#13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. Predictions, Picks & Odds: Tuesday, 2/18
The Purdue Boilermakers are set to face off against the Michigan State Spartans in a crucial Big Ten showdown on Tuesday night, as both teams aim to boost their chances for the conference title.
That said, you know we had to come prepared with our #13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. predictions. This game is especially important for Purdue, who is looking to bounce back from two straight losses, while Michigan State is riding high after a significant road victory.
#13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. Predictions Today: Tuesday, 2/18
Purdue had been at the top of the Big Ten standings but fell after losing to Michigan and Wisconsin. Now, they need to find their rhythm again on the road, where they have a decent record of 5-3 this season.
On the other hand, Michigan State has been nearly unbeatable at home with a record of 12-1 and is feeling good after a 79-65 win against Illinois, thanks to Jaxon Kohler's impressive performance.
With both teams eager to make a statement, this game promises to be a tough battle. Let's dive into the matchup, look at the odds and share our top #13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. predictions.
Purdue Boilermakers: Strong Offense, Shaky Defense
Trey Kaufman-Renn has been key for Purdue, leading the team with 19.4 points per game and shooting 60.9% from the field. Braden Smith also supports the offense with 16.0 points and 8.8 assists, while hitting 38.6% from three-point range.
As a team, the Boilermakers shoot 37.7% from beyond the arc, placing them 28th nationally. Defensively, Purdue is decent but not outstanding, giving up 69.9 points per game.
They do well at limiting opponents' three-point shooting at 30.8%, ranking 41st in the country, but their overall field goal defense at 44.5% is below the top 200. Rebounding is a concern, as they sit at 296th in rebounds per game, which could be an issue in these games against tougher opponents.
Michigan State Spartans: Lockdown D & Offensive Grit
The Spartans are strong on defense, ranking 20th in the country for opponent field goal percentage at 39.9% and limiting teams to 67.5 points per game. Their three-point defense is impressive, allowing just 28.9% shooting from beyond the arc, which places them 8th nationally.
Offensively, Michigan State excels at the free throw line, with the 4th-best free throw percentage at 80.6%. Michigan State's size and rebounding ability (37.3 RPG, 11th in the nation) give them a physical advantage in most games, too.
Although they have faced some ups and downs recently, the Spartans have notable victories against Illinois, Oregon and North Carolina. Their strong defense and effectiveness at the free throw line could be crucial in close games like this one shapes up to be.
#13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
At the time of publication, the following #13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. odds and betting lines were offered by FanDuel Sportsbook:
- Purdue Boilermakers (+130) vs. Michigan State Spartans (-156)
- Spread: Purdue +3.5 (-114) vs. Michigan State -3.5 (-106)
- Game Total: Over 148.5 (-110) vs. Under 148.5 (-110)
#13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. Player Props: Jase Richardson O12.5 Points (-125 at FanDuel)
Richardson's recent performance in Michigan State's offense makes his points prop an exciting bet, so we're going with the over 12.5 points (-125 at FanDuel) in today’s #13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. picks. In his last three games, Richardson has scored 11, 13 and 29 points, indicating a noticeable rise in his scoring chances.
At home, he's been particularly effective, averaging over 11 points per game with an impressive shooting percentage of 58.1% from the floor overall and 39.5% from beyond the arc. While Purdue has a decent defense, it's not top-tier, especially when it comes to guarding inside the perimeter.
Even though the Boilermakers can challenge outside shots, Richardson doesn't solely depend on three-pointers. He's great at driving to the basket, hitting 87.1% of his free throws, and shows a lot of variety in how he scores. If this game stays competitive throughout, Richardson is likely to get even more playing time, and his scoring opportunities will rise even more.
Purdue is hungry to bounce back after a two-game skid, but MSU is tough to beat at home and are looking to win the Big Ten themselves. That’s mainly why we’re steering clear of the spread in this one, and instead going with a player prop.
Considering his growing role, strong home performance and Purdue's defense being weaker inside the arc, Richardson is well-positioned to exceed 12.5 points. We're going with the over for our #13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. predictions today.
#13 Purdue vs. #14 Michigan St. Injury Report & Starting Lineup
Purdue Boilermakers Injury Report
- C - D. Jacobson | Out: Knee
Purdue Boilermakers Projected Starters
- F - C. Furst (5.1 PPG, 3.5 RPG)
- F - T. Kaufman-Renn (19.4 PPG, 6.3 RPG)
- G - F. Loyer (13.9 PPG, 45.3% 3PT)
- G - B. Smith (16.0 PPG, 8.8 APG)
- G - C. Cox (6.6 PPG, 42.4% 3PT)
Michigan State Injury Report
- F - C. Walton | Out: Redshirt
Michigan State Projected Starters
- C - S. Zapala (5.0 PPG, 4.3 RPG)
- G - J. Akins (13.2 PPG, 3.6 RPG)
- F - J. Kohler (8.2 PPG, 7.8 RPG)
- G - J. Fears (7.3 PPG, 6.0 APG)
- G - J. Richardson (10.3 PPG, 52.8% FG)
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