For the season, we are 10-for-14 on my favorite picks, and after having just two last week, I’m going to make up some ground with not one, not two, not three, but FOUR best picks for the week! Is there some chalk? Sure! Are there some risky plays? Sure! Are there some head-scratchers? Maybe! I’m no psychic, but a perfect 4-for-4 is on the table, and I feel very, very confident.
It’s time to #PropUp at ThriveFantasy and take a look at some of the props for Sunday’s action! One of my favorite things about ThriveFantasy’s Sunday contests is that they give props for games all throughout the day, so you aren’t just limited to the 1:00 and 4:25 games. Do you want the late night hammer or to sweat it out all day? You can do that!
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Season: 10-for-14 (71.4%)
Last Week: 1-for-2 (50%)
Here are a few of my favorite props on Thrive Fantasy for Week 6!
Jonathan Taylor OVER 0.5 Rushing TD’s
It’s only 85 points, but hey, points are points. After failing to score in the first three games of the season, positive regression has corrected the course of Taylor’s season, and he’s found the end zone three times in the past two weeks. Taylor has scored a touchdown in each of his two career games against the Texans, and Houston has allowed five touchdowns (4 rushing, 1 receiving) to opposing backs this season.
Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 Passing TDs
This is as much a gut call as it is statistically-backed. Only the Colts have allowed more passing touchdowns this season than the Football Team and after last week’s disappointing outing against the Bills, you better believe that Kansas City is going to come out and attempt to assert its dominance over Washington. Mahomes has at least three passing touchdowns in four of five games this season and the Football Team’s secondary doesn’t stand a chance.
Najee Harris OVER 80.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Really!? Only 80.5 yards!? He has at least 10 carries in three targets in every game this season, and he has at least five targets in each of his last four games. Over his last four games, Harris is averaging 15.5 carries for 65.5 rushing yards, and 6.8 receptions on nine targets for 48.5 receiving yards per game. HARRIS IS AVERAGING OVER 22 TOUCHES PER GAME IN HIS LAST FOUR CONTESTS. The Seahawks have allowed the second-most rushing yards and the third-most receiving yards to the running back position this season. Take the over and the nearly-free 90 points.
Matthew Stafford UNDER 23.5 Completions
Stafford and Sean McVay have a good thing going right now, but if Daniel Jones doesn’t play, I don’t expect the Giants to keep this game close to warrant a full-blown Los Angeles aerial attack. Stafford has attempted 30 or more passes in four straight games, and a whopping 37 or more in three straight. However, the scores of his most recent games were 27-24, 34-24, 37-20 and 26-17. Do you think Mike Glennon can keep this close with all the injuries New York has sustained? Expect a lot of Darell Henderson and Sony Michel on Sunday, especially in the second half. Let’s get some extra points here and go for the 115.
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Player News
Free agent Gabe Davis will visit the New York Giants.
Cut by the Jaguars after one season last week, Davis visited the 49ers on Monday. New York would be a reunion of sorts, as he played for Giants coach Brian Daboll in Buffalo. The G-Men already have several wideouts capable of stretching the field, but 26-year-old Davis could still be a decent role player in a strong offense. The problem, of course, is that the Giants profile as anything but, but rookie QB Jaxson Dart is comfortable throwing down the field.
Ravens S Ar’Darius Washington has been diagnosed with a torn achilles suffered during offseason training.
The fifth-year pro became a weekly starter for the first time last season, earning elite PFF marks in the process. He was a restricted free agent this spring but had yet to sign his $3.26 million tender. That’s a tough break, to put it mildly. Achilles timelines have shortened significantly in recent years, but Washington will probably still miss the entire 2025 campaign. The Ravens are protected in part by their first-round selection of fellow S Malaki Starks, but May is not the month you already want to be dipping into your depth. Going on 26, Washington’s career future is murky after he worked so hard to finally become a regular contributor last season.
Chiefs signed fourth-round WR Jalen Royals to a four-year contract.
Royals doesn’t have an obvious and open spot in the receiving corps to build short-term fantasy value with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice operating in the opening 11-personnel package. He may or may not play his way into WR4 duties depending on how the team feels about JuJu Smith-Schuster. Royals has plenty of talent and Brown is on a one-year deal, so there is a future where Royals is more than a bit player for the Chiefs. It likely won’t happen in his first season without injuries in front of him.
Matthew Judon said he “probably” won’t return to the Falcons in 2025.
The Falcons, of course, drafted both Jalon Walker and James Pearce in the first round. In an exclusive interview with CardPlayer.com — not to be confused with our PokerNews.com James Cook scoop a few days ago — Judon said that his sack total was down because “I dropped (into coverage) on 60 percent of the plays. It’s hard to get a pick and a sack on the same play.” Judon also told Kyle Odegard that “a couple” teams had expressed interest in him but he was in no rush to sign.
Jets released P Thomas Morstead.
Austin McNamara and Kai Kroeger will compete for the Jets punter job this year. The 39-year-old former Saint was the league’s oldest punter last season. If he wants to keep punting, he can absolutely join the tryout circuit or a competition elsewhere. But this is probably a sign that the Morstead’s 16-year career is close to an end at this point.
Lions offensive coordinator John Morton said it’s “going to be a breakout year” for Jameson Williams.
Morton said he’d never “been around someone that fast,” then quickly corrected himself to note that Jhamyr Gibbs is also that fast. Williams came on strong last year with a 58/1001/7 receiving line, but offensive coordinator praise could mean even more targets are coming. It would likely come at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s production if Williams were to truly break out, though there’s plenty for St. Brown to give and still be a top-flight fantasy wideout. It’s risky to read too much into statements like this in the offseason, but the new offensive coordinator telling you he thinks it’ll be a breakout year for Williams is certainly noteworthy.