When you’re making your start/sit decisions each week, a hard look at the numbers can make the process a much easier task. Sample-size is something you always have to consider, but as we sit here in Week 7, the data we have is extremely telling. Earlier in the season, if a team had a poor run defense, their pass defense numbers looked a lot better than they really were for the simple fact that teams were running all over them and had little need to utilize their passing attack. Now seven weeks in, the defensive numbers have balanced out (regressed to the mean, if you will) and they more accurately portray the defenses strengths and weaknesses. So for our last-minute look at the match-ups this week, we’re going to do things a little differently and go over the top three starts and sits for each of the skill positions based on what the numbers are telling us.
At the start of the season there was tremendous love for Jimmy Graham as he rarely fell out of the top-20 in any draft. After that there were a handful of vets – guys like Tony Gonzalez, Jason Witten, Vernon Davis and Rob Gronkowski – that many folks targeted at the tight end position. After that it was a rough free for all amongst proven but boring guys and youngster with a lot of talent as people often tried to fill the tight end position in the middle rounds. Through six weeks of the NFL season who were we right on at tight end and who did we miss on? I'll discuss that plus I'll throw out some observations from Week 6 as I take a look around the tight end position.
ADP Numbers – Were We Right?
Here are some ADP numbers from The National Fantasy Football Championship (12 team, PPR setup --- 99 drafts surveyed). How have the players performed relative to their draft day cost?
We’re getting ready to start up Week 6 of the NFL which means the fantasy football season is about to hit its midway point in many leagues. That means wins are more crucial than ever. Falling below .500 at this point puts you strongly in danger of missing your playoffs and putting you on the path towards holiday depression. So let’s get this week started off on the right foot and take a closer look at tonight’s match-up between the Giants and the Bears. Let’s make sure we’ve got everyone active who needs to be active and those who shouldn’t be, back on the bench.