups or making college football betting picks, mix in some of these props to get full exposure. Be sure to check out our college football weekly projections to fine tune those CFB bets and props. Plus, don't forget to use the CFB DFS Playbook while entering those college football daily fantasy lineups. This Week 6 slate of games features plenty of interesting college football matchups and CFB player props worth considering. Let's dive in and look at my top PrizePicks plays. 

 

College Football PrizePicks CFB Top Picks Week 6 Saturday

Jaxson Dart (Ole Miss) – OVER 245.5 Pass+Rush Yards

Dart gets a favorable matchup this week against Vanderbilt and one of the worst pass defenses in the country. The Commodores are allowing 299.2 passing yards per game (127th in FBS) and have allowed big stat lines to Bryce Young, Sam Hartman, and even Elon QB Matthew McKay. Though the Ole Miss offense is centered around the run game, this matchup is way too good and Dart can take advantage. As for the rushing side of things, Dart has run for at least 40 yards in four of five games this season. He’s also gone over this 245.5 combined passing+rushing yards line in each of the last three games since being named the starting QB for the Rebels. Plus, Vandy might actually keep this game closer than you may expect as the spread has dropped in recent days. That would lead to Dart doing more both through the air and on the ground than if it was a blowout. 

Rara Thomas (Mississippi State) – OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards

Let’s all say some prayers for Arkansas this week. The Razorbacks have one of the worst pass defenses in the country, allowing 289.4 yards per game through the air (124th in FBS). This defense just got lit up by Alabama and now has to go on the road to face the pass-happy Air Raid offense of Mississippi State. Not ideal! Enter Rara Thomas, who has a team-high 359 receiving yards through five games. He's gone over 62.5 receiving yards in four of five games this season and the lone under came in a blowout win over Bowling Green. The Arkansas secondary will have trouble covering the Mississippi State pass-catchers in this big mismatch. Bank on Thomas going over. 

Chris Rodriguez (Kentucky) – OVER 96.5 Rushing Yards

Rodriguez returned from suspension last week and immediately saw 19 carries while stepping right back into the lead RB role for Kentucky. Though he only gained 72 yards last game, it was in a tougher matchup against Ole Miss. Now he gets to face a South Carolina defense that's been gashed on the ground this season. The Gamecocks are allowing 185 rushing yards per game (106th in FBS) and 4.44 ypc (98th). In its two conference games thus far, the defense gave up 156 rushing yards to Arkansas RB Raheim Sanders and then 208 total rush yards to Georgia. Rodriguez is a guy who racked up 1,379 rushing yards last year as one of the best running backs in the country. He went over 96.5 rushing yards in 10 of 13 games last season and had 144 in the 2021 matchup vs. South Carolina. Plus, Kentucky QB Will Levis is questionable to play this week and that may lead to a ton of carries for Rodriguez as the offense leans on the run.

Eric Gray (Oklahoma) – UNDER 90.5 Rushing Yards

First off, let's just admit that Eric Gray has the talent to go well over this rushing yards prop. He already has three 100-yard games in five weeks this season, for what it's worth. However, this line is a bit too high for a couple of reasons. Gray got banged up last week and gave way to backup RB Jovantae Barnes, who ran for 100 yards on 18 carries. While Gray is expected to play despite last week's injury, we may see Barnes get more playing time and carries again. Plus, Oklahoma may find itself trailing more often than not this week as underdogs against Texas – which would lead to more passing plays overall than rush attempts for Gray or any other Sooners RB. Finally, Gray gets a tough matchup here against a Texas defense that's allowing just 3.28 yards per carry (33rd in FBS). 

Connor Bazelak (Indiana) – UNDER -8.5 Rushing Yards

We've been having success with targeting under's on negative rushing yards for quarterbacks this season – so let's keep it going! As a reminder, sacks in college football count as negative rushing yards for QBs. With that in mind, look for Michigan's defense to sack Indiana QB Connor Bazelak enough for him to finish with less than -8.5 rush yard this week. Bazelak has been sacked at least three times in three straight games and finished with -41 and -19 rush yards in the past two (while being sacked eight total times). Michigan, meanwhile, sacked Iowa QB Spencer Petras four times last week to give him -31 rush yards. The Wolverines also had three sacks against Maryland the game prior. With Michigan being 22-point favorites in this game, we should see Bazelak drop back to pass plenty with more chances at being sacked – much like Petras a week ago. 

 

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