Wisconsin vs. Michigan Predictions, Picks & Odds, 3/16: Big Ten Championship

The Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan Wolverines are set to clash for the Big Ten Tournament championship, creating an exciting matchup between the two teams.
Both squads are riding high into Sunday’s final, eager to claim a conference title before the start of March Madness. Let’s analyze the matchup and share our Wisconsin vs. Michigan picks.
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Predictions Today: Sunday, 3/16
Wisconsin had a challenging path to the final, defeating Michigan State in a nail-biter thanks to another outstanding performance from John Tonje. On the other hand, Michigan earned its place in the championship game with a thrilling last-second shot from Tre Donaldson, who led the Wolverines past Maryland in the semifinals.
With a Big Ten Tournament title at stake, fans can expect a fierce and competitive showdown between these Big Ten giants, making for some interesting Wisconsin vs. Michigan predictions.
Wisconsin Badgers: The John Tonje Show
Wisconsin's success in the tournament has been driven by John Tonje's amazing performance, as he has become the team's main scorer. The senior guard has been on fire, averaging 25.3 points per game and shooting an impressive 61.5% from the field and 57.1% from three-point range.
His ability to score in different ways makes him really hard to defend, and he’s also leading the Badgers in rebounds with 7.7 per game. Thanks to Tonje's scoring, Wisconsin has averaged nearly 78 points in this tournament.
However, he has also been turning the ball over a bit, averaging 3.0 turnovers per game, which is something the Badgers need to fix, especially against Michigan’s quick defense. If Tonje keeps playing well, Wisconsin has a great chance to win the title.
Michigan Wolverines: Need To Limit Turnovers
Michigan's offense has been doing pretty well this season, sitting at 40th in the country with a field goal percentage of 47.8%. However, they've had a big problem with turnovers. In their recent tournament victory against Maryland, they lost the ball 16 times, and this has hurt them in important games.
Point guard Tre Donaldson has been a good playmaker, averaging 7.0 assists per game, but he sometimes makes mistakes. Meanwhile, forward Danny Wolf is leading the team with six turnovers per game during the tournament.
As they face Wisconsin, a team that takes advantage of mistakes, Michigan really needs to be careful with the ball. If they can manage their possessions well, they have the talent to keep up. But if they don’t, Wisconsin could easily score off their errors and take control of the game.
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
FanDuel Sportsbook promptly released the Wisconsin vs. Michigan odds and lines for the matchup as soon as it was announced. Here are the most recent figures:
- Wisconsin Badgers (-146) vs. Michigan Wolverines (+122)
- Spread: Wisconsin -3.5 (-102) vs. Michigan +3.5 (-120)
- Game Total: Over 149.5 (-115) vs. Under 149.5 (-105)
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Spread Pick: Wolverines +3.5 (-120 at FanDuel)
In what shapes up to be a closely fought game, Michigan +3.5 (-120 at FanDuel) is a smart choice for Wisconsin vs. Michigan predictions. Both teams are playing at their best, but Michigan's advantage in size in the frontcourt gives them the upper hand.
Vlad Goldin and Danny Wolf have been dominant inside throughout the season, and they could be the key against a Wisconsin team that struggles with rebounding. Wolf has been impressive in the tournament, averaging 12.5 rebounds per game, and his impact will be crucial in reducing second-chance points for the Badgers.
Wisconsin's offense is performing well, specifically John Tonje, but Michigan's guards have the size to challenge him effectively. Additionally, the Wolverines boast a more efficient inside game, ranking 40th in the nation for field goal percentage, while Wisconsin sits at 112th.
Since Michigan has already beaten Wisconsin earlier this season, they are likely to keep the game close. Some Wisconsin vs. Michigan predictions could even seem them pull off an upset.
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Injury Report & Starting Lineup
Wisconsin Badgers Injury Report
- C. Hunter (G) – Questionable: Undisclosed
- R. Greppi (F) – Questionable: Undisclosed
Wisconsin Badgers Projected Starters
- J. Tonje (G) – (18.9 PPG, 5.1 RPG)
- J. Blackwell (G) – (15.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG)
- S. Crowl (F) – (9.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG)
- M. Klesmit (G) – (9.7 PPG, 2.7 APG)
- N. Winter (F) – (9.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG)
Michigan Wolverines Injury Report
- J. Pippen (G) – Out: Undisclosed
- S. Walters (F) – Out: Back
Michigan Wolverines Projected Starters
- V. Goldin (C) – (16.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG)
- D. Wolf (F) – (12.9 PPG, 9.7 RPG)
- T. Donaldson (G) – (11.5 PPG, 3.9 APG)
- N. Burnett (G) – (9.9 PPG, 40.6% 3PT%)
- R. Gayle (G) – (9.6 PPG, 3.6 RPG)
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