You’ve been reading the latest news, checking in with all the strategy articles and have obviously gone through as many start/sit columns you can find. But the more information you have, the better off you are and some of the most useful advice pieces are the ones that have the most updated injury information and expected team game plans. So with that, here are some of my last-minute thoughts with regard to the NFL Week 6 match-ups and how they should be affecting your fantasy football lineup. Remember, we’re not here to tell you that you should start Drew Brees or Marshawn Lynch, so unless the match-up is so ridiculously unfavorable, we’ll just assume that you are wisely keeping your studs in your active lineup. We’re looking at the role players here.
Suggested Starts Based on Favorable Match-Ups
Chad Henne/Justin Blackmon/Cecil Shorts, JAC – Let’s hear it for garbage time points everyone! While Peyton Manning and the Denver offense mows down the Jaguars defense, the offense should fall into catch-up mode pretty quickly. While they will be hard pressed to keep up, let’s not forget that the Denver defense has given up the most passing yards in the NFL and opposing quarterbacks have 11 passing touchdowns and an average of a 92.3 passer rating. It may take them some time as the Broncos will likely try to eat most of the clock with solid, methodical drives, but they’ll get their licks in during this fight.
Mike Williams, WR TB – The stars seem to be aligning for Williams this week as the team has had two weeks to prepare thank sto a bye week, Mike Glennon is feeling more comfortable under center, Vincent Jackson will be back to help draw coverage and the Eagles defense allows an average of 326 passing yards per game and has given up 11 touchdowns through the air. On top of all that tastiness, the Eagles also happen to rank 21st in the league against opposing No.2 wideouts and give up an average of 86.5 yards per game to them. Glennon found Williams in the endzone during their last game together and they should continue that trend this week.
DeAngelo Williams, RB CAR – Prior to last week’s shutdown, Williams was looking like a nice play over the first three weeks of the season as he was averaging 97 rushing yards per game. While Cam Newton will be looking often for Steve Smith to expose that Vikings pass defense that has allowed an average of 326 passing yards per game, Carolina will try to establish the run early to help keep things open for the offense. The Vikings have allowed an average of 104.8 rushing yards per game and they rank 27th in the league against passes to the running back, giving up an average of 65.6 yards per game.
Heath Miller, TE PIT – It’s been a quiet start for Miller this year, given his comeback from the knee injury, but we saw marked improvement from targets to catches to yards gained from him through his first two games. Now he faces a Jets defense that ranks 29th in the league against opposing tight ends this year. They may only allow an average of 45.7 yards to the position, but Miller has always been a big red zone target for Ben Roethlisberger so hopefully the touchdowns make up for the limited yardage he earns.
Willis McGahee, RB CLE – Maybe his yards-per-carry average wasn’t looking so good last week against a vulnerable Buffalo defense, but McGahee still helped his fantasy owners with a 72-yard, one-touchdown performance. He now faces the Lions, who not only allow 124.6 rushing yards per game, but they also rank dead last in the league at defending against passes to the running back. The Cleveland defense should do a fairly decent job of keeping the game close, so McGahee should see plenty of touches and a few targets in this one.
Ed Dickson, TE BAL – Even with Jacoby Jones and Marlon Brown back in the lineup, Dickson has the potential to put up some decent numbers this week. His role has increased a bit over the last two games while fellow tight end, Dallas Clark, has seen his targets practically cease. With Green Bay coming into town this week, Dickson could be a nice sleeper if you have your regular tight end on a bye or in a terrible match-up as the Packers rank just 26th in the league against opposing tight ends and have given up an average of 78.9 yards against them this season.
Other starts based on a favorable match-up include: Alex Smith, Pierre Garcon, Garrett Graham, Kendall Wright, Dwayne Bowe, Bilal Powell
Maybe You Should Sit ‘Em
Terrelle Pryor, QB OAK – While he hasn’t exactly been lighting it up, Pryor has proven himself to be a capable fantasy option with the right match-up. Unfortunately, that is not the case this week with a match-up against division-rival Kansas City this week. The Chiefs are cruising right now thanks to a strong defense and have allowed an average of just 198 passing yards per game while holding opposing quarterbacks to a 62.3 passer rating. On top of that, they have seven interceptions this year with a league-best 21 sacks. Pryor’s mobility should help him out of a few jams this weekend, but he’s just not going to be able to out-maneuver them all.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR ARI – There are so many things working against Fitzgerald this week, that a spot on your bench just might be the best place for him. He’s been dealing with a hamstring injury this past week, his quarterback has struggled all season, and there’s little or no running game to worry about so defenses are able to fall back into coverage a lot more. Couple that with the fact that the 49ers’ pass defense is allowing just 189 yards per game through the air and that they rank first in the league at containing opposing No. 1 wideouts (52.3 YPG) and you’ve got more than just a little trouble.
Golden Tate, WR SEA – For those looking for Tate to build off his 11-target performance from last week, keep looking. The Titans defense is no joke and while they’re going to face the daunting task of playing in the white noise of Seattle, they should do an excellent job of taking Tate out of the game. The Titans pass defense is giving up just 218 passing yards per game, but more importantly here, they are holding opposing No. 1 receivers to a league-best 35.2 yards per game.
LeSean McCoy, RB PHI – OK, so sitting McCoy is probably one of the most difficult things to do, but if you lucked out in your draft or on your waiver wire and have multiple legit options, then maybe this is the week you get bold and sit him. There will already be concerns about the passing game with Nick Foles taking over, but if you’re expecting the Eagles to fall back on the run, they may have some serious problems. The Bucs run defense has allowed an average of just 94.3 yards per game on the ground and they have yet to allow a rushing touchdown this season. McCoy will certainly see his touches this week, but it’s going to be very difficult for him to do much with them.
Fred Jackson/C.J. Spiller, RB BUF – Aside from the fact that the two split carries each and every game, the match-up this week against the Bengals looks like it could be a rough one. Cincinnati’s run defense allows just 95.6 yards per game on the ground and has given up just two rushing touchdowns all year. The defense also does an excellent job against the running back in the passing game, holding them to just 30.5 yards per game. Jackson might be the better play, given Spiller’s lingering ankle problem, but it could be very difficult for him to find any running room while the Bengals stack the box and force Thaddeus Lewis into the passing game.
Kyle Rudolph, TE MIN – If you’ve been sitting on Rudolph wondering when he would have his breakout game and return to being the red zone threat he was last year, keep sitting on him. Vikings quarterback Matt Cassel will have to continue looking elsewhere as the Panthers highly underrated defense kills opposing tight ends. While they rank sixth in the league against the tight end position overall, they give up a league-best 26.3 yards per game to the position. Maybe we’ll see one eventually, but there’s little chance of a breakout this week.
Other potential sits due to unsavory match-ups include: Sam Bradford, Calvin Johnson (that Joe Haden guy is pretty darn good), Rod Streater, Greg Olsen, Le’Veon Bell
Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for over a decade on a variety of web sites. You can find his personal musings on RotobuzzGuy.com and for questions, thoughts or comments, you can follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or email him at email@example.com.
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